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-   BB12 (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/forumdisplay.php?f=586)
-   -   BB12 Odds Thread [FINAL ODDS!] (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=184084)

smartalec2718 27-10-2011 05:19 AM
Most recently:

Faye 4/6
Jay 9/4
Harry 9/2
Aaron 10/1

That's Skybet. Ladbrokes is still offering Jem at 1/10 :joker:

Samuel. 27-10-2011 07:32 AM
Feeling good about that tenner I stuck on Harry to go at 10/1.

Could easily be any of Harry, Jay or Faye though. Aaron is the only one I'm confident will stay.

fruit_cake 27-10-2011 09:00 AM
can someone tell me what does it mean when it says odds drifting or shortening??

BBFanDan 27-10-2011 09:13 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fruit_cake (Post 4691970)
can someone tell me what does it mean when it says odds drifting or shortening??
Example:

If Aaron's odd's go from 10/1 to 15/1 - that is drifting
If Aaron's odd's go from 10/1 to 5/1 - that is shortening

If they drift the bookies become more certain it won't happen, if the bookies shorten them, they think it got more chance to happen then before.

Lister of Smeg 27-10-2011 09:17 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by fruit_cake (Post 4691970)
can someone tell me what does it mean when it says odds drifting or shortening??
all you need to know is Faye is favorite for the boot right now .

fruit_cake 27-10-2011 09:24 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BBFanDan (Post 4691993)
Example:

If Aaron's odd's go from 10/1 to 15/1 - that is drifting
If Aaron's odd's go from 10/1 to 5/1 - that is shortening

If they drift the bookies become more certain it won't happen, if the bookies shorten them, they think it got more chance to happen then before.
thanks

fruit_cake 27-10-2011 09:26 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Lister of Smeg (Post 4692003)
all you need to know is Faye is favorite for the boot right now .
yes but her odds are drifting while Jay and Harry's odds are shortening as far as I can see

Benjamin 27-10-2011 09:59 AM
7th Eviction:

Faye 8/13
Jay 5/2
Harry 4/1
Aaron 16/1


To Win:

Alex 10/11
Aaron 9/4
Harry 7/1
Jay 12/1
Faye 20/1
Tom 25/1
Louise 33/1

R0B1S 27-10-2011 10:19 AM
Quote:
Originally Posted by BBFanDan (Post 4691993)
Example:

If Aaron's odd's go from 10/1 to 15/1 - that is drifting
If Aaron's odd's go from 10/1 to 5/1 - that is shortening

If they drift the bookies become more certain it won't happen, if the bookies shorten them, they think it got more chance to happen then before.
bookies don't think anything. Their only goal is to make profit and odds change when money is being put on them by people. Drifting odds mean people are putting more money on other outcomes. Shortening odds mean people are putting more money on certain outcome (on one that's odds are shortening). Bookies change odds to ensure that they make most profit on any outcome.

Chuck 27-10-2011 10:27 AM
I reckon Jay is going tbh.
Aaron, Faye and Harry have all received more votes than him on previous evictions.

BBFanDan 27-10-2011 10:47 AM
Aaron now 20/1 on Bet365...

Locke. 27-10-2011 07:48 PM
Faye - 10/13
Jay - 2/1
Harry - 5/1
Aaron - 20/1

Novo 27-10-2011 08:14 PM
Aaron topping all the polls
Pro Aaron comments getting the most likes on facebook
Aaron & Jay getting by far the most mentions on facebook
Harry getting the second most likes after Aaron

Faye is gone

Black Dagger 27-10-2011 08:48 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Novo (Post 4693629)
Aaron topping all the polls
Pro Aaron comments getting the most likes on facebook
Aaron & Jay getting by far the most mentions on facebook
Harry getting the second most likes after Aaron

Faye is gone
Think it is safe to say she is... shame really.

Jay is repulsive.

Brother Leon 27-10-2011 08:49 PM
I hope she is....still got worries it is Jay though.


It has just been too unpredictable the last few weeks and I think Friday wiil also be the case.

Locke. 27-10-2011 09:02 PM
It will be Jay

Black Dagger 27-10-2011 09:07 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Locke. (Post 4693759)
It will be Jay
I don't think it will at all... I think Jay is safest.

It's Faye or Harry... more likely Faye.

Locke. 27-10-2011 09:07 PM
Jay and Faye bottom 2, wait an hour, Jay goes.. the Wolfpack all evicted 1 by 1 :bored:

Black Dagger 27-10-2011 09:11 PM
Quote:
Originally Posted by Locke. (Post 4693783)
Jay and Faye bottom 2, wait an hour, Jay goes.. the Wolfpack all evicted 1 by 1 :bored:
Oooh I do hope you're right.

Benjamin 28-10-2011 01:29 AM
7th Eviction:

Faye 3/4
Jay 2/1
Harry 4/1
Aaron 12/1


To Win:

Alex 10/11
Aaron 9/4
Harry 8/1
Jay 15/1
Tom 22/1
Faye 22/1
Louise 33/1

Maia 28-10-2011 01:39 AM
Really don't want Faye to go. Gonna have to spare some votes for her.

Locke. 28-10-2011 01:45 AM
Need Jay to lengthen a bit, will put something on him if he gets to about 3/1

iRyan 28-10-2011 02:04 AM
Well, the bookies were completely wrong last eviction, so hopefully they will be wrong this time as well.

If Jem can get more votes to stay than Jay, i'm pretty sure Faye should be able to as well.

Mystic Mock 28-10-2011 02:06 AM
Im worried for Harry and I hope people arent being complacent with Aaron either.

Jords 28-10-2011 02:06 AM
I really dont think Faye will go, shes been so central.


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