Big Brother 2024 Betting Odds Thread [ALI CLEAR FAVE TO WIN]

[Swan]

Lily's odds to be evicted first (not even just to be evicted on the night) have shortened to 8/11!! Translated, it is not looking good for her at all!

[moon_peach]

I think BB edit will be Anti Khaled and Rosie to try save Lily.

Let’s hope it’s too late 🙏 (Well, for Khaled - I do want Rosie out)

[Swan]

Lily 4/6 now, her odds have shortened twice already today

[GlitterUK]

Rosie was very vocal on the live feed last night - loudest I have ever seen her on the show.

[Swan]

Rosie was very vocal on the live feed last night - loudest I have ever seen her on the show.

She has a chance of surviving, according to the odds, but not looking great for her. But you never know, odds are a pretty good indicator, but nothing is set in stone

[rusticgal]

Lily's odds to be evicted first (not even just to be evicted on the night) have shortened to 8/11!! Translated, it is not looking good for her at all!


:cheer2::cheer2::cheer2:

[moon_peach]

Rosie was very vocal on the live feed last night - loudest I have ever seen her on the show.

Yeah I noticed that. I also have heard her say multiple times, both recently in the past, that she feels she won’t win/will get evicted when she’s up because she’s coasted and has been incredibly quiet in the house. She definitely has an awareness of that. So I’m thinking maybe now she’s like a) if I express myself more maybe I’ll be saved, and b) but I’m probably going so now’s also the time to say and do what I want without concern.

[GoldHeart]

Lily 4/6 now, her odds have shortened twice already today

Will be the highlight of the series if she goes tonight :cheer2:. Just think ...the housemates will get peace & quiet finally ,for their final week :dance: .

[GlitterUK]

Yeah I noticed that. I also have heard her say multiple times, both recently in the past, that she feels she won’t win/will get evicted when she’s up because she’s coasted and has been incredibly quiet in the house. She definitely has an awareness of that. So I’m thinking maybe now she’s like a) if I express myself more maybe I’ll be saved, and b) but I’m probably going so now’s also the time to say and do what I want without concern.


She also said if she stays she will get in bed and sleep with Nathan. Not sure that will keep her in,....more reason to evict her I think :laugh:

[moon_peach]

She also said if she stays she will get in bed and sleep with Nathan. Not sure that will keep her in,....more reason to evict her I think :laugh:

She’s just giving people the incentive to kick her out! 😂

[GoldHeart]

She also said if she stays she will get in bed and sleep with Nathan. Not sure that will keep her in,....more reason to evict her I think :laugh:

If only she realised ... we're all tired of the showmance. Also when she's around Nathan,she just sits there like a prop making silly facial expressions. The most she did independently & vocally was when ,she got mistaken for the saboteur last night HL .

[Swan]

Khaled is drifting, Ali shortening slightly. It's becoming closer to a 3 horse race. If Emma goes it will be one of the biggest odds upsets i've ever witnessed in BB.

[GoldHeart]

Khaled is drifting, Ali shortening slightly. It's becoming closer to a 3 horse race. If Emma goes it will be one of the biggest odds upsets i've ever witnessed in BB.

Drifting as in most likely to stay or go ? .

[romeofahey]

I’m shocked because Khaled is still second in the TellyMix poll, granted there’s a huge gap between him and Lily. The bookies must have a lot of faith in him

[Swan]

Drifting as in most likely to stay or go ? .

Drifting means the odds getting bigger, so less likely to go. He's 12/1 to go first tonight, which means you place £1 to win £12. Whereas Lily to go first is 4/6, which translates as placing a £1 will win you about 70p (you always get your stake back if you win). But yeah, the different is huge. BP is 13/8 to go first, £1 wins about £1.50 ish. Ali 5/1, £1 wins you £5. Emma 33/1, £1 wins you £33 (= no chance of her going)

[Vanessa]

If Lily goes my support goes to Nathan.

[Swan]

I’m shocked because Khaled is still second in the TellyMix poll, granted there’s a huge gap between him and Lily. The bookies must have a lot of faith in him

Odds are based on money bet/placed. People are favouring Lily, BT, and Ali (slightly) a lot more than Khaled

But people, and bookies have of course got it wrong in the past

[GoldHeart]

Drifting means the odds getting bigger, so less likely to go. He's 12/1 to go first tonight, which means you place £1 to win £12. Whereas Lily to go first is 4/6, which translates as placing a £1 will win you about 70p (you always get your stake back if you win). But yeah, the different is huge. BP is 13/8 to go first, £1 wins about £1.50 ish. Ali 5/1, £1 wins you £5. Emma 33/1, £1 wins you £33 (= no chance of her going)

Yeah Emma is the only one I know is 100% safe ! .

[Swan]

Yeah Emma is the only one I know is 100% safe ! .

Yeah she is. Basically, Lily and BP to go tonight is odds on, the bookies are predicting this to happen based on the odds, quite significantly too. I'll be shocked if it doesn't go that way tbh. Though Ali is in a bit of danger according to the odds so she could go. But no doubt at least one eviction tonight will go to either Lily or BP

[GoldHeart]

Yeah she is. Basically, Lily and BP to go tonight is odds on, the bookies are predicting this to happen based on the odds, quite significantly too. I'll be shocked if it doesn't go that way tbh. Though Ali is in a bit of danger according to the odds so she could go. But no doubt at least one eviction tonight will go to either Lily or BP

I really hope this is right :fc: :fc: :worry: .

[Swan]

I really hope this is right :fc: :fc: :worry: .

I don't mind BP, but Lily has to go!!!!

[Swan]

Lily 4/7 to go first tonight now, shortening further. Ali becoming slightly safer at 6/1. Khaled shifted quite a bit from 12/1 to 7/1. That's worrying

[Swan]

I'll just keep updating the thread until the odds suspend. Towards the last few hours, odds moving is VERY significant, as that's where the money is/goes as we get closer. Same with any event.

[Swan]

All the money is going on Lily, 1/2 now to be evicted first. Whereas Emma is 40/1 now, she might as well be immune

[moon_peach]

I’m shocked because Khaled is still second in the TellyMix poll, granted there’s a huge gap between him and Lily. The bookies must have a lot of faith in him

That’s what I was thinking - Khaled still looks more likely to go than Ali taking into account all the online polls I’ve seen, but the bookies are predicting Ali more likely to go, which is interesting.

[Swan]

That’s what I was thinking - Khaled still looks more likely to go than Ali taking into account all the online polls I’ve seen, but the bookies are predicting Ali more likely to go, which is interesting.

To go first, Ali currently 7/1, Khaled 8/1. They are quite close tbf.

[moon_peach]

I'll just keep updating the thread until the odds suspend. Towards the last few hours, odds moving is VERY significant, as that's where the money is/goes as we get closer. Same with any event.

When exactly do odds suspend?

[moon_peach]

To go first, Ali currently 7/1, Khaled 8/1. They are quite close tbf.

I posted that before having checked! I wasn’t expecting them to still be moving so much! This is the first time I’ve been invested enough to keep checking this close to the episode airing

[Liam-]

All five on spud, just in case

[Swan]

When exactly do odds suspend?

Honestly, im not sure. Eviction odds can be erratic. Could be any time now.

I posted that before having checked! I wasn’t expecting them to still be moving so much! This is the first time I’ve been invested enough to keep checking this close to the episode airing

Yeah, it's half the fun :joker: And they really are moving a lot this evening. Money is being put down. I find it all sadly interesting :laugh:

[Swan]

All five on spud, just in case

She looks quite likely to go tonight, Lily is becoming a much stronger fave to go first, but BP looks in serious danger of going 2nd. Khaled and Ali are fighting out for 3rd fave, Emma can be forgot as she's going nowhere.

[romeofahey]

I think it’s probably based on the fact that most casual viewers will vote for Ali over Khaled. In the end I think it will be Lily and BP though no matter what. People have went in hard on BP to protect their faves

[FromBB8]

Lily 4/7 to go first tonight now, shortening further. Ali becoming slightly safer at 6/1. Khaled shifted quite a bit from 12/1 to 7/1. That's worrying

Could have been one big bet. I imagine 12/1 was very tempting for some as it looked too long to me. 7/1 is about where he was. If he keeps coming in, it's a concern.

Lily seems to be gone, but second is certainly up for grabs.

[Swan]

Could have been one big bet. I imagine 12/1 was very tempting for some as it looked too long to me. 7/1 is about where he was. If he keeps coming in, it's a concern.

Lily seems to be gone, but second is certainly up for grabs.

Agreed, probably a few biggish bets on Khaled, but nothing major, he's just drifted out to 8/1 again. Ali seems consistent 7's too

[moon_peach]

Honestly, im not sure. Eviction odds can be erratic. Could be any time now.



Yeah, it's half the fun :joker: And they really are moving a lot this evening. Money is being put down. I find it all sadly interesting :laugh:

It is interesting!

[moon_peach]

I think it’s probably based on the fact that most casual viewers will vote for Ali over Khaled. In the end I think it will be Lily and BP though no matter what. People have went in hard on BP to protect their faves

Yeah you’re probably right there - I would imagine casual viewers are much more likely to vote Ali than Khaled

[moon_peach]

Having said that, I would’ve thought the TellyMix poll would be more reflective of casual viewers, and they’ve got Khaled in second. Am I wrong in that assumption?

[GoldHeart]

If he goes he goes ,I don't have 200 phones to evict the others.i tried my best with my 5 votes , can't do anything more .
I will be really annoyed,but I guess I'm expecting the worst .

[Swan]

Having said that, I would’ve thought the TellyMix poll would be more reflective of casual viewers, and they’ve got Khaled in second. Am I wrong in that assumption?

No, i think him going with Lily @ 15/2 is a superb price and am quite tempted throwing a tenner on it

[thesheriff443]

Khalid got my five votes

[FromBB8]

Having said that, I would’ve thought the TellyMix poll would be more reflective of casual viewers, and they’ve got Khaled in second. Am I wrong in that assumption?

I'm definitely not claiming the Tellymix poll is wrong but the issue is you can only vote for one housemate. If those who vote for Ali or Lily split their votes with each other then it could change the dynamics somewhat, or Lily and BP, Ali and BP etc. Of course, some may split with Khaled too.

My issue is marrying the polls with the odds. Lily being up there ties with both, then it becomes a bit of a mess. If you're going to lay odds on something as.., small fry... as Big Brother, surely you look into these kinds of things before putting money on?

[romeofahey]

I think given it’s a double the TellyMix poll is more likely to not be as accurate for the second evictee. Maybe I’m just telling myself that to cope �� but even though that poll has 2k+ votes usually there’s around 300k people (or phones..) that vote in the eviction so we can’t take any single poll too seriously

[GoldHeart]

I'm definitely not claiming the Tellymix poll is wrong but the issue is you can only vote for one housemate. If those who vote for Ali or Lily split their votes with each other then it could change the dynamics somewhat, or Lily and BP, Ali and BP etc. Of course, some may split with Khaled too.

My issue is marrying the polls with the odds. Lily being up there ties with both, then it becomes a bit of a mess. If you're going to lay odds on something as.., small fry... as Big Brother, surely you look into these kinds of things before putting money on?

Is tellymix that accurate?

[FromBB8]

Is tellymix that accurate?

I think it has been with the solo evictions so far. But then, so have the bookmakers. At least one will be wrong tonight.

[moon_peach]

I'm definitely not claiming the Tellymix poll is wrong but the issue is you can only vote for one housemate. If those who vote for Ali or Lily split their votes with each other then it could change the dynamics somewhat, or Lily and BP, Ali and BP etc. Of course, some may split with Khaled too.

My issue is marrying the polls with the odds. Lily being up there ties with both, then it becomes a bit of a mess. If you're going to lay odds on something as.., small fry... as Big Brother, surely you look into these kinds of things before putting money on?

Yeah, the fact that this is a double eviction makes that even more of an issue because people are much more likely to be splitting votes this time. Hard to predict how that might affect things. What I’m seeing the most is people splitting their votes between BP & wherever else they think will save their favourite (ie BP & Khaled to save Lily/Ali, BP & Lily to save Ali/Khaled, BP & Emma to save Khaled/Lily/Ali.)

[moon_peach]

Speaking of polls, I did just combine the data from 5 different polls (here, Digital Spy, FB, Reddit, TellyMix) totalling 5779 votes and got this:

Lily - 35.8%
Rosie - 21.3%
Khaled - 19.7%
Ali - 14.5%
Emma - 8.7%

(Sorry if this is too off topic from betting odds. Feel free to ignore)

[GoldHeart]

Speaking of polls, I did just combine the data from 5 different polls (here, Digital Spy, FB, Reddit, TellyMix) totalling 5779 votes and got this:

Lily - 35.8%
Rosie - 21.3%
Khaled - 19.7%
Ali - 14.5%
Emma - 8.7%

(Sorry if this is too off topic from betting odds. Feel free to ignore)

Khaled & BP are too close for my liking in that poll.

I guess it all depends on tonight's HL .

[Swan]

No more movement, and we're getting close to the odds suspending. Looks like Lily and BP going.

[FromBB8]

No more movement, and we're getting close to the odds suspending. Looks like Lily and BP going.

... According to the bookmakers. This is going to be a long 90 minutes.

[GoldHeart]

No more movement, and we're getting close to the odds suspending. Looks like Lily and BP going.

I really hope so :fc:

[Swan]

Last odds. Lily and BP strong faves to go....Lets see what happens!!!

[Barry.]

Whoever goes it will be a loss to the house, minus BP

[GoldHeart]

:fc: :worry:

[Swan]

Odds still up, no change, still saying Lily and BP go

[Swan]

Odds say Lily and Rosie are gone, still up. Support for Lily and Ali, and Khaled. Nothing for BP

[Swan]

No, i think him going with Lily @ 15/2 is a superb price and am quite tempted throwing a tenner on it

Sorry Redway quoting my own post. Did £20, lets effing goooooooooo!!!!!

[Benjamin]

Told you all not to count Khaled out. So many of you doubted me :laugh:

[FromBB8]

So... the odds were wrong.

Devastated.

[Swan]

So... the odds were wrong.

In a sense, yes. They predicted Lily, not so much Khaled.

[Beso]

Khalid got my five votes

A wise man. He got mine as well.

