Predict the US Presidential Election Result - Electoral College vote

[James]

Let's have a prediction game.

Predict the US Presidential Election Result between Donald Trump and Joe Biden.

The election works on the electoral college system - each US state is allocated a number of electors depending on its population, and winner of the vote in that state wins all those electors.

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/c/cf/Electoral_map_2012-2020.svg/300px-Electoral_map_2012-2020.svg.png

There are 538 electors in total and for reference the previous result (on election night) was

Donald Trump 306
Hillary Clinton 232

In 2012 the result was

Barack Obama 332
Mitt Romney 206

So what will be the result in 2020?

Donald Trump - ?
Joe Biden - ?

Let's see who gets closest.

[LaLaLand]

Both my head and heart are saying Biden, but I have this looming dread that Trump's going to sneak back in somehow.

I just hope that all of the minorities are really using their vote for Biden really.

I think it will be quite close, no big landslide, with Biden just edging it.

So let's say (totally uneducated answer I must admit):

Trump - 253

Biden - 285

I'm undoubtedly way off what the actual result will be, but I think it'll be very close. That close? Probably not but who knows! :joker:

[Kizzy]

I'd say similar numbers to Barack tbh 300+ for Biden

[Mitchell]

I think it’ll be a Trump win, not sure of numbers though

[Brother Leon]

Ohio and Texas are probably the only swing states I see going Trump’s way. Maybe Florida or another one shock.

Biden with 300+ imo.

[Denver]

Its going to depend on how strong the anti trump vote withing the republican supporters is

[bots]

i think Trump is going to get smashed so that he has no option but to accept the result

Biden 332 +

Trump 206 -

(i heard a gop strategist yesterday saying that it was going to be a landslide for trump :laugh:)

[bots]

Biden secures the first Election Day victory while Trump takes the second as two tiny New Hampshire towns with a combined population of just 26 announce their results at midnight

Only 269 to go joe :laugh:

[Nicky91]

tbh there is a record amount of voters now

and i don't think we will know who won for quite some time, i mean a lot of votes to be counted of 100 million people who voted

[The Slim Reaper]

320 Biden
216 Trump

[Swan]

Biden 313
Trump 225

[user104658]

i mean a lot of votes to be counted of 100 million people who voted

Me and you will do it together Nicky, 50 million each, I reckon we can get through that lot in 4 or 5 hours. We'll put every 3rd vote for Trump straight in the bin :flutter:

[Denver]

Biden 320
Trump 218

[DouglasS]

Trump - 294
Biden - 244

[Calderyon]

Trump 279
Biden 259

[Niamh.]

Donald Trump 275
joe Biden 283

[Shaun]

Used https://www.270towin.com/ and came up with Biden 324-214 Trump.

The default it predicts is a Biden landslide though.

[Oliver_W]

Not gonna guess numbers but I think Trump will just squeak an EC win while losing the popular vote.

[Jack_]

I think it's going to be close.

Trump takes Florida, North Carolina and Arizona.

Biden wins Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

That gives me:

Biden - 278
Trump - 260

[lewis111]

Using 270ToWin I got
Biden - 270
Trump - 268 :omgno:

I mean that was me being a bit on the pessimistic side, and Pennsylvania could very easily go blue - but imagine the scenes if that result was the case

[Morgan.]

Biden 280
Trump 258

[Swan]

Well no way is Biden getting 300 or more now. I think Trump is actually gonna win this!

[Denver]

Well no way is Biden getting 300 or more now. I think Trump is actually gonna win this!

He is going to lose 2 rustbelt states, no chance he pulls it back

[Jack_]

I think it's going to be close.

Trump takes Florida, North Carolina and Arizona.

Biden wins Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

That gives me:

Biden - 278
Trump - 260

5 out of 6, I'll take it :hee:

Pesky Georgia...

[Shaun]

Well no way is Biden getting 300 or more now. I think Trump is actually gonna win this!

https://64.media.tumblr.com/6831eb1e8dcaa0f43b6b19da1741c30e/tumblr_inline_o0i6c3K9HP1sdsgp0_400.gifv

[bots]

It didnt end up being close at all which has restored my faith in human nature

[Josiah.]

306 to 232 in Biden's favour, as Arizona was called for Biden, North Carolina called for Trump, and Georgia (even with the recount happening) was called for Biden.

[user104658]

https://64.media.tumblr.com/6831eb1e8dcaa0f43b6b19da1741c30e/tumblr_inline_o0i6c3K9HP1sdsgp0_400.gifv

To be fair to Swan, NO ONE really expected Georgia, and PA was looking impossible for the first half of the night too... 'til the Philly/Postal votes came in like a wrecking ball.

[Swan]

https://64.media.tumblr.com/6831eb1e8dcaa0f43b6b19da1741c30e/tumblr_inline_o0i6c3K9HP1sdsgp0_400.gifv

I woke up at 9am morning/night of the election, everything was in Trump's favour. Then by like 2pm it had all swung back round in Biden's favour :joker:

[Josiah.]

To be fair to Swan, NO ONE really expected Georgia, and PA was looking impossible for the first half of the night too... 'til the Philly/Postal votes came in like a wrecking ball.

Don't forget Allegheny County's (Pittsburgh metro) mail-in votes too.

[James]

Biden 313
Trump 225

This was the closest to the projected result.

[The Slim Reaper]

Donald Trump 275
joe Biden 283

When you're a parent and you're trying to keep both kids happy. :laugh:

[Oliver_W]

And there was me thinking it would be close :joker: