Conservative polls

[arista]

http://i.dailymail.co.uk/i/pix/2015/03/29/22/271D808800000578-3017129-image-a-38_1427663029184.jpg

[Toy Soldier]

I am 100% certain that the Daily Mail would have absolutely no inclination at all... at all... to fudge poll results in favour of the Tories. They are, after all, one of the most impartial news sources in the country.

... :)

[JoshBB]

I am 100% certain that the Daily Mail would have absolutely no inclination at all... at all... to fudge poll results in favour of the Tories. They are, after all, one of the most impartial news sources in the country.

... :)

:laugh:

The most accurate would be the poll of polls. Otherwise we are going to get biased results as the OP shows

[Vicky.]

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/datablog/2015/mar/30/election-2015-can-we-trust-polling

Personally I think its neck and neck and will stay that way.

[Toy Soldier]

They'll flip and flop until election day if anything, and it's important to remember that the flat percentages are far from the full story, and don't even necessarily indicate MP numbers at all.

[JoshBB]

They'll flip and flop until election day if anything, and it's important to remember that the flat percentages are far from the full story, and don't even necessarily indicate MP numbers at all.

Yes exactly. The 34% odd they are on could come from tons of very narrow second places. Highly unlikely but there's a possibility. I believe UKIP's 14% could be mostly that.

[Jack_]

'Would David Cameron make a better prime minister than Ed Miliband?'

what kind of leading question :joker:

[joeysteele]

There was a poll from yougov also out over the weekend that showed different resuults to that one with Labour 4% ahead and that poll was for the Sunday Times.

Unbelievable in the poll in the opening thread that people prefer to have someone as PM they think is arrogant and not genuine.

As JoshBB said, the only way to judge the polls is not take one in isolation but follow more the poll of polls tha gives an average of all polls done.

With margins of error, the poll above and the one I mentioned in the Sunday Times are in fact likely both saying the same thing, the parties remain almost neck and neck with the tiniest advantage to one or the other.

Sadly, even on TV today and in the media obviously all we are going to be looking at is poll after poll with analysis thereof.
We will probably hear more about polling than actual policies.

[smudgie]

There was a poll from yougov also out over the weekend that showed different resuults to that one with Labour 4% ahead and that poll was for the Sunday Times.

Unblieveable in the poll in the opening thrad that people prefer to have someone as PM they think is arrogant and not genuine.

As JoshBB said, the only way to judge the polls is not take one in isolation but follow more the poll of polls tha gives an average of all polls done.

With margins of error, the poll above and the one I mentioned in the Sunday Times are in fact likely both saying the same thing, the parties remain almost neck and neck with the tiniest advantage to one or the other.

Sadly, even on TV today and in the media obviously all we are going to be looking at is poll after poll with analysis thereof.
We will porobably hear more about polling than actual policies.

I agree Joey.
These polls don't count for much to me, they can get the result they want by moving to different areas of the country anyhow.
I treckon if will be pretty much neck and neck all the way now.

[Crimson Dynamo]

There was a poll from yougov also out over the weekend that showed different resuults to that one with Labour 4% ahead and that poll was for the Sunday Times.

Unblieveable in the poll in the opening thrad that people prefer to have someone as PM they think is arrogant and not genuine.

As JoshBB said, the only way to judge the polls is not take one in isolation but follow more the poll of polls tha gives an average of all polls done.

With margins of error, the poll above and the one I mentioned in the Sunday Times are in fact likely both saying the same thing, the parties remain almost neck and neck with the tiniest advantage to one or the other.

Sadly, even on TV today and in the media obviously all we are going to be looking at is poll after poll with analysis thereof.
We will porobably hear more about polling than actual policies.

Yes there are far too many poles

Hence the rise of Ukip

[joeysteele]

'Would David Cameron make a better prime minister than Ed Miliband?'

what kind of leading question :joker:

Exactly, a loaded start like that to such a question will inevitably likely distort the responses of some respondents.

[arista]

https://fbcdn-sphotos-a-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-xaf1/v/t1.0-9/p480x480/11051994_10153195914889907_4854988060994819857_n.j pg?oh=6a5aa5bf2c78e4fb8683aaa376e5cf76&oe=55B553DA&__gda__=1433477679_ccfe13484c790c70e0337b56cb44b9e e

The PM is the front cover of todays Heat Magazine
he also did a video interview with them.

Just debated on SkyNewsHD

http://www.heatworld.com/2015/03/david-cameron-interview-with-heat-s-lucie-cave#.VRpSE-Hi2iN

http://www.theguardian.com/politics/2015/mar/30/heat-magazines-video-interview-with-david-cameron-is-nigh

[Northern Monkey]

'Would David Cameron make a better prime minister than Ed Miliband?'

what kind of leading question :joker:Very true.The question should be 'Who would make the better Prime Minister? David Cameron or Ed Milliband?'

[James]

'Would David Cameron make a better prime minister than Ed Miliband?'

what kind of leading question :joker:

I checked and that's not how the question was asked in the actual poll. This is how it was asked.


Q6_1. For the following pairs of statements, which comes closest to your own view ...

David Cameron would make a better Prime Minister than Ed Miliband

Ed Miliband would make a better Prime Minister than David Cameron

Don't know


http://www.comres.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ITV-News-Daily-Mail_Political-Poll_30th-March-2015_1749.pdf

[joeysteele]

I checked and that's not how the question was asked in the actual poll. This is how it was asked.



http://www.comres.co.uk/wp-content/uploads/2015/03/ITV-News-Daily-Mail_Political-Poll_30th-March-2015_1749.pdf


That is a fairer way of asking that question, as long as it was asked that way at the time, telephone polls are notorious for being misleading at times.

Face to face polling gives the opportunity to let you see the question in front of you at the time it is asked.
A phone poll doesn't.

One of the most interesting answers for me there was that there was only a 1% difference beween wanting a Conservative led govt; or a Labour led one,42% to 41% respectively.

Interesting other point to anyone reading this, has anyone on tibb ever been interviewed as to their voting intentions by any polling organisation.
I am only 23 but I discussed with my family and then learned that no one in my family have ever seen a pollster never mind been interviewd as to their voting intentions anywhere.
Having family as far North as Inverness and also in Exeter,scattered all over the place,I was surprised to learn none of them had, in fact I don't think I know anyone who has actually been asked or interviewed.

[MTVN]

That is a fairer way of asking that question, as long as it was asked that way at the time, telephone polls are notorious for being misleading at times.

Face to face polling gives the opportunity to let you see the question in front of you at the time it is asked.
A phone poll doesn't.

One of the most interesting answers for me there was that there was only a 1% difference beween wanting a Conservative led govt; or a Labour led one,42% to 41% respectively.

Interesting other point to anyone reading this, has anyone on tibb ever been interviewed as to their voting intentions by any polling organisation.
I am only 23 but I discussed with my family and then learned that no one in my family have ever seen a pollster never mind been interviewd as to their voting intentions anywhere.
Having family as far North as Inverness and also in Exeter,scattered all over the place,I was surprised to learn none of them had, in fact I don't think I know anyone who has actually been asked or interviewed.

I was asked over the phone a few months ago. Can't remember who it was now but they asked me how likely I was to vote on a scale of 1-5, the likelihood of voting for each party 1-5 etc. etc.

[James]

Someone came round my door once, a while back, asking for voting intentions, and other market research type questions. I don't know if they do polling like that now though.

[Kizzy]

I was called too :suspect: what are the polls today following camerons knuckle rapping from the IFS?