[Swan]

A wise man. He got mine as well.

Thank you brother. Man is now £150 better off.

(literally can't believe it, i don't mind Khaled, but im buzzing)

[Redway]

Sorry Redway quoting my own post. Did £20, lets effing goooooooooo!!!!!

Literally do what you have to do. Unlike you, I don’t make your posts my business. Because I just don’t care. You don't like me and I don’t like you. Let’s keep it pushing.

[Swan]

Literally do what you have to do. Unlike you, I don’t make your posts my business. Because I just don’t care.

That's very big of you, you win, like Trump etc

[Redway]

That's very big of you, you win, like Trump etc

Yet another post from you that makes perfect sense (if only). I’ll keep it pushing if you won’t. Bye-bye.

[Starscream]

Tellymix poll was bang on. Should watch that instead of the odds.

[GoldHeart]

Tellymix poll was bang on. Should watch that instead of the odds.

I won't pay attention to any odds or polls,as it seems nothing can be trusted. Especially in doubt evictions.

[Benjamin]

Ali back as fave to win.

To win

Ali - 15/8
Emma - 2/1
Marcello - 11/4
Baked Potato 12/1
Hanah 16/1
Segun - 16/1
Sarah - 20/1
Nathan - 25/1
Thomas - 50/1

[GoldHeart]

Ali back as fave to win.

To win

Ali - 15/8
Emma - 2/1
Marcello - 11/4
Baked Potato 12/1
Hanah 16/1
Segun - 16/1
Sarah - 20/1
Nathan - 25/1
Thomas - 50/1



https://i.postimg.cc/43CCJ5nq/200w.gif (https://postimages.org/)


:sleep: :idc:

[Benjamin]

https://i.postimg.cc/43CCJ5nq/200w.gif (https://postimages.org/)


:sleep: :idc:

She’ll pick up a lot of Lily’s fans

[GoldHeart]

She’ll pick up a lot of Lily’s fans

Yep

[GoldHeart]

Last odds. Lily and BP strong faves to go....Lets see what happens!!!

This didn't age well ,they only got 1 right .

[Beastie]

Ali is definitely winning. All my votes gone to Sarah though.

[Lostie!]

Ali back as fave to win.

To win

Ali - 15/8
Emma - 2/1
Marcello - 11/4
Baked Potato 12/1
Hanah 16/1
Segun - 16/1
Sarah - 20/1
Nathan - 25/1
Thomas - 50/1



https://64.media.tumblr.com/e39c0ba29c6bbd23340d83dc1fa76348/tumblr_ptgu5kh5cc1rcnht0_540.gif

[Adamw92]

Ali back as fave to win.

To win

Ali - 15/8
Emma - 2/1
Marcello - 11/4
Baked Potato 12/1
Hanah 16/1
Segun - 16/1
Sarah - 20/1
Nathan - 25/1
Thomas - 50/1



As she should be :clap1:

[Benjamin]

Ali is definitely winning. All my votes gone to Sarah though.

:clap1:

[BBXX]

Let the Ali-ssaince commence. :dance2::dance2:

It’s happened. Home stretch!

[Mystic Mock]

https://64.media.tumblr.com/e39c0ba29c6bbd23340d83dc1fa76348/tumblr_ptgu5kh5cc1rcnht0_540.gif

Segun above Sarah and Nathan?

The bookies do realize that it's vote to win, right?:laugh:

No offense to Segun, but his going to struggle to get votes due to Marcello and Hanah hogging the votes up in his group.

[Benjamin]

What will help Ali’s chances of winning is Lily, Dean, Daze and Martha not being there so she’ll pick up those votes as she’s the last one standing from that side.

[Benjamin]

As we predicted, a three horse race between Ali, Emma and Marcello.

Will be interesting to see how the rest finish between 9th -4th as the odds are usually no indication of the order.

To win

Ali - 2/1
Emma - 7/2
Marcello - 4/1
Hanah 14/1
Baked Potato 16/1
Nathan - 25/1
Sarah - 28/1
Segun - 33/1
Thomas - 60/1

[MTVN]

Think Ali has it in the bag sadly

[Benjamin]

Think Ali has it in the bag sadly

I guess it depends on when people are evicted. If the mandem side go early Marcello will collect their votes.

I think Emma will finish 3rd.

[MTVN]

I guess it depends on when people are evicted. If the mandem side go early Marcello will collect their votes.

I think Emma will finish 3rd.

Do Thomas and Segun really have many fans to go to Marcello though lol. Think the Lily fans will far outweigh those

[Benjamin]

Do Thomas and Segun really have many fans to go to Marcello though lol. Think the Lily fans will far outweigh those

I mean Hanah and Segun. As the Khaled fans will then likely give to Marcello as last one standing. Thomas will defo be first out.

I just thought Emma could potentially do it as she’ll likely collect BP, Sarah and Nathan’s votes. I suspect Nathan will do better than most people expect though.

[MTVN]

I mean Hanah and Segun. As the Khaled fans will then likely give to Marcello as last one standing. Thomas will defo be first out.

I just thought Emma could potentially do it as she’ll likely collect BP, Sarah and Nathan’s votes. I suspect Nathan will do better than most people expect though.

Ah right. Yeah agree on Nathan, I think he'll be there on final night

[joeysteele]

I'm not sure Khaled supporters will now go to Marcello.

I don't know of that many but they say they'll be splitting between other housemates as they blame Marcello for Khaled actually being out now.

[Benjamin]

I'm not sure Khaled supporters will now go to Marcello.

I don't know of that many but they say they'll be splitting between other housemates as they blame Marcello for Khaled actually being out now.

If it comes down to Ali and him they will :laugh:

[BBXX]

If it comes down to Ali and him they will :laugh:

I think so too, but there are also a lot of people who wanted an Ali/Khaled final two.

[Saph]

I’m guessing they’ll reopen the votes once mon/tues eviction happens so we have 5 more

[Lostie!]

If it comes down to Ali and him they will :laugh:

From what I've seen, quite a few people liked them both and were hoping for an Ali / Khaled top 2, so I think a fair few Khaled fans would vote for Ali.

I'm hoping those blaming Marcello for Khaled being evicted stop him winning :laugh:

[joeysteele]

From what I've seen, quite a few people liked them both and were hoping for an Ali / Khaled top 2, so I think a fair few Khaled fans would vote for Ali.

I'm hoping those blaming Marcello for Khaled being evicted stop him winning :laugh:

The people I know who liked Khaled seem to have quite liked him and Ali appearing to be getting on.

Their view seems to be Marcello couldn't have even been head of house without Khaled and that Marcello failed him, leaving him up for eviction.
Plus too Ali didn't even nominate Khaled this last week either.

As I said earlier, they only now blame Marcello for Khaled being out even before the last week of the series.
So I doubt they'd want to help Marcello win.
Like you I hope they will possibly be who could stop him winning.

[Adamw92]

From what I've seen, quite a few people liked them both and were hoping for an Ali / Khaled top 2, so I think a fair few Khaled fans would vote for Ali.

I'm hoping those blaming Marcello for Khaled being evicted stop him winning :laugh:

I mean it is his fault. If he had saved Khaled instead it would have probably been either Baked Potato or Ali who went instead, he had the opportunity after Khaled was the one to put him up as an option for HoH and he just left him to the wolves and look what happened, don’t know how Khaled fans would wanna vote for him after that.

