Wow, Lisa's now a bigger favourite than Kathreya! That's brilliant.

I'm afraid we'll lose Lisa before the final. Mo can not make the final, it'll be ridiculous if her does.

Lisa will continue shortening now and if this proposal works in her favour then she could be up there along with Rachel and Michael as one of the favourites to win.

I hope Rachel's odds get better!!

Michael 6/4
Rachel 7/2
Darnell 7/2
Lisa 7/1
Kathreya 8/1
Rex 18/1
Sara 33/1
Mohamed 80/1

to win

Michael 6/4
Rachel 3/1
Darnell 4/1
Lisa 7/1
[color=red]Kathreya 10/1[/clor]
Rex 14/1
Sara 33/1
Mohamed 80/1

11th eviction

Rex 9/4
Mohamed 3/1
Sara 7/2
Lisa 4/1
Darnell 9/1
Kathreya 23/1
Michael 27/1
Rachel 41/1

to win

Michael 6/4
Rachel 3/1
Darnell 4/1
Lisa 7/1
Kathreya 10/1
Rex 14/1
Sara 33/1
Mohamed 80/1

11th eviction

Rex 9/4
Mohamed 3/1
Sara 7/2
Lisa 4/1
Darnell 9/1
Kathreya 23/1
Michael 27/1
Rachel 41/1

I find it kind of strange that people here seem to be putting more weight on what the betting odds say than on what the polls say. But remember the punters on Betfair are betting according to who they think will win. The polls are telling us who people want to win, and that's what determines who does win. It's voters, not punters who pick the winner.

Both on this site and on Digital Spy, there are "least favourite" and "most favourite" polls. As it happens, both sites started their latest polls yesterday. So we're looking at quite fresh opinion, taken from (so far) about 600-700 people on each site. As of just now, these are the ratings in vote percentages:

Most Favourite
------------ DSpy------ TIBB
Rachel---- 34.96----- 29.7
Rex-------- 19.48----- 11.9
Lisa--------11.03----- 16.0
Sara------- 9.89------ 12.8
Darnell---- 9.17------ 10.6
Mikey------ 7.88------- 6.3
Mo--------- 4.44------- 5.1
Kat--------- 3.15-------7.6

Least Favourite
-------------DSpy------TIBB
Rex--------34.20------31.5
Mikey------17.56-----14.4
Lisa--------10.53----- 9.4
Darnell----10.23------16.8
Kat--------- 9.16------- 5.4
Mo----------8.85------11.7
Sara--------5.04------- 5.8
Rachel------4.43-------5.0

As you can see, Mikey is quite low down on the Most Favourite polls on both sites - 2nd last on TIBB and 3rd last on DigSpy. And he is 2nd from top on both of the Least Favourite polls. Only Rex is more disliked, it seems. Based on that, one would not think he has much of a chance. By contrast, we find Rachel at the very top of the Most Favourite polls, and the very bottom of the Least Favourite polls. And if that is a true reflection of public opinion, it makes Rachel a clear winner.

So why don't the bookies think so too? Well, search me. I don't know of any sources of information that they have that we do not also have. Public polls on internet sites and newspapers is all they have to go on, just as it's all we can go on. So where did they get such a high opinion of Mikey's chances? Again, search me! It's a mystery. I've never seen such a divergence between the bookies and the polls as we have this year. It will be interesting to see which turns out to be the more reliable.

Big Brother Online is always the most accurate poll - I remember last year, Liam was second most hated on these polls & DS polls, but on Big Brother Online he had like 6%....

Big Brother Online - of the top 5, who would you want to win?

