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-   -   Ash: Not a chance in hell of winning... (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=23659)

kara 12-08-2006 03:08 PM

Quote:

They're mostly right. I should know, I do bet from time to time.
This statement is illogical

Blink_Me 12-08-2006 03:11 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by kara
Quote:

They're mostly right. I should know, I do bet from time to time.
This statement is illogical
So is your percentage.

You have no proof to back it up.

I do bet from time to time, in most sports, so I do know how it works.

kara 12-08-2006 03:13 PM

read this article, it's quite long, but reading it will help you in your future betting

http://www.sportinginvestor.co.uk/is...Link=382537746

Blink_Me 12-08-2006 03:17 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by kara
read this article, it's quite long, but reading it will help you in your future betting

http://www.sportinginvestor.co.uk/is...Link=382537746
I know how betting works, so what does that have to do with anything?

kara 12-08-2006 03:22 PM

read it, then come back

Blink_Me 12-08-2006 03:24 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by kara
read it, then come back
It only gives you a better chance of winning. If it was that easy, everyone would be doing it and winning, wouldn't they?

I've known about this for years - it doesn't work.

kara 12-08-2006 03:27 PM

well the article goes on to say that bookies earn money by being right slightly more than they are wrong. They are wrong quite a lot of the time. BB especially. They were totally wrong on last years bb and wrong on celeb bb, so why not this year?

Blink_Me 12-08-2006 03:27 PM

Also, that is one website, with one report. :rolleyes:

Blink_Me 12-08-2006 03:29 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by kara
well the article goes on to say that bookies earn money by being right slightly more than they are wrong. They are wrong quite a lot of the time. BB especially. They were totally wrong on last years bb and wrong on celeb bb, so why not this year?
They had chantelle to win right and Ant to win. Can you prove they didn't?

How are they wrong most of the time?

Your 52% is still proving my point to be true, because that's till more than average they're right. I do believe it's way higher than that, because if that was he case most people would win, and I know it doesn't work like that at all.

Arneldo 12-08-2006 03:29 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by kara
well the article goes on to say that bookies earn money by being right slightly more than they are wrong. They are wrong quite a lot of the time. BB especially. They were totally wrong on last years bb and wrong on celeb bb, so why not this year?
when were they wrong on last years BB and Celeb BB?

kara 12-08-2006 03:30 PM

for the finals

Blink_Me 12-08-2006 03:30 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by bb4eva
Quote:

Originally posted by kara
well the article goes on to say that bookies earn money by being right slightly more than they are wrong. They are wrong quite a lot of the time. BB especially. They were totally wrong on last years bb and wrong on celeb bb, so why not this year?
when were they wrong on last years BB and Celeb BB?
They wasn't. :laugh:

Blink_Me 12-08-2006 03:31 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by kara
for the finals
You are kidding, right?

They had chantelle to win for the last week, nevermind the last day. Also, with Ant, he was favourite for like the last 3 to 4 weeks, I believe.

kara 12-08-2006 03:33 PM

no, you are wrong I'm afraid

Blink_Me 12-08-2006 03:34 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by kara
no, you are wrong I'm afraid
You keep saying I'm wrong, but you never prove it!

I'll prove mine now. I'll try and get old articles for you.

J.C. 12-08-2006 03:35 PM

Nikky will cost pete much of his winning vote.And if Nikky puts a foot wrong this week, and she will, Ash will win it.Watch her vote rise through the week and remember Ash agreed to have Nikky back for Pete even though she cant stand her. Ash needs to improve her diplomatic skills especially when drinking but underneath there is a girl with a kind heart and atleast somone who knows right from wrong.All she said to grace was i hope you appologised and then got the `What the outside are saying` routine which is very manipulative and worrying for Ash as it has been throughout. Well Grace i`m on the outside and hope Ash wins!!!!!

tropical_sunset 12-08-2006 03:37 PM

Only BB know how the votes are going, so the bookies can only guess like the rest of us. And why be swayed by them, make your own mind up about who you want to win. Personally I dont think *******yne stands a chance. I used to like her (would you believe!!:laugh:) but she has done my head in lately :mad:and I am fed up of all this fake tears:bawling:, stomping around like she is queen bee:elephant:, and generally manipulting everyone :nono:(she drops them all after nominations). GET HER OUT!!!:hello:

texbex 12-08-2006 03:38 PM

I think she will have some sort of chance but if they do something like they did last year with eugene when he had to decide on taking the money or not and its her then her popularity will depend on that

tropical_sunset 12-08-2006 03:39 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by J.C.
Nikky will cost pete much of his winning vote.And if Nikky puts a foot wrong this week, and she will, Ash will win it.Watch her vote rise through the week and remember Ash agreed to have Nikky back for Pete even though she cant stand her. Ash needs to improve her diplomatic skills especially when drinking but underneath there is a girl with a kind heart and atleast somone who knows right from wrong.All she said to grace was i hope you appologised and then got the `What the outside are saying` routine which is very manipulative and worrying for Ash as it has been throughout. Well Grace i`m on the outside and hope Ash wins!!!!!
you are in a minority though.
ash only did that to win votes, she really wanted lean and is jen had have siad lea she would have been in.

kara 12-08-2006 03:46 PM

ashs odds are still shortening!!!!!!!!!! The bookies have finally twigged on to ash winning!

kara 12-08-2006 03:49 PM

Aisleyne 16 20 20 12 16 14 20 16 9 20 16 9

from oddschecker

20 to 1 though in some places! worth a tenner of anyones money i'd say - better than the national lottery!!

Blink_Me 12-08-2006 03:51 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by kara
Aisleyne 16 20 20 12 16 14 20 16 9 20 16 9

from oddschecker

20 to 1 though in some places! worth a tenner of anyones money i'd say - better than the national lottery!!
And?

Look how short Pete's odds have been all series. :rolleyes:

tropical_sunset 12-08-2006 03:52 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by kara
Aisleyne 16 20 20 12 16 14 20 16 9 20 16 9

from oddschecker

20 to 1 though in some places! worth a tenner of anyones money i'd say - better than the national lottery!!
They can shorten as much as they like she WONT win it. Pete Glyn and Nikki will ALL come ahead of her.

Blink_Me 12-08-2006 03:54 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by tropical_sunset
Quote:

Originally posted by kara
Aisleyne 16 20 20 12 16 14 20 16 9 20 16 9

from oddschecker

20 to 1 though in some places! worth a tenner of anyones money i'd say - better than the national lottery!!
They can shorten as much as they like she WONT win it. Pete Glyn and Nikki will ALL come ahead of her.
So true.

That's what I keep trying to explain it to her.

GabrielleisLove 12-08-2006 04:07 PM

ANTHONY'S ODDS:

week 9: http://bigbrother.digitalspy.co.uk/article/ds8301.html
week 10: http://bigbrother.digitalspy.co.uk/article/ds8408.html
week 11: http://bigbrother.digitalspy.co.uk/article/ds8547.html

he was set to win in both weeks 9 and 10, but was overtaken by Eugene, but then was favourite again.


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