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-   -   Winner polls round up (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=389093)

MTVN 15-11-2023 06:06 PM

Winner polls round up
 
TiBB final five poll

Jordan 35.2%
Yinrun 28.9%
Olivia 16.7%
Noky 10.2%
Henry 8.9%

Total votes: 460

TiBB original poll

Yinrun 28.0%
Jordan 26.0%
Olivia 19.0%
Henry 12.1%
Noky 11.4%
Matty 3.6%

Total votes: 669

Digital Spy

Jordan: 32%
Olivia: 24%
Henry: 22%
Noky: 10%
Yinrun: 8%
Matty: 2%

Total votes: 249

Digital Spy final five

Jordan: 41%
Olivia: 26%
Henry: 13%
Yinrun: 9%
Noky: 8%

Votes: 160

Twitter

Super TV (carried out through strawpoll)

Yinrun: 35.01%
Jordan: 33.85%
Noky: 11.9%
Olivia: 11.52%
Henry: 7.72%

Total votes: 5,935

Reddit:

Jordan 236 Votes
Yinrun 150 Votes
Noky 34 Votes
Olivia 30 Votes
Henry 23 Votes

Total votes: 473

Anyone know of any other polls?

Fascinating to see variation across the polls like how badly Yinrun is doing on DS. Henry also a lot more popular on there than on here and Twitter

MTVN 15-11-2023 06:07 PM

They all seem to agree Matty will be out tonight but nothing guaranteed

Benjamin 15-11-2023 06:07 PM

What happened to DS. They used to have so many BB fans.

MTVN 15-11-2023 06:10 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benjamin (Post 11388695)
What happened to DS. They used to have so many BB fans.

The forum is still pretty active but they only do polls in a thread now instead of running an actual website poll like they used to do

Benjamin 15-11-2023 06:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MTVN (Post 11388699)
The forum is still pretty active but they only do polls in a thread now instead of running an actual website poll like they used to do

Ahhh fair.

Interesting to see the straw poll vote as it has the most votes. Maybe it will be closer between Yinrun and Jordan than the odds predict. I guess Jordan surviving saw more money put on him last night hence the jump.

MTVN 15-11-2023 06:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benjamin (Post 11388700)
Ahhh fair.

Interesting to see the straw poll vote as it has the most votes. Maybe it will be closer between Yinrun and Jordan than the odds predict. I guess Jordan surviving saw more money put on him last night hence the jump.

Super TV has always got the most votes on polls but hasn't been that representative. Trish was favoured to stay by a mile on their polls

Benjamin 15-11-2023 06:18 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MTVN (Post 11388702)
Super TV has always got the most votes on polls but hasn't been that representative. Trish was favoured to stay by a mile on their polls

To be fair she was on ours too at one point. The difference was how people voted to evict and split their votes. I imagine for the win most won’t split votes.

MTVN 15-11-2023 06:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benjamin (Post 11388703)
To be fair she was on ours too at one point. The difference was how people voted to evict and split their votes. I imagine for the win most won’t split votes.

Yeah we're not very representative either tbh :joker:

I actually think DS is most representative because they're closer to Facebook where a lot of viewers seem to reside

Vanessa 15-11-2023 06:27 PM

Noki higher than I thought. Glad to see it.

Vanessa 15-11-2023 06:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MTVN (Post 11388709)
Yeah we're not very representative either tbh :joker:

I actually think DS is most representative because they're closer to Facebook where a lot of viewers seem to reside

I think Yinrun will be higher than Noki. But Noki definitely top 5.

Adamw92 15-11-2023 06:37 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vanessa (Post 11388714)
Noki higher than I thought. Glad to see it.

As she should be :clap2:

Mike0902 15-11-2023 07:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MTVN (Post 11388709)
Yeah we're not very representative either tbh :joker:

I actually think DS is most representative because they're closer to Facebook where a lot of viewers seem to reside

I've just scrolled my way through over 1,000 Facebook comments on who people are supporting, I've found it to be exceptionally accurate on reality TV shows in the past and this is what I find:

JORDAN 39%
HENRY 34%
OLIVIA 16%
YINRUN. 5%
MATTIE 4%
NOKY 2%

Just a word of warning the majority of people were backing both Henry and Jordan but Jordan's name was often mentioned first so that figure for Jordan could be a lot more than that and Henry a lot less BUT if the remaining highlight shows favour one or the other that could easily change very quickly.

The one observation that seems certain is that Olivia is 3rd best while Yinrun's support has crashed dramatically. You can forget Mattie and Noky, almost certain both to be evicted before the final on Friday.

Vanessa 15-11-2023 07:19 PM

I honestly would be happy with either Jordan or Henry winning.

MTVN 15-11-2023 07:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike0902 (Post 11388786)
I've just scrolled my way through over 1,000 Facebook comments on who people are supporting, I've found it to be exceptionally accurate on reality TV shows in the past and this is what I find:

JORDAN 39%
HENRY 34%
OLIVIA 16%
YINRUN. 5%
MATTIE 4%
NOKY 2%

Just a word of warning the majority of people were backing both Henry and Jordan but Jordan's name was often mentioned first so that figure for Jordan could be a lot more than that and Henry a lot less BUT if the remaining highlight shows favour one or the other that could easily change very quickly.

The one observation that seems certain is that Olivia is 3rd best while Yinrun's support has crashed dramatically. You can forget Mattie and Noky, almost certain both to be evicted before the final on Friday.

Very interesting, is that just your percentages you've tracked through reading the comments?

I had thought it was:

Matty comfortably 6th
Close 5th/4th between Noky and Henry
Close 3rd/2nd between Yinrun and Olivia
Jordan comfortably 1st

But your figures would question that

Vanessa 15-11-2023 07:28 PM

I think it's going to be close between Jordan, Henry and Yinrun.