RACHEL - 33%
DARNEL - 24%
LISA - 17%
MIKEY - 16%
KATHREYA - 9%

Michael 7/4
Rachel 11/4
Darnell 4/1
Lisa 7/1
Kathreya 10/1
Rex 12/1
Sara 33/
Mohamed 80/1

11th eviction

Rex 13/5
Mohamed 14/5
Lisa 7/2
Sara 7/2
Darnell 6/1
Kathreya 20/1
Michael 37/1
Rachel 43/1

Mikey 15/8
Rachel 13/5
Darnell 4/1
Lisa 9/1
Kathreya 10/1
Rex 10/1
Sara 20/1
Mohamed 66/1

saras odds will be dropping this week and darnells will be going up woop go sara

Considering Sara was as long as 66/1 yesterday, and is now 20/1 thats a great sign.

Glad Sara's shortening, I can see her taking over Rex ans possibly Kathreya soon.

YES! Rex odds improve again. Go on Rex!!

It's astonising to see it so close at this stage - Mohamed is the only one I think we can definately rule out as the winner.

yay! Sara back to 20/1! Come on girl!!! :cheer2::hello::colour:

ohh yeah lisa and sara!!
just not happy about rachels odds :cloud:

Mikey to win!!

If rachel,kat,darnell,mohamed win i will actually be so struck i mean even there names boar me.LISA OR SARA TO WIN!

Michael 6/4
Rachel 3/1
Darnell 9/2
Lisa 8/1
Kathreya 10/1
Rex 14/1
Sara 28/1
Mohamed 66/1

Id watch for changes in Sara and Lisas prices tonight. Tomorrow Lisa could well be around 4/1-5/1 and Sara around 16/1

Sara's odds will definitely shorten after tonight, as well as Lisa's.

I love how far out Mo is. :joker:

Unlikely, they don't change that quickly - Sara could be at 20/1,and Lisa could move to maybe 6/1, but the shorter the odds, the harder it is for them to shorten further. But Darnell is lengthening hugely, so this could help Lisa's odds...

Sara Rachel and Lisa would be my perfect final 3!

Bet365:

1. Michael -- 13/8
2. Rachel -- 3/1
3. Darnell -- 5/1
4. Lisa -- 15/2
5. Kathreya -- 10/1
6. Rex -- 14/1
7. Sara -- 33/1
8. Mohamed -- 40/1

Mo's odds halved following his HOH election :D

It's because the bookies had him to be evicted this week & obviously that isn't happening anymore...

Michael 6/4
Rachel 5/2
Lisa 6/1
Darnell 6/1
Kathreya 10/1
Rex 12/1
Sara 25/1
Mohamed 50/1

Whoa! This just got interesting! So 3 weeks ago Kat/Darnell were faves. I told you all they would fall.

Michael 6/4
Rachel 11/4
Lisa 5/1
Rex 10/1
Kathreya 12/1
Sara 15/1
Darnell 16/1
Mohamed 22/1

Where did you get them?

Mikey 6/4
Rachel 11/4
Lisa 6/1
Rex 9/1
Kathreya 12/1
Sara 16/1
Darnell 16/1
Mo 40/1

Michael 6/4
Rachel 5/2
Lisa 11/2
Rex 10/1
Kathreya 10/1
Darnell 14/1
Sara 18/1
Mohamed 40/1

Brilliant. Saras improve drastically and so does Rex!!!

I think this year our final 4 will be Lisa, Rachel, Sara and Mikey

With Lisa winning Rachel close

I'm loving how my three favourites are 1-3. Sara's second to last, but I never expected her to have a shot at winning.

Michael 13/8
Rachel 5/2
Lisa 5/1
Rex 9/1
Kathreya 12/1
Darnell 14/1
Sara 20/1
Mohamed 33/1

How can Darnell be more likely to win than Sara, that's just not right.

well darnell may be being a dick atm but one hes a better housemate and 2 sara boring darnell is making good to watch cos the way she acts if sara win thats unfair you should be asking why mo least likely to win than sara

1. Michael - 11/10
2. Rachel - 7/2
3. Lisa - 6/1
4. Rex - 8/1
5. Kathreya - 12/1
6. Darnell - 12/1
7. Mohamed - 25/1
8. Sara - 33/1

I love that once Sara goes, Darnell and Mo are the least favourites!!

I can't wait to see their faces when they get the boot Tuesday!