[marcelloforthewin]

I was a big Khaled fan now i am putting everything on Marcello to win

[Benjamin]

I mean it is his fault. If he had saved Khaled instead it would have probably been either Baked Potato or Ali who went instead, he had the opportunity after Khaled was the one to put him up as an option for HoH and he just left him to the wolves and look what happened, don’t know how Khaled fans would wanna vote for him after that.

https://media.tenor.com/mLwO5QB1NDgAAAAM/haha-stir-the-pot.gif

[BBXX]

I cannot believe Marcello didn't replace Khaled after it was Khaled who literally put him in that position... it still baffles me.

[MTVN]

It was interesting within the group Khaled thought of it as himself and Segun as one best mates duo and then Thomas and Marcello as another. Don't think that's really come across in the HLs though

[Adamw92]

It was interesting within the group Khaled thought of it as himself and Segun as one best mates duo and then Thomas and Marcello as another. Don't think that's really come across in the HLs though

Probably because Thomas is such a non entity. If they’re so close then he’s too boring for them to wanna show their interactions. From what we’ve been shown Marcello looked so much closer to Khaled. Did we even see him and Thomas interact much in the live feed?

[MTVN]

Probably because Thomas is such a non entity. If they’re so close then he’s too boring for them to wanna show their interactions. From what we’ve been shown Marcello looked so much closer to Khaled. Did we even see him and Thomas interact much in the live feed?

I've not watched any live feed this year, partly because it's on too late but it also annoys me when I see things on there that don't then get reflected in the HLs lol

Some people say Thomas is quite entertaining on the LF but it that's the case I think we'd see more of it

[Adamw92]

I've not watched any live feed this year, partly because it's on too late but it also annoys me when I see things on there that don't then get reflected in the HLs lol

Some people say Thomas is quite entertaining on the LF but it that's the case I think we'd see more of it

Agreed. He’s clearly just not that interesting or maybe he would give more with a different set of housemates?

I also don’t watch much of the live feed, I’m always too tired to stay up. :laugh: I see the odd clip that people record and put on social media but there’s never anything of Thomas on there.

[Beastie]

Ali, Marcello and Emma all sneaky people.
I rather see Segun win over them three.
Come on Sarah though!!

[moon_peach]

If it comes down to Ali and him they will :laugh:

People forgetting that tons of us had Khaled & Ali as our top 2! I know lots of Khaled fans who are now switching to Ali for the win

[moon_peach]

Thinking about it, what I’m actually seeing the most from Khaled fans now is a switch to either Hanah or Ali.

[GoldHeart]

Thinking about it, what I’m actually seeing the most from Khaled fans now is a switch to either Hanah or Ali.

I don't get the Ali popularity AT ALL, I know you like her moon ...but she reminds me of another Bea BB10 , she's just calmer & more intelligent than Bea.

[marcelloforthewin]

I don't get the Ali popularity AT ALL, I know you like her moon ...but she reminds me of another Bea BB10 , she's just calmer & more intelligent than Bea.

Shes awful we need Hanah or Marcello to win she cant win

[jamiewordsley]

People forgetting that tons of us had Khaled & Ali as our top 2! I know lots of Khaled fans who are now switching to Ali for the win

THIS!! I They was my top 2 ! :joker:

[jamiewordsley]

Also find it funny how there was Ali hate every day on FB posts and Every eviction and now on the posts the top rated are mostly Ali to win. If Ali has even FB fans on her side she is for sure going to be top 2.

[GlitterUK]

I liked Ali at the start but cannot get over how she treated Khaled and tried to make his experience bad. I am just pleased that Khaled is a strong enough person to get through it and get through it with being calm, humble and forgiving which are lovely traits to have in a person.

If Ali has been more in gameplaying mode and honest about it from the get go I would have more respect for her.

Hanah for the win!!

[smudgie]

Here for Ali to win.
Hopefully.

[marcelloforthewin]

Also find it funny how there was Ali hate every day on FB posts and Every eviction and now on the posts the top rated are mostly Ali to win. If Ali has even FB fans on her side she is for sure going to be top 2.

Right how did she win the FB people over? im convinced she is really a witch because what is so amazing about her? i dont and never have seen it nor have i ever seen be likeable for more than 5 minutes.

[Vanessa]

Here for Ali to win.
Hopefully.

Anyone but Thomas and Segun for me.

[Benjamin]

Ali looking now like she has this in the bag. Sarah taking a massive tumble,

To win

Ali - 5/4
Marcello - 4/1
Emma - 9/2
Hanah 10/1
Baked Potato 25/1
Nathan - 28/1
Segun - 28/1
Thomas - 50/1
Sarah - 50/1

[marcelloforthewin]

Ali looking now like she has this in the bag. Sarah taking a massive tumble,

To win

Ali - 5/4
Marcello - 4/1
Emma - 9/2
Hanah 10/1
Baked Potato 25/1
Nathan - 28/1
Segun - 28/1
Thomas - 50/1
Sarah - 50/1


Sarahs Joke was always gonna be her downfall with the gen z's

[Black Dagger]

Yesss keep going Ali!!

[Benjamin]

Sarahs Joke was always gonna be her downfall with the gen z's

I don’t think she finish 9th though. She still get a fair few votes. I think she’ll finish 5th or 6th, which I think even before the joke was likely to be her placing.

[marcelloforthewin]

I don’t think she finish 9th though. She still get a fair few votes. I think she’ll finish 5th or 6th, which I think even before the joke was likely to be her placing.

Yeah im not sure who will finish 9th

[Benjamin]

Yeah im not sure who will finish 9th

I think with out a doubt it’ll be Thomas.

[marcelloforthewin]

I think with out a doubt it’ll be Thomas.

Or Segun im only saying that because i dont actually ever see anyone say Segun to win so i wonder how many are actually gonna vote to save him?

[Adamw92]

Yesss keep going Ali!!

CROWN THE (RED) WITCH!! :cheer:

[Zizu]

Whooooohoooo !


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[Black Dagger]

CROWN THE (RED) WITCH!! :cheer:

I’d feel so vindicated!

[Adamw92]

I’d feel so vindicated!

Would be the perfect end to the series!

[Locke.]

Looks like Ali is staying, I’ve just bet on her to win at 8/1. She’ll pick up the Lily fans after tonight and probably be well clear on all the online polls to win heading into the final.

24 hours later this can already be cashed out for 4 times the amount.

Didn’t expect Khaled to go as well, pretty much sealed the win for her.

[Benjamin]

Yep, nobody else stands a chance to even come close to Ali.

To win

Ali - 4/5
Marcello - 4/1
Emma - 9/1
Hanah 11/1
Baked Potato 28/1
Nathan - 35/1
Segun - 35/1
Sarah - 50/1
Thomas - 66/1

[GoldHeart]

Yep, nobody else stands a chance to even come close to Ali.

To win

Ali - 4/5
Marcello - 4/1
Emma - 9/1
Hanah 11/1
Baked Potato 28/1
Nathan - 35/1
Segun - 35/1
Sarah - 50/1
Thomas - 66/1



Flipping ridiculous :bored:

[Black Dagger]

Yesssss. Keep going!!

[bots]

it might be worth £1 on Thomas

[Lostie!]

Yesssss. Keep going!!

If Ali wins on Friday, I think King Charles should designate November 15th as an annual bank holiday. Ali Day will be celebrated for decades to come

[Adamw92]

Yep, nobody else stands a chance to even come close to Ali.

To win

Ali - 4/5
Marcello - 4/1
Emma - 9/1
Hanah 11/1
Baked Potato 28/1
Nathan - 35/1
Segun - 35/1
Sarah - 50/1
Thomas - 66/1



JUSTICE.

[MTVN]

Yep, nobody else stands a chance to even come close to Ali.

To win

Ali - 4/5
Marcello - 4/1
Emma - 9/1
Hanah 11/1
Baked Potato 28/1
Nathan - 35/1
Segun - 35/1
Sarah - 50/1
Thomas - 66/1



Oh dear oh dear

Glad I actually have plans this Friday now

[GoldHeart]

Oh dear oh dear

Glad I actually have plans this Friday now

Crazy isn't it

[Locke.]

Anyone know what Jordan’s odds to win were heading into the final last year?

[GoldHeart]

Anyone know what Jordan’s odds to win were heading into the final last year?

Benjamin might know

[Benjamin]

This time last year

Odds to win:

Jordan - 6/4
Henry - 9/4
Yinrun - 3/1
Olivia - 9/2
Matty - 50/1
Noky - 50/1

[GoldHeart]

This time last year

Odds to win:

Jordan - 6/4
Henry - 9/4
Yinrun - 3/1
Olivia - 9/2
Matty - 50/1
Noky - 50/1


Thanks Benjamin, we're effed :wavey: , Ali is winning no matter what.
Is there even any point watching the final,when we know what will happen.

[Zizu]

https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20241111/90633cd3c9637eb9a4b95d40c907393b.jpg


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[Black Dagger]

Thanks Benjamin, we're effed :wavey: , Ali is winning no matter what.
Is there even any point watching the final,when we know what will happen.

There have been loads of obvious Big Brother finals!

[Zizu]

This time last year

Odds to win:

Jordan - 6/4
Henry - 9/4
Yinrun - 3/1
Olivia - 9/2
Matty - 50/1
Noky - 50/1


Ali is therefore in a stronger position than Jordan given she is nows odds on favourite meaning you win less than you actually risk/bet !!

https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/20241111/d05f0b8b9051d2277338d0a60a164586.jpg


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[GoldHeart]

There have been loads of obvious Big Brother finals!

Yeah and here's another

[Black Dagger]

Yeah and here's another

It’s about time we had a good landslide winner though unlike the rest of them

[GoldHeart]

It’s about time we had a good landslide winner though unlike the rest of them

I thought Jordan was a landslide last year

[Swan]

Ali shortening further, which is to be expected. Marcello drifting slightly, Emma drifting a lot, Hanah shortening and becoming closer to 2nd fave. She's firm 3rd fave with most bookies now. Basically, the next few HL shows are crucial for Hanah.

Sounds kind of a silly analogy, but if this was a football match, Ali would be leading 3-0 at half time and cruising. Not all over, but it kinda is :laugh:

[BBXX]

Ali shortening further, which is to be expected. Marcello drifting slightly, Emma drifting a lot, Hanah shortening and becoming closer to 2nd fave. She's firm 3rd fave with most bookies now. Basically, the next few HL shows are crucial for Hanah.

Sounds kind of a silly analogy, but if this was a football match, Ali would be leading 3-0 and half time and cruising. Not all over, but it kinda is :laugh:

As someone who doesn't really understand odds at first glance the football analogy is incredibly helpful, thank you :laugh::hee:

[Swan]

As someone who doesn't really understand odds at first glance the football analogy is incredibly helpful, thank you :laugh::hee:

No problem :laugh:

[GoldHeart]

No problem :laugh:

Producers might aswell end it now and crown her the winner :sleep: .

[moon_peach]

Ali shortening further, which is to be expected. Marcello drifting slightly, Emma drifting a lot, Hanah shortening and becoming closer to 2nd fave. She's firm 3rd fave with most bookies now. Basically, the next few HL shows are crucial for Hanah.

Sounds kind of a silly analogy, but if this was a football match, Ali would be leading 3-0 at half time and cruising. Not all over, but it kinda is :laugh:

Just saw this! Ali shortening to around 66% and Marcello drifting to around 16%. I was surprised though bc I thought last night’s episode wasn’t a good one for Ali (whilst I like and understand her, lots of moments where I was like oh…she’s not going to be received well here ��).

I also just still can’t imagine it being this clear cut. Can I ask - does anyone have much knowledge on previous BB winners odds? Have the bookies ever predicted a winner so confidently before and been wrong?

[GoldHeart]

Just saw this! Ali shortening to around 66% and Marcello drifting to around 16%. I was surprised though bc I thought last night’s episode wasn’t a good one for Ali (whilst I like and understand her, lots of moments where I was like oh…she’s not going to be received well here ��).

I also just still can’t imagine it being this clear cut. Can I ask - does anyone have much knowledge on previous BB winners odds? Have the bookies ever predicted a winner so confidently before and been wrong?

There's the odds from last year , somewhere on here if you want to compare. Jordan was a favourite to win with bookies and they got it right .

[Swan]

Just saw this! Ali shortening to around 66% and Marcello drifting to around 16%. I was surprised though bc I thought last night’s episode wasn’t a good one for Ali (whilst I like and understand her, lots of moments where I was like oh…she’s not going to be received well here ��).

I also just still can’t imagine it being this clear cut. Can I ask - does anyone have much knowledge on previous BB winners odds? Have the bookies ever predicted a winner so confidently before and been wrong?

No, a HM has never been this strong in the odds so close to final, in recent memory anyway.

[Benjamin]

No, a HM has never been this strong in the odds so close to final, in recent memory anyway.

I think the last time so far ahead was Josie Gibson

[Ammi]

….it’s strange because DS has Ali polling as their favourite to win…and she also polls on there as the one who they would least like to win…I never understand these things…

[Bronzo]

I think the last time so far ahead was Josie Gibson

Isabelle was super far ahead; but yes before her I think it was Josie who dominated the odds

[Bronzo]

Just looked through old threads and Cameron was 8/11 with some bookies on the day before the finale for BB19, so she hasn’t quite reached bigger odds that Cameron actually. Isabelle was also 8/11. But those were the two clear winners for channel 5.

[Black Dagger]

Ali has gone 1/2

[Starscream]

We need Tellymix to put up a "To Win" poll as it is the only way to accurately tell who will win.

[Swan]

Ali has gone 1/2

She was 1/2 before the HL show started. However, the deep web crypto is moving HARD for Hanah

[Cherie]

She was 1/2 before the HL show started. However, the deep web crypto is moving HARD for Hanah

PLEASE

[GoldHeart]

We need Tellymix to put up a "To Win" poll as it is the only way to accurately tell who will win.

Yeah I can't find the latest on tellymix

[GoldHeart]

She was 1/2 before the HL show started. However, the deep web crypto is moving HARD for Hanah

Can you imagine if Hanah actually won :amazed::cheer:

[Adamw92]

Yeah I can't find the latest on tellymix

I think they’ve been waiting for the finalists to be revealed before putting one up rather than having to constantly do them after all of these back door evictions.