Mike0902 15-11-2023 07:38 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MTVN (Post 11388693)
TiBB

Jordan 27.0%
Yinrun 24.7%
Olivia 20.4%
Noky 12.7%
Henry 11.5%
Matty 3.7%

Total votes: 489

Digital Spy

Jordan: 32%
Olivia: 24%
Henry: 22%
Noky: 10%
Yinrun: 8%
Matty: 2%

Total votes: 249

Twitter

Super TV (carried out through strawpoll)

Yinrun: 34.2%
Jordan: 32.58%
Noky: 12.22%
Olivia: 11.26%
Henry: 8.26%
Matty: 1.48%

Total votes: 2,971

Anyone know of any other polls?

Fascinating to see variation across the polls like how badly Yinrun is doing on DS. Henry also a lot more popular on there than on here and Twitter

I would take those poll results with a huge pinch of salt, especially the Twitter one which is quite simply laughable. Yinrun's support has crashed through the floor. The only thing you can take for granted is that either Henry or Jordan will be crowned the winner on Friday, the only question being which one? I would put Jordan as being the most likely, support for him seems to be overwhelming now. The finishing order from all the comments I've scrolled through is as follows:

1st JORDAN
2nd HENRY
3rd OLIVIA
4th YINRUN
5th MATTIE
6th NOKY

There's absolutely no doubt that Jenery will walk out the winners, it just depends on the order.
The TIBBs poll is ridiculous showing Yinrun in 2nd place, she's going to be 4th at best. The DS one is the most accurate while the Twitter one is a joke.

MTVN 16-11-2023 04:21 PM

Updated this now and added a DS final 5 poll. Olivia has a bit more support there

Yinrun has overtaken Jordan in our poll to go first but still don't think she'll come that close to him on the night. Noky still has a chance of beating Henry

Benjamin 16-11-2023 04:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike0902 (Post 11388804)
I would take those poll results with a huge pinch of salt, especially the Twitter one which is quite simply laughable. Yinrun's support has crashed through the floor. The only thing you can take for granted is that either Henry or Jordan will be crowned the winner on Friday, the only question being which one? I would put Jordan as being the most likely, support for him seems to be overwhelming now. The finishing order from all the comments I've scrolled through is as follows:

1st JORDAN
2nd HENRY
3rd OLIVIA
4th YINRUN
5th MATTIE
6th NOKY

There's absolutely no doubt that Jenery will walk out the winners, it just depends on the order.
The TIBBs poll is ridiculous showing Yinrun in 2nd place, she's going to be 4th at best. The DS one is the most accurate while the Twitter one is a joke.

Henry won’t be coming 2nd :laugh:

Also you say yinrun support has crashed but she still seems be garnering a fair bit.

Mike0902 16-11-2023 04:31 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MTVN (Post 11390282)
Updated this now and added a DS final 5 poll. Olivia has a bit more support there

Yinrun has overtaken Jordan in our poll to go first but still don't think she'll come that close to him on the night. Noky still has a chance of beating Henry

That TIBBS poll is looking like it's been manipulated it usually gets 300 to 400 hits but it's now over 600. I don't see any support for Noky anywhere no one seems to be supporting her and surely she won't beat one of the big 2? Yinrun has as much chance of winning the lottery than this, I would love to be proved wrong but I just don't see it. She had over a 50% lead at one time, now it's in single figures. The crying task was her downfall.

MTVN 16-11-2023 04:35 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike0902 (Post 11390290)
That TIBBS poll is looking like it's been manipulated it usually gets 300 to 400 hits but it's now over 600. I don't see any support for Noky anywhere no one seems to be supporting her and surely she won't beat one of the big 2? Yinrun has as much chance of winning the lottery than this, I would love to be proved wrong but I just don't see it. She had over a 50% lead at one time, now it's in single figures. The crying task was her downfall.

The last TiBB eviction poll got 876 votes: https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/for...d.php?t=388771

If you don't see any support for Noky you need to spend more time on this forum :cool:

She's also very popular on Reddit and Twitter

Locke. 16-11-2023 04:36 PM

I’m choosing to believe the super tv poll is the most accurate

Mike0902 16-11-2023 04:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benjamin (Post 11390289)
Henry won’t be coming 2nd :laugh:

Also you say yinrun support has crashed but she still seems be garnering a fair bit.

Those figures were based on people saying Jordan or Henry to win but not pinning their colours to any mast. I recalculated it taking 50% away from Henry as most people were naming Jordan. That puts Henry and Olivia very close together but Jordan the runaway winner.

Benjamin 16-11-2023 04:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike0902 (Post 11390299)
Those figures were based on people saying Jordan or Henry to win but not pinning their colours to any mast. I recalculated it taking 50% away from Henry as most people were naming Jordan. That puts Henry and Olivia very close together but Jordan the runaway winner.

Just on FB though. That only represents a certain type of viewer.

Mike0902 16-11-2023 04:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MTVN (Post 11390296)
The last TiBB eviction poll got 876 votes: https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/for...d.php?t=388771

If you don't see any support for Noky you need to spend more time on this forum :cool:

She's also very popular on Reddit and Twitter

That's the problem, I've found in the past that forums don't seem to represent the viewing public. The DS poll was notoriously so wrong it became a standing joke. Facebook represents the viewing public and I've always found it a most reliable guide but nothings cast in stone.

Benjamin 16-11-2023 04:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mike0902 (Post 11390314)
That's the problem, I've found in the past that forums don't seem to represent the viewing public. The DS poll was notoriously so wrong it became a standing joke. Facebook represents the viewing public and I've always found it a most reliable guide but nothings cast in stone.

Facebook doesn’t represent the viewing public. It represents a proportion of them and a certain type of viewer.


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