2020 Oscar Nominations Predictions

[Walter White]

It's now 2 days before they're announced. Who wants to guess who and what'll get nominated for cinematography, the acting categories, the screenplay categories, Best Director, and Best Picture?

[MB.]

Last minute predictions for the main categories (assuming they do get nominated, blue is who I'm hoping will win, red is who I think will):

Best Picture
1917
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
Marriage Story
The Irishman
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite

I wouldn't rule out 1917 or The Irishman (if the Academy can get over its hatred of Netflix, that is) winning, though. I can't believe that I'm the least confident about Little Women getting nominated, when it's one of the most deserving potential nominees :worry:

Best Director
Bong Joon-ho (Parasite)
Martin Scorsese (The Irishman)
Quentin Tarantino (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
Sam Mendes (1917)
Todd Phillips (Joker)

Todd Phillips getting nominated over Greta Gerwig would suck, especially when he'd be nominated in the same category as a director he flagrantly ripped off, but I can easily see it happening

Best Actor
Adam Driver (Marriage Story)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
Joaquin Phoenix (Joker) :unsure:
Robert De Niro (The Irishman)
Taron Egerton (Rocketman)

Best Actress
Awkwafina (The Farewell)
Charlize Theron (Bombshell)
Renée Zellweger (Judy)
Saoirse Ronan (Little Women)
Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)

I could see Cynthia Erivo taking Awkwafina's token POC slot here though

Best Supporting Actor
Al Pacino (The Irishman)
Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
Jamie Foxx (Just Mercy)
Joe Pesci (The Irishman)
Song Kang-ho (Parasite)

Best Supporting Actress
Florence Pugh (Little Women)
Laura Dern (Marriage Story)
Jennifer Lopez (Hustlers)
Margot Robbie (Bombshell)
Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit)

yes I'm declaring that I want a tie, what of it (although in reality Florence could easily be replaced in this category by Nicole Kidman for Bombshell, so I'm not holding my breath)

Best Original Screenplay
1917
Knives Out
Marriage Story
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite

Best Adapted Screenplay
A Beautiful Day in the Neighborhood
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women

Best International Film
Atlantics
Honeyland
Les Misérables
Pain and Glory
Parasite

Best Animated Feature
Frozen II
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
I Lost My Body
Missing Link
Toy Story 4

[Nick.]

Last minutes predictions as well, I cba to do them all so I'll do the main six

Best Picture
Once Upon A Time In Hollywood
Parasite
The Irishman
Marriage Story
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
Ford V Ferrari/Le Mans 66

(Hoping Knives Out makes the cut, the less said about Joker the better)

Best Director
Bong Joon Ho
Greta Gerwig
Martin Scorsese
Sam Mendes
Quentin Taratino

(Olivia Wilde deserves better)

Best Actress
Scarlett Johanson - Marriage Story
Renee Zellweger - Judy
Saoirse Ronan - Little Women
Cynthia Erivo - Harriet
Charlize Theron - Bombshell

(Ronan might just be wishful thinking, could easily replace with Awkwafina)

Best Actor
Adam Driver - Marriage Story
Joaquin Phoenix - That ****ing clown movie
Leonardo Di Caprio - OUATIH
Taron Egerton - Rocketman
Antonio Banderas - Pain & Glory

(Could see Banderas being snubbed for Jonathan Pryce, wouldn't be surprised if George McKay ended up nominated based on the 1917 hype)

Best Supporting Actress
Laura Dern - Marriage Story
Margot Robbie - Bombshell
Scarlett Johansson - Jojo Rabbit
Florence Pugh - Little Women
Annette Benning - The Report

(Yes I want J-Lo nominated, but considering she's set to be the sole nom I doubt the film has the momentum)

Best Supporting Actor
Brad Pitt - OUATIH
Al Pacino - The Irishman
Joe Pesci - The Irishman
Tom Hanks - A Beautiful Day
Antony Hopkins - The Two Popes

(Kinda a weak category, could see the Parasite hype lead to Song Kang Ho be nominated depending on how much support there is for the Two Popes)

Expecting 1917/Joker (:yuk:) dominating the awards

[LaLaLand]

All I'm expecting is OUATIH to sweep the Oscars, because there's nothing that Hollywood and particularly The Oscars loves more than a film actually about the industry/"Hollywood" culture itself (i.e. like "La La Land" did).

I'm just really rooting for Phoenix to get Best Actor above all else though.

[James]

Best Picture
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
The Irishman
Parasite
Marriage Story
Joker
Jojo Rabbit
Little Women
Ford v Ferrari (Le Mans '66) if nine nominees.
Winner Prediction: 1917

Best Director
Bong Joon Ho
Greta Gerwig
Martin Scorsese
Sam Mendes
Quentin Tarantino
Winner Prediction: Bong Joon Ho

Best Actor
Adam Driver
Joaquin Phoenix
Leonardo Di Caprio
Taron Egerton
Jonathan Pryce
Winner Prediction: Joaquin Phoenix to beat Adam Driver

Best Actress
Scarlett Johanson
Renee Zellweger
Saoirse Ronan
Awkwafina
Charlize Theron
Winner Prediction: Renee Zellweger

[James]

Best Original Score
Joker (Hildur Guonadottir)
1917 (Thomas Newman)
Marriage Story (Randy Newman)
Little Women (Alexandre Desplat)
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker (John Williams)
Winner Prediction: Joker

Spider-Man: Far from Home will be overlooked for Original Score, in my opinion.