[Jordan.]

….it’s strange because DS has Ali polling as their favourite to win…and she also polls on there as the one who they would least like to win…I never understand these things…

Remember Aaron winning to thunderous boos :hehe:

[Saph]

Remember Aaron winning to thunderous boos :hehe:

I remember being so mad when he won

[Black Dagger]

Remember Aaron winning to thunderous boos :hehe:

Legend Aaron <3

[troy4783]

Can you imagine if Hanah actually won :amazed::cheer:Would love Hanah to win !

[Ammi]

Remember Aaron winning to thunderous boos :hehe:

I remember being so mad when he won

Legend Aaron <3

…he was another one that was so polarised in opinion, want he…strangely I mentioned him today as well…it is odd how someone can be voted favourite and yet also voted the one they would most like to see leaving…/…bizarre…:laugh:..

[Swan]

Remember Aaron winning to thunderous boos :hehe:

Legend Aaron <3

Can you imagine if Hanah actually won :amazed::cheer:

I think they’ve been waiting for the finalists to be revealed before putting one up rather than having to constantly do them after all of these back door evictions.

…he was another one that was so polarised in opinion, want he…strangely I mentioned him today as well…it is odd how someone can be voted favourite and yet also voted the one they would most like to see leaving…/…bizarre…:laugh:..

There was no deep web then, not really. The deep web are backing Hanah. Bet now!

[Benjamin]

Hanah will come 4th

[Benjamin]

My predictions

1st - Ali
2nd - Marcello
3rd - Nathan
4th - Hanah
5th - Emma
6th - Segun

[Swan]

Hanah will come 4th

I'll bet you £100 she'll be at least 3rd :laugh:

[rusticgal]

I can’t see Nathan coming 3rd…

[Jase.]

I think Nathan's the type to have a lot of silent voters. He'll either come third or fourth.

[Benjamin]

I can’t see Nathan coming 3rd…

Nobody expected Olivia second last year or Henry 3rd :tongue:

[Benjamin]

I think Nathan's the type to have a lot of silent voters. He'll either come third or fourth.

Exactly. Here’s been a big character.

[GoldHeart]

Nobody expected Olivia second last year or Henry 3rd :tongue:

Yeah I have a feeling Nathan will finish third aswell, and I don't think Marcello will finish second.

[rusticgal]

Nobody expected Olivia second last year or Henry 3rd :tongue:


I did :tongue:

[troy4783]

Hanah will come 4thShe’s coming for 3rd I reckon

[moon_peach]

….it’s strange because DS has Ali polling as their favourite to win…and she also polls on there as the one who they would least like to win…I never understand these things…

Well, it’s like how on here Ali often tops the polls for both most and least favourite housemate 😂 She’s just very divisive m. A true marmite housemate!

[moon_peach]

I think the last time so far ahead was Josie Gibson

Interesting! I suppose I’m sceptical for many reasons, not least bc the producers are quite clearly pushing Marcello for the win lol (especially after that ep)

[moon_peach]

Remember Aaron winning to thunderous boos :hehe:

That was amazing! I loved Aaron and wanted him to win but he was terrible 😂 Is that the only time a villain character has won BB?

(Forgive me if my perception is wrong, I haven’t revisited it since it aired but that’s how I remember it)

[Mystic Mock]

Can you imagine if Hanah actually won :amazed::cheer:

I will genuinely be surprised.:laugh:

[Mystic Mock]

Hanah will come 4th

I agree with you.

[GoldHeart]

I will genuinely be surprised.:laugh:

Well it looks like Segun is being a little stitched up with that voice message from Hanah's friends. It would be nice if Hanah got more support afterwards.

[Ammi]

Well, it’s like how on here Ali often tops the polls for both most and least favourite housemate 😂 She’s just very divisive m. A true marmite housemate!

…yeah that’s true, actually…when opinions are so polorised…?..it just seems really odd to see someone as the favourite and on the same site, the one that they most want to see leave…:laugh:…

[Benjamin]

To win

Ali - 1/2
Marcello - 7/2
Hanah 11/1
Emma - 12/1
Nathan - 33/1
Segun - 59/1

[moon_peach]

To win

Ali - 1/2
Marcello - 7/2
Hanah 11/1
Emma - 12/1
Nathan - 33/1
Segun - 59/1



If Marcello wins this I’ll be throwing my TV out the window…

[Mystic Mock]

If Marcello wins this I’ll be throwing my TV out the window…

I'll be throwing an M Club party.:dance:

[BBXX]

If Marcello wins this I’ll be throwing my TV out the window…

He will. Unfortunately.

[moon_peach]

He will. Unfortunately.

I would be angry if he won fairly, but based on the sheer amount of favouritism the producers have shown him he’ll be winning unfairly, which is even worse. This level of producer interference shouldn’t be allowed when 90k is at stake.

[Benjamin]

So these were the odds to win on launch night. Unusually, none of the top 5 in the odds originally have made it.

A bet at the start on any of these if they now win will bring a tidy sum.

Izaaz - 8/1
Thomas - 8/1
Lily - 8/1
Khaled - 8/1
Martha 9/1
Emma - 10/1
Segun - 16/1
Marcello - 18/1
Ali - 20/1
Dean - 20/1
Nathan - 20/1
Hannah - 25/1
Sarah - 25/1
Ryan - 25/1
Daze - 25/1
Rosie 33/1

[bots]

Would be interesting if the finishing order reflected the first week betting for those that are remaining

[GoldHeart]

He will. Unfortunately.

You already know Ali is winning so don't play now :idc: .

[millyrose]

Unfortunately Ali will win sorry but i see just don't see the attraction with her.

[Starscream]

Tellymix have clearly been ordered not to put up a poll by ITV. Something is up! A massive fix for Segun to win!?

[GoldHeart]

Tellymix have clearly been ordered not to put up a poll by ITV. Something is up! A massive fix for Segun to win!?

Don't be silly :joker::joker:
I'm dead at this conspiracy theory .

There's more chance of a spaceship full of stardust & unicorns landing on stage with Will & AJ ,than Segun winning...come on now :rolleyes:.

[marcelloforthewin]

Don't be silly :joker::joker:
I'm dead at this conspiracy theory .

There's more chance of a spaceship full of stardust & unicorns landing on stage with Will & AJ ,than Segun winning...come on now :rolleyes:.

Keep voting for Marcello 5 votes :hee:

[Benjamin]

These were the % chance to win for the top 3 on the final odds and then their actual placing:


BB12

Alex - 55% - 3rd place
Aaron - 33.8% - Winner
Jay - 16.7% - runner up


BB13

Deana - 43.5% - 3rd place
Adam - 27.8% - runner ip
Luke A - 25% - Winner


BB14

Sam - 57.9% Winner
Dexter - 25% - runner up
Gina - 15.4%


BB15

Ashleigh - 61.9% - runner up
Christopher - 16.7% - 3rd
Helen - 13.3% - Winner


BB16

Chloe - 40% - Winner
Jack - 33% - 4th place
Joel - 33% - runner up


BB17

Hughie - 54.5% - runner up
Jason Burrill - 36.4% - winner
Andy - 25% - 4th place


BB18

Isabelle - 76.9% - Winner
Deborah - 15.4% - 3rd place
Raph - 9.1% - runner up


BB19

Cameron - 73.3% - Winner
Cian - 23.1% - runner up
Akeem - 7.7% - 3rd place


BB20

Jordan - 71.4% - Winner
Yinrun - 14.3% - 4th place
Olivia - 12.5% - runner up


Based on current odds here the % chance of likely to win:

Ali - 65.20%
Marcello - 20%
Emma - 7.7%
Hanah - 7.7%
Nathan - 2.9%
Segun - 2%

[GoldHeart]

Based on current odds here the % chance of likely to win:

Ali - 65.20%
Marcello - 20%
Emma - 7.7%
Hanah - 7.7%
Nathan - 2.9%
Segun - 2%


Either way , Ali is winning :sleep: .

[Benjamin]

Either way , Ali is winning :sleep: .

Well out of the past 9 seasons the bookies have got it wrong 4 times.

[BBXX]

This BB will be a repeat of BB15, I am calling it now.

[moon_peach]

Based on current odds here the % chance of likely to win:

Ali - 65.20%
Marcello - 20%
Emma - 7.7%
Hanah - 7.7%
Nathan - 2.9%
Segun - 2%

Benjamin this is actually the post I managed to track down earlier! (The one listing previous odds). Seems like it’s still unclear territory for Marcello and Ali unless Ali’s odds shorten somewhat. And I imagine things will shift in the next couple of days too

[GoldHeart]

Benjamin this is actually the post I managed to track down earlier! (The one listing previous odds). Seems like it’s still unclear territory for Marcello and Ali unless Ali’s odds shorten somewhat. And I imagine things will shift in the next couple of days too

Can it really change much in 2 days though

[Benjamin]

Can it really change much in 2 days though

My point being the bookies and polls don’t always get it right.

[Zizu]

My point being the bookies and polls don’t always get it right.


Bookies normally do though or certainly very close - thats why they are all wealthy and the gambling addicts broke


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[OnTheRight]

Bookies normally do though or certainly very close - thats why they are all wealthy and the gambling addicts broke


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Plenty of Bookies have gone bankrupt.
And Bookies do not want the favourite to win.

[Zizu]

Plenty of Bookies have gone bankrupt.
And Bookies do not want the favourite to win.


Who said anything about Bookies wanting favourites to win ?

They simply calculate the odds accordingly


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[OnTheRight]

Who said anything about Bookies wanting favourites to win ?

They simply calculate the odds accordingly


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They always want the fav to lose. There will be massive liabilities on the fav.

[Crimson Dynamo]

An Ali win would be so bad for BB

[Zizu]

An Ali win would be so bad for BB


…. and in the real world …


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[moon_peach]

Can it really change much in 2 days though

Sometimes it can. Just checked now and on oddschecker Ali’s at around 73% odds and Marcello 18%, so the gap has widened after that ep (which I haven’t seen yet so idk why.) If Ali’s odds stay that high and she doesn’t win then they’ll have really gotten it wrong!

[GoldHeart]

Sometimes it can. Just checked now and on oddschecker Ali’s at around 73% odds and Marcello 18%, so the gap has widened after that ep (which I haven’t seen yet so idk why.) If Ali’s odds stay that high and she doesn’t win then they’ll have really gotten it wrong!

That's my point, Ali is winning no matter what.

Painfully predictable,and a horrible result:bored:.

[Bronzo]

Based on current odds here the % chance of likely to win:

Ali - 65.20%
Marcello - 20%
Emma - 7.7%
Hanah - 7.7%
Nathan - 2.9%
Segun - 2%

Helen winning at 13.3% and even Luke at just over 20, shows it’s not a complete dead cert. It’s when some Cody reaches 70+% they become a dead cert imo.

[joeysteele]

The thing that's different now though is you only get 5 votes at a time
That removes the high level of extra phone voting there was before.
When you could hammer your phones endlessly voting for someone or against someone too.

This app voting limits the amount of votes cast now.
Plus the opportunity to target even probably.

[eternal]

I'd be happy with Hanah, Marcello or Emma winning it. I wouldn't mind Nathan either as he has been entertaining but his showmance and nastiness at times has brought him down.

Segun and Ali should be nowhere near it. Neither have brought any humour or entertainment to the house. Segun is a nice guy but spineless and Ali is straight up awful.

[Benjamin]

To win

Ali - 4/11
Marcello - 9/2
Emma - 9/1
Hanah 12/1
Nathan - 28/1
Segun - 40/1

[bots]

that order shows nathan and segun with the lowest votes which ties in with them being bottom 4 in the vault :laugh:

[GoldHeart]

that order shows nathan and segun with the lowest votes which ties in with them being bottom 4 in the vault :laugh:

I suspected that, but then I'm kept thinking Nathan was higher up.

[Zizu]

To win

Ali - 4/11
Marcello - 9/2
Emma - 9/1
Hanah 12/1
Nathan - 28/1
Segun - 40/1




For anyone unsure …

You have to pay £11 in order to possibly win £4 - betting on Ali


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[Benjamin]

that order shows nathan and segun with the lowest votes which ties in with them being bottom 4 in the vault :laugh:

No you can’t use the odds for the finishing order. They rarely reflect that.

[Benjamin]

To win

Ali - 4/9
Marcello - 9/2
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 28/1
Segun - 50/1

[moon_peach]

To win

Ali - 4/9
Marcello - 9/2
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 28/1
Segun - 50/1



Can I ask Benjamin, is there any one bookies that tends to be more accurate than the others? I know they all seem to offer slightly different odds

[Benjamin]

Can I ask Benjamin, is there any one bookies that tends to be more accurate than the others? I know they all seem to offer slightly different odds

Not really. They tend to all have very similar odds.

[Zizu]

Can I ask Benjamin, is there any one bookies that tends to be more accurate than the others? I know they all seem to offer slightly different odds


Slight tangent but I think OddsChecker assimilates ALL the other bookies’s odds together to give an overall view on things


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[Benjamin]

Slight tangent but I think OddsChecker assimilates ALL the other bookies’s odds together to give an overall view on things


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Correct. It will show you all the bookies odds for a housemate if you expand it. Odds checker will show you the one which will give you the best return out of all of them unless you expand it.

[moon_peach]

Oh thank you both, I didn’t realise that! I’ve been mostly focusing on oddschecker, so good to know that’s probably the best way to do it

[bots]

All we can really take from the odds are that Nathan and Segun are unlikely to win. All the rest of them reflect the money placed on them, which in a system consisting of limited free votes, points to corresponding likely outcomes. It's not possible these days to swamp vote for one house mate, so the odds are far more likely to reflect reality than they did when you had to pay to vote

[Locke.]

10/1 for Ali to win and Hanah to come 2nd is generous

https://sports.williamhill.com/betting/en-gb/tv-specials/competitions/big-brother/outrights

[GoldHeart]

To win

Ali - 4/9
Marcello - 9/2
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 28/1
Segun - 50/1




See it's changed again, except for Ali of course.

