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-   -   Marcus v Siavash (current betting odds) (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=115608)

tommo6thbeatle 27-08-2009 10:11 PM

Marcus v Siavash (current betting odds)
 
I know alot of people dont like the punters on here, but the odds are quite strange in relation to the opinion polls.
Siavash price has drifted from evens to almost 2/1, whilst Marcus has dropped from evens to 1/2 to be evicted. Despite the polls generally saying its 50/50 or just in favour of Siavash staying, the most popular housemate polls suggest Marcus is in front of them all. This I find quite significant as his personality will probably attract more die hard fans, wheras Siavash has been uneventful until this week at least.
How close do you think this is guys cuz the odds r suggesting the poll percentages are more 40/60 for siavash to stay, when this is really not the case.

magic140 27-08-2009 10:20 PM

I think it will be very close, but a m sorry to say i think it will be siavash who will go.

WAYNEEBRUM 27-08-2009 10:23 PM

Marcus is gone,esp after tonights ending.

tommo6thbeatle 27-08-2009 10:29 PM

I bet on siavash to go as soon as he exposed his game plan on nominations in the diary room, but by the end of the episode Marcus had said siavash knows hel lose on a 1v1 against me. :( personally, i dont hate Marcus for saying it cuz siavash did basically say that in the diary room, and Marcus has always read the game well. but now they are all desperate to win, except Sophie, so im for her, only by default. What a **** bunch without Freddie.

BBmassive 27-08-2009 10:32 PM

Before the hls show he was 4-7 ,after he went out to 4-9 .hes now out again to 2-5 ,its not looking good for him and im DELIGHTED

Dolphin-and-Whale 27-08-2009 10:34 PM

Lads, Get your money on Siavash to go @ 2-1, that's free money. Unfortunately Siavash will be gone but there's money to be made

tommo6thbeatle 27-08-2009 10:38 PM

BBmassive, this is my point.

If you looked for value as a punter, you would definately go for Siavash at that price. Why? cuz the polls are closer than that and Marcus is/was the favourite housemate in the polls this week.
The prices should be more like 8/11 marcus to go and siavash 11/10 to go IMO.

quietman1963 27-08-2009 11:04 PM

I'm definitely thinking of putting a few quid on Siavash to go. Good odds like you say.

NONESHALLPASS 27-08-2009 11:06 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by LethalDealer
Lads, Get your money on Siavash to go @ 2-1, that's free money. Unfortunately Siavash will be gone but there's money to be made
A lot of people will see value in betting on siavash to go, you watch how close the odds get tommorrow.
When freddie was up against marcus the odds came in a terrific amount
This vote will be probably the closest ever

rusticgal 27-08-2009 11:08 PM

Siavash WILL go...

Dolphin-and-Whale 27-08-2009 11:09 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by NONESHALLPASS
Quote:

Originally posted by LethalDealer
Lads, Get your money on Siavash to go @ 2-1, that's free money. Unfortunately Siavash will be gone but there's money to be made
A lot of people will see value in betting on siavash to go, you watch how close the odds get tommorrow.
When freddie was up against marcus the odds came in a terrific amount
This vote will be probably the closest ever
I got my money on Si at 2-1, just like i got Freddie for 4-1 when he was going. TBF the odds really should be about 5-6 each

Brad. 27-08-2009 11:09 PM

marcus will be staying. marcus' fans are too loyal

Colbert-Bump 27-08-2009 11:09 PM

I think Siavash will stay but it will be close.

jgfrise 27-08-2009 11:10 PM

I really want Marcus to go, but think the diehard Marcus fans will make more 'phone votes to evict Siavash. Unfortunately I am 100% sure that Marcus will stay - will be very sad to see Siavash evicted but looking forward to seeing him on BBBM and BBLB Sunday and next week:cheer:

tommo6thbeatle 27-08-2009 11:11 PM

Yeah exactly, Siavash has definately had a better week than Marcus... But Marcus is like marmite and has die-hard fans.
Does Siavash really have more to offer the show? I thought he did, but not recently. I have a chance to back marcus to go but end up with an overall loss cutting my losses, but im gonna let my money ride now I think cuz the odds are so shocking considering its almost 50/50.

