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-   -   The Official Big Brother 9 Betting Odds Topic (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=56904)

Billy 20-08-2008 10:11 AM

Nicole 1/20
Lisa 7/1
Sara 25/1

dupin 20-08-2008 11:03 AM

Michael 2/1
Darnell 11/4
Rachel 10/3

Kathreya 6/1
Lisa 10/1
Rex 18/1
Sara 50/1
Mohamed 50/1
Nicole 200/1/

dupin 21-08-2008 12:25 PM

Michael 6/4
Darnell 3/1
Rachel 10/3
Kathreya 7/1
Lisa 10/1
Rex 20/1

Sara 50/1
Mohamed 66/1
Nicole 250/1


Tenth Eviction

Nicole 1/50
Lisa 16/1
Sara 20/1

Billy 21-08-2008 05:43 PM

Nicole 1/200
Lisa 20/1
Sara 25/1

Sticks 21-08-2008 07:49 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Billy21
Nicole 1/200
Over kill? :shocked:

dupin 22-08-2008 11:14 AM

Michael 6/4
Darnell 3/1

Rachel 10/3
Kathreya 8/1
Lisa 10/1
Rex 22/1
Sara 40/1
Mohamed 661

Nicole 350/1

Tenth Eviction
Nicole 1/200
Lisa 25/1
Sara 25/1

Billy 22-08-2008 05:58 PM

Nicole 1/200
Lisa 50/1
Sara 150/1

Billy 22-08-2008 06:34 PM

Mikey;2/1
Rachel 7/2
Darnell 4/1
Lisa 8/1
Kathreya 11/1
Rex 26/1
Sara 54/1
Mohamed 109/1
Nicole 999/1

Callum 22-08-2008 06:39 PM

Wow at Lisa taking over Kat!:shocked:

dupin 22-08-2008 06:39 PM

Nicole is the same price as Dennis to win...

Conzors 22-08-2008 06:55 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by Billy21
Mikey;2/1
Rachel 7/2
Darnell 4/1
Lisa 8/1
Kathreya 11/1
Rex 26/1
Sara 54/1
Mohamed 109/1
Nicole 999/1
OMGOMG

AT RACHEL BEING SECOND


AND LISA 4TH TAKING OVER KAT OMG

dupin 22-08-2008 06:57 PM

That's just on betfair though - if you look at the general odds it's more like:

Michael 6/4
Darnell 3/1
Rachel 10/3
Kathreya 8/1
Lisa 8/1
Rex 20/1
Sara 40/1
Mohamed 66/1
Nicole 500/1

However, Betfair is usually an indicator of how other bookmakers are going to change in the near future..

Hugo 22-08-2008 11:20 PM

I think Lisa can do it now!

dupin 22-08-2008 11:28 PM

Eleventh Eviction

Rex 5/7
Lisa 2/1
Mohamed 2/1
Sara 2/1
Michael 7/2
Darnell 6/1
Kathreya 6/1
Rachel 6/1

To Win

Michael 11/8
Rachel 10/3

Darnell 10/3
Lisa 8/1
Kathreya 9/1
Rex 20/1
Sara 40/1

Mohamed 80/1

mucker79 22-08-2008 11:56 PM

think the proposal will hinder lisas chances, she has kind of snuck through in the background, but I cannot remember any other bb where there hasnt been a favourite from day one, that everyone generally agrees on, pure hinges on what happens from now on

Rory 22-08-2008 11:57 PM

Wow, Lisa's now a bigger favourite than Kathreya! That's brilliant.

Hugo 22-08-2008 11:57 PM

I'm afraid we'll lose Lisa before the final. Mo can not make the final, it'll be ridiculous if her does.

