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-   -   The Official X Factor 5 Betting Odds Topic (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=67895)

dupin 09-11-2008 10:07 AM

Look at last week's elimination odds:

Daniel - 4/6
Rachel - 9/2
Ruth - 6/1
JLS - 16/1
Eoghan - 22/1
Alexandra - 50/1
Laura - 66/1
Diana 100/1

I actually didn't think Laura would be in much longer, though I actually suspected she'd be out the next week...just a £1 bet would have got me £66! I should have bet on it!

Something interesting is that the person who gets called through last is chosen for one of two reasons:

* It is a shock that they are through, as you would think they would be in the bottom 2 (Scott week 1, Daniel week 5)

OR

* They are a favourite who is near the bottom 2, and it is a way of making it seem as though they are near the bottom 2 & tries to provoke more votes for them next week (Austin week 2, Austin week 3, Laura week 4)

So it's something to watch for next week if anyone is thinking of making a bet...

Alternatively, the first two performers every week are in the bottom two unless any of the first two performers already have a big enough fanbase so that it doesn't matter where they are in the show, from week 3 onwards anyway:

Week 3 ; Scott & Daniel (performed 1st & 2nd)
Week 4 ; Rachel & Austin (performed 1st & 2nd)
Week 5; Ruth & Laura (performed 2nd & 3rd)

Eoghan performed 1st in week 5, but avoided the bottom 2; this leads me to believe that he is one of the front runners in the voting. Using all this stuff, I think come next week, in between the two shows, it could be useful in making some good bets...

Also, does anyone have the odds from last night, in between the two shows? Was Laura more of a favourite to go then, or was it a complete shock for the bookies?

Benjamin 09-11-2008 10:11 AM

is was a complete shock for the bookies ( i think her odds shortened slightly on being eliminated, but not by much, I think it was 54/1)

dupin 09-11-2008 10:15 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by ukturtle
is was a complete shock for the bookies ( i think her odds shortened slightly on being eliminated, but not by much, I think it was 54/1)
Annoying, I was out, I probably would have put a bet on that point of being in the bottom 2, as I wouldn't have thought the judges would vote her out...what were the odds when it announced Laura & Ruth were in the bottom 2...last week it was like:

Rachel 4/6
Austin 5/2

And I really thought they would vote Austin out, but didn't bother placing money on it, as it was only 5/2...

Benjamin 09-11-2008 10:17 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by dupin
Quote:

Originally posted by ukturtle
is was a complete shock for the bookies ( i think her odds shortened slightly on being eliminated, but not by much, I think it was 54/1)
Annoying, I was out, I probably would have put a bet on that point of being in the bottom 2, as I wouldn't have thought the judges would vote her out...what were the odds when it announced Laura & Ruth were in the bottom 2...last week it was like:

Rachel 4/6
Austin 5/2

And I really thought they would vote Austin out, but didn't bother placing money on it, as it was only 5/2...

Not got exact source, but I think it was

Ruth 7/8
Laura 10/2

Lewis. 09-11-2008 10:56 AM

..

XxShortyxX 09-11-2008 11:04 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by Lewiis.Xx
..

Lol why you done that? :bigsmile:

Lewis. 09-11-2008 11:05 AM

Quote:

Originally posted by XxShortyxX
Quote:

Originally posted by Lewiis.Xx
..

Lol why you done that? :bigsmile:
Bumpin it !

Alexandras odds have shortened!

XxShortyxX 09-11-2008 11:06 AM

Yay go Alex :cheer:

Lewis. 09-11-2008 11:08 AM

i know.. She is getting coser to Diana each day!!!

i thik in the end, Alexandra has a lot more authority and power in her voice and is much more taleted than Diana, Who is good, But just doesn't have that sparkle

Billy 09-11-2008 12:02 PM

Thought I'd say that, after the performance show, Laura was 499/1 to go on betfair ;)

Benjamin 10-11-2008 11:57 AM

Next Elimination (and this is interesting):


Daniel - 13/16
Rachel - 31/10
Ruth - 5/1
Eoghan - 14/1
JLS - 16/1
Diana - 20/1
Alexandra - 28/1



They have all become closer again by a lot.