Dolphin-and-Whale 27-08-2009 11:12 PM

Seriously, get your money on Siavash to go, Marcus will stay and they are ridiculous odds.

The_Long_Run 27-08-2009 11:14 PM

On another thread I am predicting 70:30 Marcus to go as he implodes into his own vacuous self-made myth. The Walter Mitty character is unsustainable! The tipping point has been passed and his support will collapse.

tommo6thbeatle 27-08-2009 11:16 PM

The tipping point has not been passed at all its in balance right now. Just like this eviction.

Dolphin-and-Whale 27-08-2009 11:18 PM

Marcus has more fans on forums but would you think Siavash has more fans outside of the forums?

boomoo 27-08-2009 11:23 PM

The numbers were 50/50 on bigbrotheronline.

It will depend on Friday night show. If a lot vote then it could go either way.

Marcus is getting monotonous with his foul language and behaviour. He should have been removed long ago for his obscenities. Even the housemates are sick to death of his filth now.

No more please.
There will be enough interest watching the others nominating on Sunday.

BBmassive 27-08-2009 11:28 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by tommo6thbeatle
BBmassive, this is my point.

If you looked for value as a punter, you would definately go for Siavash at that price. Why? cuz the polls are closer than that and Marcus is/was the favourite housemate in the polls this week.
The prices should be more like 8/11 marcus to go and siavash 11/10 to go IMO.
Bookies get their prices from things like polls ,and actual bets handed over the counter /online etc .it is a close one ,but after tonights hls Mucus did drop again he is doing himself no favours ,and will pay the price, he has no chance whatsoever of winning bb

BBmassive 27-08-2009 11:29 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by LethalDealer
Marcus has more fans on forums but would you think Siavash has more fans outside of the forums?
NOBODY(including mucus groupies) know ,we can guess ,but no ne actually knows

tommo6thbeatle 27-08-2009 11:34 PM

bookies get their prices from the exchanges ie (betfair) they have to compete with the higher odds and can back their prices for sure fire profit.
Ive just checked betfair and marcuz is 1/3 to go now, siavash is 3/1 to go WOW. Siavash is joint favourite with Sophie to win, how the hell has thi happened when vash gave his whole gameplan away this week? amazing.
Sophie is definately going to win this year.

BBmassive 27-08-2009 11:37 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by tommo6thbeatle
bookies get their prices from the exchanges ie (betfair) they have to compete with the higher odds and can back their prices for sure fire profit.
Ive just checked betfair and marcuz is 1/3 to go now, siavash is 3/1 to go WOW. Siavash is joint favourite with Sophie to win, how the hell has thi happened when vash gave his whole gameplan away this week? amazing.
Sophie is definately going to win this year.
They also get the prices from forums/polls etc I would hate Sophie to win ,but it seems shes a good chance

BB22 27-08-2009 11:38 PM

Quote:

Originally posted by tommo6thbeatle
I know alot of people dont like the punters on here, but the odds are quite strange in relation to the opinion polls.
Siavash price has drifted from evens to almost 2/1, whilst Marcus has dropped from evens to 1/2 to be evicted. Despite the polls generally saying its 50/50 or just in favour of Siavash staying, the most popular housemate polls suggest Marcus is in front of them all. This I find quite significant as his personality will probably attract more die hard fans, wheras Siavash has been uneventful until this week at least.
How close do you think this is guys cuz the odds r suggesting the poll percentages are more 40/60 for siavash to stay, when this is really not the case.
The situation is actually very similar to the week of the Marcus v Freddie eviction: Marcus to stay according to most polls but the betting market indicating precisely the opposite. Maybe we will get a similar result tomorrow with Marcus defying the betting market or maybe not.


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