[BBXX]

I've put a bet on Marcello to soften the blow by £35 if he wins. :laugh:

[moon_peach]

Ali gone up to 2/5 on oddschecker now

[Zizu]

Ali gone up to 2/5 on oddschecker now


So you bet £5 to win £2 ?


It was £4.50 to win £2 .. so she’s MORE of a favourite ??

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[GoldHeart]

Ali gone up to 2/5 on oddschecker now

I might aswell make a bet then :hee:

[moon_peach]

So you bet £5 to win £2 ?


It was £4.50 to win £2 .. so she’s MORE of a favourite ??

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I’m not really clear on how the betting works, but yes, her odds are now about 71%. I believe that’s what Jordan’s were last year. Marcello still at 20% iirc

[moon_peach]

I have a question though…. Why would anyone bet £5 to win £2?? Surely at that point everyone just stops betting on that person because there’s no reward, and the odds stop going up?

[Zizu]

I’m not really clear on how the betting works, but yes, her odds are now about 71%. I believe that’s what Jordan’s were last year. Marcello still at 20% iirc


Its a mystery to me as well


We used to bet on the Grand National occasionally but only if the horse we’d had a tip on was 10:1 though… where you bet a £1 to win £10


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[OnTheRight]

I have a question though…. Why would anyone bet £5 to win £2?? Surely at that point everyone just stops betting on that person because there’s no reward, and the odds stop going up?

£50 would win you £20, why not bet?

[GoldHeart]

Come on BB hurry up and crown Ali the winner,I'm glad it's nearly finished :hee: .

Whoever puts bets on Ali ,will be having a nice Christmas this year .

[moon_peach]

£50 would win you £20, why not bet?

But you’ll have spent £50….so surely you ultimately just end up spending £30. Is there something I’m not getting?

[Zizu]

But you’ll have spent £50….so surely you ultimately just end up spending £30. Is there something I’m not getting?


Ahhhh

You get your initial bet BACK. ..

So you end up with £70


Or lose £50 if she doesn’t win


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[Benjamin]

I think it’s safe to say Ali well and truly has this in the bag now.

To win

Ali - 1/3
Marcello - 5/1
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 20/1
Segun - 40/1


In terms of % likely to win:

Ali - 75%
Marcello - 16.70%
Emma - 9.10%
Hanah - 6.7%
Nathan - 4.8%
Segun - 2.4%

[BBXX]

I think it’s safe to say Ali well and truly has this in the bag now.

To win

Ali - 1/3
Marcello - 5/1
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 20/1
Segun - 40/1


In terms of % likely to win:

Ali - 75%
Marcello - 16.70%
Emma - 9.10%
Hanah - 6.7%
Nathan - 4.8%
Segun - 2.4%



Stop it Benjamin you're getting me all excited!

https://i.gifer.com/origin/91/919e2a7480470966ff6659c7d6f7a36a_w200.gif

[moon_peach]

Ahhhh

You get your initial bet BACK. ..

So you end up with £70


Or lose £50 if she doesn’t win


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

Ahhhh I see, that makes more sense

[Bronzo]

I think it’s safe to say Ali well and truly has this in the bag now.

To win

Ali - 1/3
Marcello - 5/1
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 20/1
Segun - 40/1


In terms of % likely to win:

Ali - 75%
Marcello - 16.70%
Emma - 9.10%
Hanah - 6.7%
Nathan - 4.8%
Segun - 2.4%



Marcello could pull off a Helen esche win still then; she was around 13% right? It’s also quite similar as the reason Helen pulled it off was because Ashleigh was also so polarising so it was also an anti Ashleigh vote; similar to Ali.

I wouldn’t say it’s a dead cert yet; but I would say it’s a guarantee the top 2 will be Ali and Marcello imo.

It definitely is looking that Ali will win though

[BBXX]

Marcello could pull off a Helen esche win still then; she was around 13% right? It’s also quite similar as the reason Helen pulled it off was because Ashleigh was also so polarising so it was also an anti Ashleigh vote; similar to Ali.

I wouldn’t say it’s a dead cert yet; but I would say it’s a guarantee the top 2 will be Ali and Marcello imo.

It definitely is looking that Ali will win though

This is exactly what I think will happen. I didn’t want the Helen/Ashleigh series as I only lasted two weeks due to finding Helen appalling to watch. How was Ashleigh more polarising than HELEN?!

[FromBB8]

This is exactly what I think will happen. I didn’t want the Helen/Ashleigh series as I only lasted two weeks due to finding Helen appalling to watch. How was Ashleigh more polarising than HELEN?!

Back then there wasn't such a thing as free votes. Ashleigh was at risk on numerous occasions leading up to the final whilst Helen was safe due to being given immunity on opening night. Helen fans could save their cash for the final, whilst Ashleigh fans had to spend again and again to keep her in, let alone have her win the show.

[BBXX]

Back then there wasn't such a thing as free votes. Ashleigh was at risk on numerous occasions leading up to the final whilst Helen was safe due to being given immunity on opening night. Helen fans could save their cash for the final, whilst Ashleigh fans had to spend again and again to keep her in, let alone have her win the show.

Ah I see! I didn't realise Helen won immunity for the whole show on opening night. That's insane?

[bots]

i still don't believe Ali will win, she just doesn't have the personality profile of a bb winner. I would suggest Hanah is a more likely winner than Ali. I think Ali will finish 3rd or 4th

[FromBB8]

Ah I see! I didn't realise Helen won immunity for the whole show on opening night. That's insane?

It went down like a bucket of cold sick at the time.

[BBXX]

It went down like a bucket of cold sick at the time.

I must have blanked it out because I watched for the few couple of weeks but turned off because it was just Helen arguing with everyone. :laugh:

[moon_peach]

Marcello could pull off a Helen esche win still then; she was around 13% right? It’s also quite similar as the reason Helen pulled it off was because Ashleigh was also so polarising so it was also an anti Ashleigh vote; similar to Ali.

I wouldn’t say it’s a dead cert yet; but I would say it’s a guarantee the top 2 will be Ali and Marcello imo.

It definitely is looking that Ali will win though

One thing that’s interesting to me is I’ve noticed Marcello is actually not second in popularity in most of the polls I’m seeing. He’s only in the top 2 on FB and Digital Spy. I still feel like he will be in the top 2 and have a decent chance of winning, but it gives me pause. Is it possible he’s not as popular as we think he is?

[moon_peach]

I think it’s safe to say Ali well and truly has this in the bag now.

To win

Ali - 1/3
Marcello - 5/1
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 20/1
Segun - 40/1


In terms of % likely to win:

Ali - 75%
Marcello - 16.70%
Emma - 9.10%
Hanah - 6.7%
Nathan - 4.8%
Segun - 2.4%



On oddschecker Ali is still 4/11 (around 71%) and Marcello 11/2 (around 15%). Are you going off William Hill?

[moon_peach]

Oh on William Hill Ali is now 2/7 (77%) but if oddschecker combines all the different bookies I’m going to trust them more!

[Jase.]

To win;

4/11 Ali Bromley
11/2 Marcello Spooks
14/1 Emma Morgan
20/1 Hanah Haji
25/1 Nathan King
66/1 Segun Shodipo

Ali's as low as 1/5. Game over.

[bots]

a huge number of repeat votes will come in during the show. On each eviction, the votes are refreshed