Spike 22-08-2008 11:58 PM

Lisa will continue shortening now and if this proposal works in her favour then she could be up there along with Rachel and Michael as one of the favourites to win.

andybigbro 23-08-2008 12:22 AM

I hope Rachel's odds get better!!

dupin 23-08-2008 10:05 AM

Michael 6/4
Rachel 7/2
Darnell 7/2
Lisa 7/1
Kathreya 8/1
Rex 18/1
Sara 33/1

Mohamed 80/1

dupin 23-08-2008 11:49 PM

to win

Michael 6/4
Rachel 3/1
Darnell 4/1
Lisa 7/1
[color=red]Kathreya 10/1[/clor]
Rex 14/1
Sara 33/1

Mohamed 80/1

11th eviction

Rex 9/4
Mohamed 3/1
Sara 7/2
Lisa 4/1
Darnell 9/1
Kathreya 23/1
Michael 27/1
Rachel 41/1

dupin 23-08-2008 11:52 PM

to win

Michael 6/4
Rachel 3/1
Darnell 4/1
Lisa 7/1
Kathreya 10/1
Rex 14/1
Sara 33/1

Mohamed 80/1

11th eviction

Rex 9/4
Mohamed 3/1
Sara 7/2
Lisa 4/1
Darnell 9/1
Kathreya 23/1
Michael 27/1
Rachel 41/1

Ketman 24-08-2008 07:42 AM

I find it kind of strange that people here seem to be putting more weight on what the betting odds say than on what the polls say. But remember the punters on Betfair are betting according to who they think will win. The polls are telling us who people want to win, and that's what determines who does win. It's voters, not punters who pick the winner.

Both on this site and on Digital Spy, there are "least favourite" and "most favourite" polls. As it happens, both sites started their latest polls yesterday. So we're looking at quite fresh opinion, taken from (so far) about 600-700 people on each site. As of just now, these are the ratings in vote percentages:

Most Favourite
------------ DSpy------ TIBB
Rachel---- 34.96----- 29.7
Rex-------- 19.48----- 11.9
Lisa--------11.03----- 16.0
Sara------- 9.89------ 12.8
Darnell---- 9.17------ 10.6
Mikey------ 7.88------- 6.3
Mo--------- 4.44------- 5.1
Kat--------- 3.15-------7.6

Least Favourite
-------------DSpy------TIBB
Rex--------34.20------31.5
Mikey------17.56-----14.4
Lisa--------10.53----- 9.4
Darnell----10.23------16.8
Kat--------- 9.16------- 5.4
Mo----------8.85------11.7
Sara--------5.04------- 5.8
Rachel------4.43-------5.0

As you can see, Mikey is quite low down on the Most Favourite polls on both sites - 2nd last on TIBB and 3rd last on DigSpy. And he is 2nd from top on both of the Least Favourite polls. Only Rex is more disliked, it seems. Based on that, one would not think he has much of a chance. By contrast, we find Rachel at the very top of the Most Favourite polls, and the very bottom of the Least Favourite polls. And if that is a true reflection of public opinion, it makes Rachel a clear winner.

So why don't the bookies think so too? Well, search me. I don't know of any sources of information that they have that we do not also have. Public polls on internet sites and newspapers is all they have to go on, just as it's all we can go on. So where did they get such a high opinion of Mikey's chances? Again, search me! It's a mystery. I've never seen such a divergence between the bookies and the polls as we have this year. It will be interesting to see which turns out to be the more reliable.

dupin 24-08-2008 09:45 AM

Big Brother Online is always the most accurate poll - I remember last year, Liam was second most hated on these polls & DS polls, but on Big Brother Online he had like 6%....

Big Brother Online - of the top 5, who would you want to win?

RACHEL - 33%
DARNEL - 24%
LISA - 17%
MIKEY - 16%
KATHREYA - 9%

dupin 24-08-2008 12:46 PM

Michael 7/4
Rachel 11/4
Darnell 4/1
Lisa 7/1
Kathreya 10/1
Rex 12/1
Sara 33/

Mohamed 80/1

11th eviction

Rex 13/5
Mohamed 14/5
Lisa 7/2
Sara 7/2
Darnell 6/1
Kathreya 20/1
Michael 37/1
Rachel 43/1


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