View Full Version : If there was an election tomorrow, would Labour win?
Crimson Dynamo
09-11-2021, 12:03 PM
GB News ran a poll
61,000 replies
91% no - 9% yes
Did that surprise you?
Liam-
09-11-2021, 12:11 PM
Would it surprise anyone that the audience for a dedicated right wing news show, doesn’t support Labour?
Crimson Dynamo
09-11-2021, 12:18 PM
Would it surprise anyone that the audience for a dedicated right wing news show, doesn’t support Labour?
It was hosted on Youtube so not necessarily people who watch the channel
labour are a mess, and no matter how much the press and opposition parties feign self righteous indignation, the public don't give a crap. The tories would win easily. I can't stand Boris, i'm just a realist
user104658
09-11-2021, 01:10 PM
Lol no they're nowhere near to being a contender.
Tories will win for the foreseeable and the reason can be summed up thus;
tto_nmsND_o
arista
09-11-2021, 02:57 PM
GB News ran a poll
61,000 replies
91% no - 9% yes
Did that surprise you?
No, Labour have to do much more.
Also don't Labour Need more MP's in Scotland
before they can get power?
Oliver_W
09-11-2021, 04:02 PM
Labour have been left in a pretty rough position by their loss in 2019. Even losing but still (re)gaining a bunch of seats would be a massive achievement.
user104658
09-11-2021, 04:18 PM
No, Labour have to do much more.
Also don't Labour Need more MP's in Scotland
before they can get power?
Not if they can convince the SNP to go into coalition. SNP are generally against that though.
They need to concentrate on winning back the seats they’ve lost in England.
Crimson Dynamo
09-11-2021, 05:38 PM
If you want an example of why they won't win
have a look at this;
xAdT-JoiNC8
arista
09-11-2021, 05:40 PM
Not if they can convince the SNP to go into coalition. SNP are generally against that though.
They need to concentrate on winning back the seats they’ve lost in England.
Starmer has said No to coalition with the SNP
Oliver_W
09-11-2021, 08:03 PM
If you want an example of why they won't win
have a look at this;
xAdT-JoiNC8
Eh. I'm sure someone in the party can deal with numbers bigger than ten without taking their socks off to help them count - notice a certain couple of Labour MPs haven't been made to have embarrassing interviews since the leadership changed. That clip was from ~2017, and has little to do with Labour's current problems.
Crimson Dynamo
09-11-2021, 08:09 PM
Eh. I'm sure someone in the party can deal with numbers bigger than ten without taking their socks off to help them count - notice a certain couple of Labour MPs haven't been made to have embarrassing interviews since the leadership changed. That clip was from ~2017, and has little to do with Labour's current problems.
2019
Withano
09-11-2021, 08:12 PM
Honestly, Boris Johnson could mishandle billions of pounds, **** up Brexit and accidentally kill 142k people and still win
Oh wait
Crimson Dynamo
09-11-2021, 08:31 PM
Honestly, Boris Johnson could mishandle billions of pounds, **** up Brexit and accidentally kill 142k people and still win
Oh wait
he didnt tho and making up political narrative is futile
hijaxers
09-11-2021, 09:47 PM
What exactly is the point of a vote ? when there is no one to vote for , i think many are left in limbo with no one who we have the slightest bit of confidence in.
James
10-11-2021, 12:33 AM
If you use a Electoral Calculator like at https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html Labour would need to reverse the national percentages of the last election to gain a narrow majority. eg. https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=32.5&LAB=45.2&LIB=11.8&Reform=2.1&Green=2.8&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=22.3&SCOTLAB=18.3&SCOTLIB=6.3&SCOTReform=0.7&SCOTGreen=0.7&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=48.3&display=AllMajoritySorted®orseat=%28none%29&boundary=2019nbbase Difficult but not impossible.
More likely would be some sort hung parliament where they might be able to do a deal with other parties.
James
10-11-2021, 12:51 AM
GB News ran a poll
61,000 replies
91% no - 9% yes
Did that surprise you?
If it is a Twitter poll, then it is is self-selecting and not a reliable reflection of the country.
Current election odds - https://www.oddschecker.com/politics/british-politics/next-uk-general-election/overall-majority
Mystic Mock
10-11-2021, 03:41 AM
GB News ran a poll
61,000 replies
91% no - 9% yes
Did that surprise you?
Just because 91% voted no they wouldn't win, doesn't mean that those 91% that voted that way are Tory voters.
I can tell that the Tories will win the next election and I would only vote for them under really extreme circumstances.
Mystic Mock
10-11-2021, 03:47 AM
he didnt tho and making up political narrative is futile
Well he has in fairness.
Food shortages because of a poor Brexit deal.
Extra people dying because of handling the Pandemic in the worst ways possible.
The money situation tbf has been a problem for awhile in this country now, I can probably meet you halfway on that one as Cameron I think started the rot.
arista
10-11-2021, 04:02 AM
Yes David Cameron was Great
he Gave me
and others Legit Brexit.
But then towards the last few months
he is ended as a Greedy Stinking Cad,
All that Cash he made, and got away with it,
as the Corruption in the Steel Industry around him
stank
arista
10-11-2021, 04:08 AM
If you use a Electoral Calculator like at https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/userpoll.html Labour would need to reverse the national percentages of the last election to gain a narrow majority. eg. https://www.electoralcalculus.co.uk/fcgi-bin/usercode.py?scotcontrol=Y&CON=32.5&LAB=45.2&LIB=11.8&Reform=2.1&Green=2.8&UKIP=&TVCON=&TVLAB=&TVLIB=&TVReform=&TVGreen=&TVUKIP=&SCOTCON=22.3&SCOTLAB=18.3&SCOTLIB=6.3&SCOTReform=0.7&SCOTGreen=0.7&SCOTUKIP=&SCOTNAT=48.3&display=AllMajoritySorted®orseat=%28none%29&boundary=2019nbbase Difficult but not impossible.
More likely would be some sort hung parliament where they might be able to do a deal with other parties.
No time for that
we must have a Win
Johnson or Starmer
2024
user104658
10-11-2021, 06:58 AM
Just because 91% voted no they wouldn't win, doesn't mean that those 91% that voted that way are Tory voters.
I can tell that the Tories will win the next election and I would only vote for them under really extreme circumstances.
Very true - I imagine even the most hardcore Labour supporters, if they have any clue about politics, know that Labour would not win an election if one was held right now.
Withano
22-11-2021, 08:14 PM
I’d like to change my vote. He is really ****ing things up
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