We're definitely getting a 'first' winner this year
 

Marcus- first black male
Amelia/Janet- first white female
Amelia/Misha- first bottom 2
Little Mix- First group

I can only see Amelia or Little Mix winning it now, I think Marcus will get to the final but I think he's lacked that moment really. He's good but I can't see him winning.

Long overdo a group win :idc:

I'm starting to think its going to be Little Mix. They desperately want a group to win, a girl group is probably a bonus. They're really starting to gather steam now

I don't think Janet will make the final and I can see Misha going next week, but I think Marcus peaked a couple of weeks back. I think it could end up;

1- Little Mix
2- Marcus
3- Amelia
4- Janet
5- Misha

Plus I think Tulisa will be the only judge of the newbies to be back next year, what better way to reintroduce her than as the winning judge? I think she'll be back next year, I also think she'll be the leading judge.

See now I can, which is strange, because I really thought he was in the bottom II with Nu Vibe, in the first public vote, oh how I cheered when he wasn't.

I do think he's in the final now though, I know a lot of the Liverpool voters were voting for Craig, they'll all go to Marcus now, or at least a lot of them will.

Marcus and Little Mix will be final two, and Marcus will probably win.

It is weird this year though, because none of them seem to have massive fanbases like in previous years

He's lacking THAT performance though that causes people to take notice. He's consistent but in comparison to the others he tends to fade into the background. He's got second or third wrapped up but I don't think he has the fanbase to win it. I reckon he's consistently in the middle of the votes, always out of range of the bottom two but never at the top.

If we go by the Big Brother vs X Factor winners theory (Which has been correct in the past) then we are defo going to get a man winning = Marcus.

let me spell this out for you, MARCUS WAS LEADING THE YOUGUV POLL before tonight, with craig in second, now craig has gone marcus will be the only act to appeal to all ages, which you need to win this competition, he is favourite for a reason, his moment is all set up to take place next week

Marcus only man left in the XF house :D and he's also gay. Nothing bad meant by this just telling facts.

Cut back on the aggression.

This YOUGOV poll isn't obviously that reliable if the second favourite came bottom in the votes. It just shows that you can be the favourite but not have the votes. I lke Marcus but his position is far from secure, I reckon the other fanbases are bigger and more persistant and it'll show in the vote to win.

I'm starting to think people might be sleeping on Janet though, she must have a strong fanbase to save her from the bottom 2 so often despite being an inconsistent performer.

I'll be very surprised if Marcus doesn't win, I think it's been a certainty since several weeks ago.