Best Visual Effects
The Lion King
The Irishman
1917
Star Wars: The Rise of Skywalker
Avengers: Endgame
Winner Prediction: The Lion King

Ad Astra should be nominated here though, but it didn't get enough attention.

[Shaun]

I don't know about full nominations predictions but I think the winners of the big 6 awards will be:

Picture - Marriage Story
Director - Sam Mendes
Actor - Joaquin Phoenix
Actress - Renee Zellweger
Supporting Actor - Brad Pitt
Supporting Actress - Florence Pugh

[James]

BEho_CNX43s

At 1:18 PM.

[MB.]

J-Lo not even being nominated for Best Supporting Actress is vile

[Nick.]

Taron Egerton/J-Lo/Ana De Armas/Olivia Wilde/Glasgow (No Place) all deserved better

[Nick.]

Joker for Directing and Screenplay is just embarrassing

[MB.]

And of course Todd Phillips got nominated over Greta

[MB.]

I got the Original Screenplay noms right at least

[MB.]

The all-white Supporting Actor category is a disaster as well

[MB.]

Klaus sneaking in a Best Animated Feature nom over Frozen :love:

[Shaun]

I'm kinda ignorant of films until like a year after they come out, so I don't know of any candidates for supporting actor that'd be a change from #whiteblokes... usually there's a big hype about someone who's a POC but I haven't heard of any this year.

[MB.]

1216720648078159873

Enjoy the nominations I hope they make you happy. Dear lord, what a sad little life Joker. Ruined my night completely so you could have the nominations and I hope now you can spend them on lessons in grace and decorum. Because you have all the grace of a reversing dump truck without any tyres on.

[MB.]

I'm kinda ignorant of films until like a year after they come out, so I don't know of any candidates for supporting actor that'd be a change from #whiteblokes... usually there's a big hype about someone who's a POC but I haven't heard of any this year.

Song Kang-ho for Parasite was considered a strong possibility, as was Jamie Foxx for Just Mercy

[Shaun]

Seems to just be a "try and get all the legends to attend" event this year. I'm a bit shocked Willem Defoe couldn't get a nomination... all clips I've seen of the Lighthouse look incredible. Like I'm sure Tom Hanks could've sat one season out.

[Nick.]

Also a shame that the only WOC of colour nominated for acting was playing a slave, Awkwafina and Lupita N'yongo were robbed

[MB.]

I'm not sure why I was expecting anything good considering Gr**n B**k won last year, tbf

[Tom4784]

I'm happy for Joker, it's one of those films I don't think I could watch again but it's an excellent and challenging film.

I haven't seen all the nominations yet though but from the bits I've seen, it seems a bit lopsided for the most part when it comes to other films, actors and directors getting snubbed.

[Shaun]

Just noticed Awkwafina and Taron Egerton don't have nominations either. Bizarre.

[Tony Montana]

Joker for Directing and Screenplay is just embarrassing

Why? It's well deserved.

[Tony Montana]

Glad Joker is leading the nominations. A masterpiece of a film. :clap1:

[Tony Montana]

Just noticed Awkwafina and Taron Egerton don't have nominations either. Bizarre.

Surprised Bale wasn't nominated either.

[Niamh.]

I'm not sure why I was expecting anything good considering Gr**n B**k won last year, tbf

What's wrong with green book? I thought that was really good :nono:

[LukeB]

Scarlett Johansson getting a nom for lead and support :love: (i know she won't be win though)

[Tom4784]

Red is who I think will win, blue is who I want to win.

Best Picture
Ford vs Ferrari
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
Marriage Story
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite

Directing
The Irishman (Martin Scorsese)
Joker (Todd Phillips)
1917 (Sam Mendes)
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood (Quentin Tarantino)
Parasite (Bong Joon Ho)

Actor in a Leading Role
Antonio Banderas (Pain and Glory)
Leonardo DiCaprio (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)
Adam Driver (Marriage Story)
Joaquin Phoenix (Joker)
Jonathan Pryce (The Two Popes)

Actress in a Leading Role
Cynthia Erivo (Harriet)
Scarlett Johansson (Marriage Story)
Saorise Ronan (Little Women)
Charlize Theron (Bombshell)
Renee Zellwegger (Judy)

Actor in a Supporting Role
Tom Hanks (A Beautiful Day in the Neighbourhood)
Anthony Hopkins (The Two Popes)
Al Pacino (The Irishman)
Joe Pesci (The Irishman)
Brad Pitt (Once Upon a Time in Hollywood)

I have no horse in the best supporting actor race, tbh.


Actress in a Supporting Role
Kathy Bates (Richard Jewell)
Laura Dern (Marriage Story)
Scarlett Johansson (Jojo Rabbit)
Florence Pugh (Little Women)
Margot Robbie (Bombshell)

Adapted Screenplay
The Irishman
Jojo Rabbit
Joker
Little Women
The Two Popes

Original Screenplay
Knives Out
Marriage Story
1917
Once Upon a Time in Hollywood
Parasite

Animated Feature Film
How to Train Your Dragon: The Hidden World
I Lost My Body
Klaus
Missing Link
Toy Story 4


International Feature Film
Corpus Christi
Honeyland
Les Miserables
Pain and Glory
Parasite

[Oliver_W]

Pretty good nominations. There's nothing there I think shouldn't be, and likewise there's nothing or no-one I think is missing :) I've not seen every movie from last year though.

[MB.]

what's wrong with green book? I thought that was really good :nono:

1103063717674139648

[Niamh.]

1103063717674139648

hhhmmm food for thought there, thanks

[Vanessa]

So happy both Joaquin Phoenix and Leo Did Caprio were nominated. My favourites!

[Vanessa]

Joaquin Phoenix deserves that oscar. He was incredible!

[Vanessa]

Glad Joker is leading the nominations. A masterpiece of a film. :clap1:

Fantastic movie. Unbelievable Joaquin Phoenix

[Oliver_W]

1103063717674139648

Is there a written version somewhere? That dude's whiny voice puts me off.

[Marsh.]

Is there a written version somewhere? That dude's whiny voice puts me off.

What's whiny about it? :think: Just a normal voice.

[MB.]

Is there a written version somewhere? That dude's whiny voice puts me off.

If you'd like to read about how much Green Book sucks instead:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/23/arts/green-book-interracial-friendship.html

https://www.refinery29.com/en-us/2019/01/220609/green-book-movie-controversy-racism-don-shirley-family-story

https://www.vox.com/2018/11/16/18069756/green-book-review-racism-schomburg-segregation-golden-globes

[Oliver_W]

What's whiny about it? :think: Just a normal voice.
Eh, I'm a bit funny about voices, I usually have subtitles on if I watch youtubers :joker:

If you'd like to read about how much Green Book sucks instead:

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/01/23/arts/green-book-interracial-friendship.html

https://www.refinery29.com/en-us/2019/01/220609/green-book-movie-controversy-racism-don-shirley-family-story

https://www.vox.com/2018/11/16/18069756/green-book-review-racism-schomburg-segregation-golden-globes
Thanks! I'd not seen the movie, and I didn't know anything about it, so didn't know much about it. I roughly assumed it was about the musician on some kind of tour, and his friendship with his driver or something.

It's pretty gross that the real green books were even needed ("needed") recently enough for there to be cars...

[Beastie]

Taron Egerton should have been up there.

[LaLaLand]

Was Jordan Peele's "Us" released before/after last year's ceremony? Because I'm sure it's after and I'm VERY shocked Lupita didn't get a nom for her role(s) in that! She was seriously terrifyingly great as Red.

[Nicky91]

https://www.dutchnews.nl/news/2020/01/dutch-special-effects-make-up-artist-nominated-for-oscar-for-maleficent-2/

dutch special effects make up artist Arjen Tuiten among nominees for oscar, for his work on Angelina Jolie in Maleficent 2

[Alf]

According to Oddschecker

Best Picture odds

1917 - 1/2
Parasite - 9/2
Once upon a time in Hollywood - 8/1
Joker - 9/1
The Irishman - 66/1
Jojo Rabbit - 80/1


Looks like it's between 1917 and Parasite.

I'm not sure if a foreign language film has won before, don't think so. So Parasite doesn't have history on its side. Which means 1917 wins.

[MB.]

If Roma couldn't win, Parasite won't (unfortunately)... I read a tweet saying that at least 17 members of the Academy admitted they hadn't even seen it because they didn't want to bother with subtitles

Up until a few weeks ago I was fairly confident that Once Upon a Time in Hollywood would win Best Picture, but now I can't imagine it being anything other than 1917

[LaLaLand]

Final predictions - I'm predicting/hoping for a good night for OUATIH, seeing as we're in Hollywood and the movie is a love letter to the industry/Hollywood itself, always goes down well at the Oscars.

So:

Best Picture: Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
Best Director: Sam Mendes - 1917 (though I'd LOVE Tarantino to get it).
Best Actor: Joaquin Phoenix - Joker
Best Actress: Renee Zellweger - Judy
Best Supporting Actor: Brad Pitt - Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
Best Supporting Actress: Laura Dern - Marriage Story
Best Original Screenplay: Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
Best Adapted Screenplay: Jojo Rabbit
Best Animated Feature Film: Toy Story 4
Best International Feature Film: Parasite
Best Documentary Feature: For Sama
Best Short Documentary: St. Louis Superman
Best Live Action Short Film: A Sister
Best Animated Short Film: Hair Love
Best Original Score: Joker
Best Original Song: "Stand Up" from Harriet
Best Sound Editing: Joker
Best Sound Mixing: 1917
Best Production Design: Once Upon a Time... in Hollywood
Best Cinematography: 1917
Best Makeup and Hairstyling: Judy
Best Costume Design: Little Women
Best Film Editing: The Irishman
Best Visual Effects: 1917