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-   -   Big Brother 2024 Betting Odds Thread [ALI CLEAR FAVE TO WIN] (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=392919)

moon_peach 14-11-2024 07:35 PM

Ali gone up to 2/5 on oddschecker now

Zizu 14-11-2024 08:20 PM

Big Brother 2024 Betting Odds Thread [ALI CLEAR FAVE TO WIN]
 
Quote:

Originally Posted by moon_peach (Post 11572468)
Ali gone up to 2/5 on oddschecker now


So you bet £5 to win £2 ?


It was £4.50 to win £2 .. so she’s MORE of a favourite ??

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GoldHeart 14-11-2024 08:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moon_peach (Post 11572468)
Ali gone up to 2/5 on oddschecker now

I might aswell make a bet then :hee:

moon_peach 14-11-2024 08:43 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zizu (Post 11572585)
So you bet £5 to win £2 ?


It was £4.50 to win £2 .. so she’s MORE of a favourite ??

Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

I’m not really clear on how the betting works, but yes, her odds are now about 71%. I believe that’s what Jordan’s were last year. Marcello still at 20% iirc

moon_peach 14-11-2024 08:45 PM

I have a question though…. Why would anyone bet £5 to win £2?? Surely at that point everyone just stops betting on that person because there’s no reward, and the odds stop going up?

Zizu 14-11-2024 08:54 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moon_peach (Post 11572681)
I’m not really clear on how the betting works, but yes, her odds are now about 71%. I believe that’s what Jordan’s were last year. Marcello still at 20% iirc


Its a mystery to me as well


We used to bet on the Grand National occasionally but only if the horse we’d had a tip on was 10:1 though… where you bet a £1 to win £10


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OnTheRight 14-11-2024 09:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moon_peach (Post 11572688)
I have a question though…. Why would anyone bet £5 to win £2?? Surely at that point everyone just stops betting on that person because there’s no reward, and the odds stop going up?

£50 would win you £20, why not bet?

GoldHeart 14-11-2024 09:34 PM

Come on BB hurry up and crown Ali the winner,I'm glad it's nearly finished :hee: .

Whoever puts bets on Ali ,will be having a nice Christmas this year .

moon_peach 14-11-2024 10:57 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by OnTheRight (Post 11572826)
£50 would win you £20, why not bet?

But you’ll have spent £50….so surely you ultimately just end up spending £30. Is there something I’m not getting?

Zizu 15-11-2024 12:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by moon_peach (Post 11572904)
But you’ll have spent £50….so surely you ultimately just end up spending £30. Is there something I’m not getting?


Ahhhh

You get your initial bet BACK. ..

So you end up with £70


Or lose £50 if she doesn’t win


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Benjamin 15-11-2024 06:19 AM

I think it’s safe to say Ali well and truly has this in the bag now.

To win

Ali - 1/3
Marcello - 5/1
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 20/1
Segun - 40/1


In terms of % likely to win:

Ali - 75%
Marcello - 16.70%
Emma - 9.10%
Hanah - 6.7%
Nathan - 4.8%
Segun - 2.4%


BBXX 15-11-2024 06:41 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benjamin (Post 11573040)
I think it’s safe to say Ali well and truly has this in the bag now.

To win

Ali - 1/3
Marcello - 5/1
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 20/1
Segun - 40/1


In terms of % likely to win:

Ali - 75%
Marcello - 16.70%
Emma - 9.10%
Hanah - 6.7%
Nathan - 4.8%
Segun - 2.4%


Stop it Benjamin you're getting me all excited!

https://i.gifer.com/origin/91/919e2a...7a36a_w200.gif

moon_peach 15-11-2024 07:00 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Zizu (Post 11572932)
Ahhhh

You get your initial bet BACK. ..

So you end up with £70


Or lose £50 if she doesn’t win


Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Pro

Ahhhh I see, that makes more sense

Bronzo 15-11-2024 09:08 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benjamin (Post 11573040)
I think it’s safe to say Ali well and truly has this in the bag now.

To win

Ali - 1/3
Marcello - 5/1
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 20/1
Segun - 40/1


In terms of % likely to win:

Ali - 75%
Marcello - 16.70%
Emma - 9.10%
Hanah - 6.7%
Nathan - 4.8%
Segun - 2.4%


Marcello could pull off a Helen esche win still then; she was around 13% right? It’s also quite similar as the reason Helen pulled it off was because Ashleigh was also so polarising so it was also an anti Ashleigh vote; similar to Ali.

