| LemonJam |
02-03-2013 11:49 PM |
on a lighter note, these were my ~pre game cast assessments~
Mollie proved last season to be a huge threat without having won many immunities or made big strategic plays and that just goes to show how much the social game plays into Survivor. If those who aren't well acquainted with Mollie are smart, they'll get rid of her as soon as possible. If they don't, they could find themselves overwhelmed by Mollie and her loyal friends.
Ben is the biggest threat out there with no doubt. He's great at challenges, very well liked and has proven time and time again that he's a ruthless player in these games. I think if the other contestants are wise enough, they'll eliminate him as soon as possible. However, if Ben can ride a wave of alliances and convince people to keep him in because he is a target then he'll be on an easy road to victory.
Lee is the dark horse in this game for me. She's smart, likeable and hard-working enough to win this game but she also has the great ability to slip under the radar. Last time she played she started very strong but began to cut ties to her alliance too early. I think if Lee has learnt from her previous mistakes she's a huge contender to win.
I'm on the fence about Lucas. I've got a feeling if Lucas doesn't form a strong alliance he might be out early. He has the potential to be a dark horse in this game and could potentially be very manipulative, but I'm not sure if he'll be able to outplay some of the other more cunning players.
reece is a recent fan of the show and I think reece will be a player who gets stuff done and make moves. At the same time, I think reece is a player who's likeable enough to coast through and make no enemies. If reece chooses to play too hard too fast and forget how likeable he is, I can imagine him hurting himself in the long run. He's a great contender to win though.
Raph will be a dominant player in this game, I have no doubt about that. He's charming and sweet but strategic enough to take down the competition. My only worry with Raph is how much time and effort he's going to put into the tasks. In some games I've seen him in it has been his downfall, but if he has solid enough alliances then I can see Raph winning the game.
I think everybody's going to underestimate Ariel. She's a superfan of the game, has strong loyalties to a handful of members and seems dedicated enough to get far. As a new member however, Ariel needs to step back from the game and work on building relationships with some people she doesn't know too well. If she can do this, she has a fighting chance at winning.
I don't think Drew will win only because I feel he has a lot going against him. He's a fairly new member, has openly told people about his alliance with Locke and isn't a fan of the show. However, I think what Drew does have going for him is that he comes across as very loyal. If people can see this trait in him, pick him up in their alliance and he manages to get to the end, he could be the underdog.
Jake has the likeability and activity factor to make it far in the game, but I don't think Jake will be able to make big strategic plays and he could be swept aside in the big picture. I do think however if he can get to the end with an alliance who've played hard, he could still be in with a shot just based on likeability alone.
Conor is a fairly long serving member of TiBB but self-admittedly he doesn't have many friendships. I do think however he can build bonds and be manipulative enough to get far in this game. He needs to get a good balance in the game because if he plays too hard or doesn't play at all, he'll be an early exit.
One of the players I'm most excited to have is Roy. Roy is ruthless and cunning and definitely smart enough to get to the end. My only qualm with Roy's chances of winning is his jury management. I can see Roy making promises he can't keep, pissing everyone off and getting few votes at the end. If Roy can manage to make a good balance of strategic and social game then he's got something going for him.
Unfortunately I don't think Salman will get too far. If Salman can observe enough, make a solid alliance and prove himself a trustworthy player then Salman can get far in this game. I'd love to see him overcome the big threats in the game and take the title, but I'm not sure if he has it in him. He could prove me wrong though!
Jon is extremely dedicated in forum games and for that reason alone I think he's a huge contender to win. He's smart and he's a fan which should help him, but Jon needs to build good relationships with the people he's playing with to make sure he can bank the jury votes at the end. I'm almost certain he'll get far, but I'm not very certain that he'll win.
Josiah's game completely depends on if he's able to form the right alliance with the right people. My big question mark with Josiah is that I'm not sure he's going to be completely honest like he usually is or if he's going to be more devious. I'm inclined to think if he can get to the end having played a good honest game, he could be an underdog and take the title.
Locke has allies that he'll let everybody know about. However, Locke desperatley needs to look outside of his friendships to make alliances with people otherwise people will clock onto him and remove him fast. I don't think Locke will play particularly strategically, but he has proven to be hard working, smart and likeable enough, so who knows, maybe this time he can take the crown.
I don't think Ryan will make it far in this game purely because of how little known he is around the forum. All I know of him is that he likes football and supported Speidi? I'm not even sure. He could prove me completely wrong and be a much better player than anybody predicts, but for now I honestly don't think he has what it takes.
a lot of them are very accurate tbh :laugh:
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