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-   -   It's Election Day in the States. Who do you think will win realistically? (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=371371)

bots 04-11-2020 11:42 AM

biden could still have a very convincing victory, which is amazing given the back and forth

user104658 04-11-2020 11:42 AM

4/1 seems to have been a brief blip by the way for anyone following the odds. Trump is sitting fairly steadily fluctuating between 7/2 and 100/30 at the moment.

user104658 04-11-2020 11:43 AM

I got 4/1 on my re-bet and I think it was only there for about 30 seconds :joker:

Denver 04-11-2020 11:49 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by bitontheslide (Post 10946531)
michigan is down to a 2k lead from trump now, it was 30k 5 mins ago :laugh:

Its now tied with Belief that Biden has more votes then Trump to come

user104658 04-11-2020 11:58 AM

Mhhhh I still don't think GA, NC or PA are going to flip and MI is a ??. Assuming NV and WI go Biden, that hinges the result on MI with Biden 270 if it goes to him, Trump 280 if it goes red.

Frankly I can still see a Trump win with 280.

The Slim Reaper 04-11-2020 12:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Toy Soldier (Post 10946562)
Mhhhh I still don't think GA, NC or PA are going to flip and MI is a ??. Assuming NV and WI go Biden, that hinges the result on MI with Biden 270 if it goes to him, Trump 280 if it goes red.

Frankly I can still see a Trump win with 280.

I think the best sign for Biden was actually the worst sign for democracy. Trump doesn't declare victory if he thinks he's winning enough of the remaining votes.

user104658 04-11-2020 12:04 PM

7/2 is still sat there whispering at me like a tiny devil and the cash out money is still in the account. Someone talk me out of it.

The Slim Reaper 04-11-2020 12:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Toy Soldier (Post 10946543)
I bottled it and cashed out about 10 minutes ago :joker:, got back 3/4 of what I staked, seconds later he went 4/1 (/...!) so I re-bet a tiny bit that will still net a slight overall profit if he does win.

This was wild. I watched these political events from the other side of the bookies table for nearly 10 years and I've never seen a flip like that in such a short space of time. Holy ****.

Hardly M21 and his 10k bets. :smug:

Denver 04-11-2020 12:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Toy Soldier (Post 10946562)
Mhhhh I still don't think GA, NC or PA are going to flip and MI is a ??. Assuming NV and WI go Biden, that hinges the result on MI with Biden 270 if it goes to him, Trump 280 if it goes red.

Frankly I can still see a Trump win with 280.

All major areas that are waiting for votes are democratic areas

Crimson Dynamo 04-11-2020 12:11 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Slim Reaper (Post 10946565)
I think the best sign for Biden was actually the worst sign for democracy. Trump doesn't declare victory if he thinks he's winning enough of the remaining votes.

yes that was a very odd statement to make, like when Finchy and Brent lost the pub quiz and they said they would have won had they had different questions and then declaring that because Finchy threw a boot over the pub roof they had actually won




:joker:

user104658 04-11-2020 12:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Denver (Post 10946571)
All major areas that are waiting for votes are democratic areas

Right but other than PA dragging its heels? GA and NC are sitting at 95% with significant ground still to cover, I don't see either flipping, which means it rests on a Michigan flip (and Wisconsin not flipping back).

Unless you think there's a chance of some called states flipping?

user104658 04-11-2020 12:16 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LeatherTrumpet (Post 10946576)
yes that was a very odd statement to make, like when Finchy and Brent lost the pub quiz and they said they would have won had they had different questions and then declaring that because Finchy threw a boot over the pub roof they had actually won




:joker:

Pence lobs a doc martin over the Whitehouse and they dance off declaring victory?

It would be quite impressive actually.

Oliver_W 04-11-2020 12:21 PM

I'm unsure about how it's gonna go, it's still looking pretty neck and neck based on the map thing I looked at, if I'm understanding it correctly?

While I still don't care either way I think a Biden win will result in fewer riots, and god knows America has had enough of those recently!

Niamh. 04-11-2020 12:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Oliver_W (Post 10946587)
I'm unsure about how it's gonna go, it's still looking pretty neck and neck based on the map thing I looked at, if I'm understanding it correctly?

While I still don't care either way I think a Biden win will result in fewer riots, and god knows America has had enough of those recently!

Are you kidding me? All I heard when I was in the states before the last election was how people were going to riot if Hilary won, it was the Trump supporters who were stock piling ammunition

The Slim Reaper 04-11-2020 12:29 PM


Oliver_W 04-11-2020 12:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Niamh. (Post 10946588)
Are you kidding me? All I heard when I was in the states before the last election was how people were going to riot if Hilary won, it was the Trump supporters who were stock piling ammunition

People rioted when Trump won though :shrug:

I said fewer, not none at all.

user104658 04-11-2020 12:42 PM

Odds are sneaking back in again

Denver 04-11-2020 02:30 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Toy Soldier (Post 10946579)
Right but other than PA dragging its heels? GA and NC are sitting at 95% with significant ground still to cover, I don't see either flipping, which means it rests on a Michigan flip (and Wisconsin not flipping back).

Unless you think there's a chance of some called states flipping?

He wins by getting Michigan and Arizona and keeping Wisconsin and Nevada

Brother Leon 04-11-2020 04:19 PM

Looks like Biden will get exactly 270. Wow just wow.

Beso 04-11-2020 04:19 PM

I got a tenner on 275 at 8/1.

Babayaro. 04-11-2020 04:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by LeatherTrumpet (Post 10945750)
that tends to happen in a two horse race Ness :hehe:

:joker:

Zizu 04-11-2020 08:58 PM

Paddy Power odds as we speak ...

Trump 7/2

Biden 2/9
https://uploads.tapatalk-cdn.com/202...992b315a28.jpg

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GoldHeart 05-11-2020 01:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Brother Leon (Post 10946775)
Looks like Biden will get exactly 270. Wow just wow.

Yess I'm so glad he got Michigan!! , Now all he needs is Arizona & Nevada :fc::fc:.

Pennsylvania & Georgia are clearly in Trump's favour, but if everything goes to plan then Biden won't need those 2 states


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