I wouldn’t say it’s a dead cert yet; but I would say it’s a guarantee the top 2 will be Ali and Marcello imo.

It definitely is looking that Ali will win though

BBXX 15-11-2024 09:35 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bronzo (Post 11573163)
Marcello could pull off a Helen esche win still then; she was around 13% right? It’s also quite similar as the reason Helen pulled it off was because Ashleigh was also so polarising so it was also an anti Ashleigh vote; similar to Ali.

I wouldn’t say it’s a dead cert yet; but I would say it’s a guarantee the top 2 will be Ali and Marcello imo.

It definitely is looking that Ali will win though

This is exactly what I think will happen. I didn’t want the Helen/Ashleigh series as I only lasted two weeks due to finding Helen appalling to watch. How was Ashleigh more polarising than HELEN?!

FromBB8 15-11-2024 09:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BBXX (Post 11573178)
This is exactly what I think will happen. I didn’t want the Helen/Ashleigh series as I only lasted two weeks due to finding Helen appalling to watch. How was Ashleigh more polarising than HELEN?!

Back then there wasn't such a thing as free votes. Ashleigh was at risk on numerous occasions leading up to the final whilst Helen was safe due to being given immunity on opening night. Helen fans could save their cash for the final, whilst Ashleigh fans had to spend again and again to keep her in, let alone have her win the show.

BBXX 15-11-2024 09:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by FromBB8 (Post 11573187)
Back then there wasn't such a thing as free votes. Ashleigh was at risk on numerous occasions leading up to the final whilst Helen was safe due to being given immunity on opening night. Helen fans could save their cash for the final, whilst Ashleigh fans had to spend again and again to keep her in, let alone have her win the show.

Ah I see! I didn't realise Helen won immunity for the whole show on opening night. That's insane?

bots 15-11-2024 09:56 AM

i still don't believe Ali will win, she just doesn't have the personality profile of a bb winner. I would suggest Hanah is a more likely winner than Ali. I think Ali will finish 3rd or 4th

FromBB8 15-11-2024 09:56 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by BBXX (Post 11573189)
Ah I see! I didn't realise Helen won immunity for the whole show on opening night. That's insane?

It went down like a bucket of cold sick at the time.

BBXX 15-11-2024 09:58 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by FromBB8 (Post 11573191)
It went down like a bucket of cold sick at the time.

I must have blanked it out because I watched for the few couple of weeks but turned off because it was just Helen arguing with everyone. :laugh:

moon_peach 15-11-2024 11:01 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Bronzo (Post 11573163)
Marcello could pull off a Helen esche win still then; she was around 13% right? It’s also quite similar as the reason Helen pulled it off was because Ashleigh was also so polarising so it was also an anti Ashleigh vote; similar to Ali.

I wouldn’t say it’s a dead cert yet; but I would say it’s a guarantee the top 2 will be Ali and Marcello imo.

It definitely is looking that Ali will win though

One thing that’s interesting to me is I’ve noticed Marcello is actually not second in popularity in most of the polls I’m seeing. He’s only in the top 2 on FB and Digital Spy. I still feel like he will be in the top 2 and have a decent chance of winning, but it gives me pause. Is it possible he’s not as popular as we think he is?

moon_peach 15-11-2024 11:05 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Benjamin (Post 11573040)
I think it’s safe to say Ali well and truly has this in the bag now.

To win

Ali - 1/3
Marcello - 5/1
Emma - 10/1
Hanah 14/1
Nathan - 20/1
Segun - 40/1


In terms of % likely to win:

Ali - 75%
Marcello - 16.70%
Emma - 9.10%
Hanah - 6.7%
Nathan - 4.8%
Segun - 2.4%


On oddschecker Ali is still 4/11 (around 71%) and Marcello 11/2 (around 15%). Are you going off William Hill?

moon_peach 15-11-2024 11:06 AM

Oh on William Hill Ali is now 2/7 (77%) but if oddschecker combines all the different bookies I’m going to trust them more!

Jase. 15-11-2024 11:33 AM

To win;

4/11 Ali Bromley
11/2 Marcello Spooks
14/1 Emma Morgan
20/1 Hanah Haji
25/1 Nathan King
66/1 Segun Shodipo

Ali's as low as 1/5. Game over.

bots 15-11-2024 11:40 AM

a huge number of repeat votes will come in during the show. On each eviction, the votes are refreshed


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