The Predictive Gambling Market for Next Week's Eviction

[Claymores]

By Ladbrokes:

Eviction Odds
Bea 5/4
David 3/1
Lisa 3/1
Marcus 7/2
Freddie 14/1
Rodrigo 33/1
Charlie 33/1
Siavash 50/1
Sophie 50/1

Please bear in mind that Ladbrokes just open this PREDICTIVE market with notional odds for every remaining HM - it is based on no more that that and doesn't mean everybody is up or anything.

They only put small amounts in to each price, then let market forces push the odds one way or another.

Lisa @ 3/1 looked worth taking them on, so I've had a wee go this time!

[Vicky.]

Yes lisa does look a good bet.

I think maybe freddie at 14/1...as if it is bea/lisa/freddie I honestly think he might go.

In a one on one with either he would stay, but in a 3 way, hes very much in danger, as his fans will be splitting their votes betwen lisa(for her behaviour towards him) and bea(because shes played a part in turning him into a prick)

[setanta]

You're going to have another flutter Claymores? Where's your money going this time? Or will you wait a couple of days?

[Claymores]

Originally posted by VickyJ
Yes lisa does look a good bet.

I think maybe freddie at 14/1...as if it is bea/lisa/freddie I honestly think he might go.

In a one on one with either he would stay, but in a 3 way, hes very much in danger, as his fans will be splitting their votes betwen lisa(for her behaviour towards him) and bea(because shes played a part in turning him into a prick)

It kinda tells you a lot about bookies thinking that they did open Freddie at only 14/1. Last week in the equivalent predictive his odds were up there with Sia and Sophie

[Libra]

As you've hinted at.

It means nothing really as we don't know who will be up yet, Marcus almost certainly will - but it depends who he is up against.

With this few housemates left it is rarely head to head, I wouldn't be surprised to see a four way contest next week with Marcus, Freddy, maybe Siavash and maybe Bea and Lisa involved.

Four from those five maybe?

But we'll see.

[Claymores]

Originally posted by setanta
You're going to have another flutter Claymores? Where's your money going this time? Or will you wait a couple of days?

I've already gone a token amount on Lisa in this predictive as if she's up, I'm sure she'll open odds-on.

Other than that I'll wait for the actual leak of noms on Monday nightt before thinking about it.

[setanta]

Originally posted by Claymores
Originally posted by setanta
You're going to have another flutter Claymores? Where's your money going this time? Or will you wait a couple of days?

I've already gone a token amount on Lisa in this predictive as if she's up, I'm sure she'll open odds-on.

Other than that I'll wait for the actual leak of noms on Monday nightt before thinking about it.

Yeah, not worth it till noms although Marcus looks like an interesting one.... really depends on who he's up against. I think Lisa could defo avoided nominations this week.... not sure about Bea though.

[Claymores]

Originally posted by Libra
As you've hinted at.

It means nothing really

On the contary - it does demonstrate a major bookmaker's intiial thoughts on relative chances of eviction - and over the weekend, the movements will demonstrate what punters think of how they opened this Predictive.

[Libra]

Originally posted by Claymores
Originally posted by Libra
As you've hinted at.

It means nothing really

On the contary - it does demonstrate a major bookmaker's intiial thoughts on relative chances of eviction - and over the weekend, the movements will demonstrate what punters think of how they opened this Predictive.

But it's meaningless unless they know who will be nominated?

At the moment, what the Bookies - or the punters think, means nowt.

It's what the housemates think that matters at this stage.

Surely?

[Patrick]

I would love if Halfwit went but only after Lisa and David go that way theres only entertaining people left anyway..well except Rodrigo.


It would shock the house so much and the viewers, this series is so dull we need a shock after it was hyped up to be the biggest and surprsing series ever. :rolleyes:

Freddie Vs Marcus

Freddie goes and Marcus decides he wants to stay and stops goen on about leaving because clearly hes loved