LemonJam 11-11-2008 03:38 PM

Oddschecker

To Win
Diana Vickers - 6/5
Alexandra Burke - 10/3
Eoghan Quigg - 11/2
JLS - 6/1
Ruth Lorenzo - 25/1
Rachel Hylton - 40/1
Daniel Evans 66/1

Next elimination
Daniel Evans - 5/6
Rachel Hylton - 3/1
Ruth Lorenzo - 11/2
JLS - 20/1
Eoghan Quigg - 25/1
Alexandra Burke - 33/1
Diana Vickers - 33/1

dupin 11-11-2008 03:39 PM

After Austin & Lauras shock evictions, no one is that unlikely to go now...

To Win
Diana Vickers 11/10
Alexandra Burke 11/4
Eoghan Quigg 11/2
JLS 6/1
Ruth Lorenzo 20/1
Rachel Hylton 40/1
Daniel Evans 66/1

Sixth Elimination

Daniel Evans 8/11
Rachel Hylton 5/2
Ruth Lorenzo 5/1
Eoghan Quigg 14/1
JLS 16/1
Alexandra Burke 25/1
Diana Vickers 33/1

XxShortyxX 11-11-2008 03:40 PM

Glad Diana and Alex are still the top 2!

*mazedsalv** 11-11-2008 04:06 PM

That better be the way it ends up, except I would swap Ruth to where Eoghan is and put Eoghan where Ruth is.

So this would be what i would love it to go:

Diana
Alexandra
Ruth
JLS
Eoghan
Rachel
Daniel

XxShortyxX 11-11-2008 04:18 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by *mazedsalv**
That better be the way it ends up, except I would swap Ruth to where Eoghan is and put Eoghan where Ruth is.

So this would be what i would love it to go:

Diana
Alexandra
Ruth
JLS
Eoghan
Rachel
Daniel
That would be wicked if it happens like that!

Tom 13-11-2008 06:58 PM

Laura is at 45/1 to win with Betfair, ahead of Rachel and Daniel :joker:

Eoghan is closing in, he's at 4/1 :cloud:

XxShortyxX 13-11-2008 07:02 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Tom
Laura is at 45/1 to win with Betfair, ahead of Rachel and Daniel :joker:

Eoghan is closing in, he's at 4/1 :cloud:

Oh god, why is Eoghan so low down? he is bloody awful! stupid teenage girls voting on looks yet again :rolleyes:

*mazedsalv** 13-11-2008 07:38 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by XxShortyxX
Quote:

Originally posted by Tom
Laura is at 45/1 to win with Betfair, ahead of Rachel and Daniel :joker:

Eoghan is closing in, he's at 4/1 :cloud:

Oh god, why is Eoghan so low down? he is bl***y awful! stupid teenage girls voting on looks yet again :rolleyes:
Its ridiculous!!! Eoghan should be down at the bottom even below Daniel!! Im soo hoping Diana can continue!!!

rayheartbliss 13-11-2008 07:39 PM

hmm..why is ruth below eoghan

Indierock&roll 13-11-2008 09:28 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by rayheartbliss
hmm..why is ruth below eoghan
because hes better :thumbs2:

probably because ruth has been in the bottom 2 like twice already i doubt she'll win

Billy 13-11-2008 09:34 PM

Diana is drifting out majorly, but I expect it's due to the whole will she, wont she sing thing

rayheartbliss 13-11-2008 09:36 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Indierock&roll
Quote:

Originally posted by rayheartbliss
hmm..why is ruth below eoghan
because hes better :thumbs2:

probably because ruth has been in the bottom 2 like twice already i doubt she'll win
but laura was in the bottom two!

and she had like millions of fans!

XxShortyxX 14-11-2008 07:48 AM

lmao Eoghan better then Ruth? are you joking? Ruth is miles better!

Billy I agree, her odds were dirfting due to the fact she might not sing, however the Sun has said her throat is still sore but she went to rehearsals yesterday, which is a very good sign.

Benjamin 14-11-2008 02:37 PM

To Win:

Diana: 5/4
Alexandra: 10/3
Eughon: 5
JLS: 5
Ruth: 18
Rachel: 33
Daniel: 66



Next Elimination: (only Ruth's and Alex's have drifted, while everyone elses chances of being axed have increased)

Daniel: 10/11
Rachel: 11/4
Ruth: 6
Eoghan: 14
JLS: 16
Diana: 22
Alexandra: 25


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