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-   -   Big Brother 2024 Betting Odds Thread [ALI CLEAR FAVE TO WIN] (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=392919)

Lostie! 11-11-2024 09:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Black Dagger (Post 11568035)
Yesssss. Keep going!!

If Ali wins on Friday, I think King Charles should designate November 15th as an annual bank holiday. Ali Day will be celebrated for decades to come

Adamw92 11-11-2024 09:21 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benjamin (Post 11568025)
Yep, nobody else stands a chance to even come close to Ali.

To win

Ali - 4/5
Marcello - 4/1
Emma - 9/1
Hanah 11/1
Baked Potato 28/1
Nathan - 35/1
Segun - 35/1
Sarah - 50/1
Thomas - 66/1


JUSTICE.

MTVN 11-11-2024 09:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benjamin (Post 11568025)
Yep, nobody else stands a chance to even come close to Ali.

To win

Ali - 4/5
Marcello - 4/1
Emma - 9/1
Hanah 11/1
Baked Potato 28/1
Nathan - 35/1
Segun - 35/1
Sarah - 50/1
Thomas - 66/1


Oh dear oh dear

Glad I actually have plans this Friday now

GoldHeart 11-11-2024 09:32 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by MTVN (Post 11568568)
Oh dear oh dear

Glad I actually have plans this Friday now

Crazy isn't it

Locke. 11-11-2024 09:35 PM

Anyone know what Jordan’s odds to win were heading into the final last year?

GoldHeart 11-11-2024 09:36 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Locke. (Post 11568624)
Anyone know what Jordan’s odds to win were heading into the final last year?

Benjamin might know

Benjamin 11-11-2024 09:42 PM

This time last year

Odds to win:

Jordan - 6/4
Henry - 9/4
Yinrun - 3/1
Olivia - 9/2
Matty - 50/1
Noky - 50/1

GoldHeart 11-11-2024 09:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benjamin (Post 11568647)
This time last year

Odds to win:

Jordan - 6/4
Henry - 9/4
Yinrun - 3/1
Olivia - 9/2
Matty - 50/1
Noky - 50/1


Thanks Benjamin, we're effed :wavey: , Ali is winning no matter what.
Is there even any point watching the final,when we know what will happen.

Zizu 11-11-2024 10:45 PM

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Black Dagger 11-11-2024 10:46 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldHeart (Post 11568659)
Thanks Benjamin, we're effed :wavey: , Ali is winning no matter what.
Is there even any point watching the final,when we know what will happen.

There have been loads of obvious Big Brother finals!

Zizu 11-11-2024 10:47 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benjamin (Post 11568647)
This time last year

Odds to win:

Jordan - 6/4
Henry - 9/4
Yinrun - 3/1
Olivia - 9/2
Matty - 50/1
Noky - 50/1


Ali is therefore in a stronger position than Jordan given she is nows odds on favourite meaning you win less than you actually risk/bet !!

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GoldHeart 11-11-2024 10:53 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Black Dagger (Post 11568763)
There have been loads of obvious Big Brother finals!

Yeah and here's another

Black Dagger 11-11-2024 10:59 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by GoldHeart (Post 11568773)
Yeah and here's another

It’s about time we had a good landslide winner though unlike the rest of them

GoldHeart 11-11-2024 11:13 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Black Dagger (Post 11568776)
It’s about time we had a good landslide winner though unlike the rest of them

I thought Jordan was a landslide last year

Swan 12-11-2024 03:51 PM

Ali shortening further, which is to be expected. Marcello drifting slightly, Emma drifting a lot, Hanah shortening and becoming closer to 2nd fave. She's firm 3rd fave with most bookies now. Basically, the next few HL shows are crucial for Hanah.

Sounds kind of a silly analogy, but if this was a football match, Ali would be leading 3-0 at half time and cruising. Not all over, but it kinda is :laugh:

BBXX 12-11-2024 03:55 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swan (Post 11569441)
Ali shortening further, which is to be expected. Marcello drifting slightly, Emma drifting a lot, Hanah shortening and becoming closer to 2nd fave. She's firm 3rd fave with most bookies now. Basically, the next few HL shows are crucial for Hanah.

Sounds kind of a silly analogy, but if this was a football match, Ali would be leading 3-0 and half time and cruising. Not all over, but it kinda is :laugh:

As someone who doesn't really understand odds at first glance the football analogy is incredibly helpful, thank you :laugh::hee:

Swan 12-11-2024 03:56 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BBXX (Post 11569446)
As someone who doesn't really understand odds at first glance the football analogy is incredibly helpful, thank you :laugh::hee:

No problem :laugh:

GoldHeart 12-11-2024 04:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swan (Post 11569448)
No problem :laugh:

Producers might aswell end it now and crown her the winner :sleep: .

moon_peach 12-11-2024 07:23 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swan (Post 11569441)
Ali shortening further, which is to be expected. Marcello drifting slightly, Emma drifting a lot, Hanah shortening and becoming closer to 2nd fave. She's firm 3rd fave with most bookies now. Basically, the next few HL shows are crucial for Hanah.

Sounds kind of a silly analogy, but if this was a football match, Ali would be leading 3-0 at half time and cruising. Not all over, but it kinda is :laugh:

Just saw this! Ali shortening to around 66% and Marcello drifting to around 16%. I was surprised though bc I thought last night’s episode wasn’t a good one for Ali (whilst I like and understand her, lots of moments where I was like oh…she’s not going to be received well here ��).

I also just still can’t imagine it being this clear cut. Can I ask - does anyone have much knowledge on previous BB winners odds? Have the bookies ever predicted a winner so confidently before and been wrong?

GoldHeart 12-11-2024 07:26 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moon_peach (Post 11569660)
Just saw this! Ali shortening to around 66% and Marcello drifting to around 16%. I was surprised though bc I thought last night’s episode wasn’t a good one for Ali (whilst I like and understand her, lots of moments where I was like oh…she’s not going to be received well here ��).

I also just still can’t imagine it being this clear cut. Can I ask - does anyone have much knowledge on previous BB winners odds? Have the bookies ever predicted a winner so confidently before and been wrong?

There's the odds from last year , somewhere on here if you want to compare. Jordan was a favourite to win with bookies and they got it right .

Swan 12-11-2024 07:41 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moon_peach (Post 11569660)
Just saw this! Ali shortening to around 66% and Marcello drifting to around 16%. I was surprised though bc I thought last night’s episode wasn’t a good one for Ali (whilst I like and understand her, lots of moments where I was like oh…she’s not going to be received well here ��).

I also just still can’t imagine it being this clear cut. Can I ask - does anyone have much knowledge on previous BB winners odds? Have the bookies ever predicted a winner so confidently before and been wrong?

No, a HM has never been this strong in the odds so close to final, in recent memory anyway.

Benjamin 12-11-2024 07:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swan (Post 11569677)
No, a HM has never been this strong in the odds so close to final, in recent memory anyway.

I think the last time so far ahead was Josie Gibson

Ammi 12-11-2024 08:00 PM

….it’s strange because DS has Ali polling as their favourite to win…and she also polls on there as the one who they would least like to win…I never understand these things…

Bronzo 12-11-2024 08:17 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benjamin (Post 11569688)
I think the last time so far ahead was Josie Gibson

Isabelle was super far ahead; but yes before her I think it was Josie who dominated the odds

Bronzo 12-11-2024 08:28 PM

Just looked through old threads and Cameron was 8/11 with some bookies on the day before the finale for BB19, so she hasn’t quite reached bigger odds that Cameron actually. Isabelle was also 8/11. But those were the two clear winners for channel 5.


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