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-   -   Ashleigh: her odds (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=208155)

TOXICHUNK 29-07-2012 08:26 AM

Ashleigh: her odds
 
Can someone explain the fact Ashleigh's odds haven't improved since she was saved on Friday eviction! I'm confused I'm my opinion becky Luke s and Conor should be below Ashleigh in the odds because if she faced eviction with any of these 3 housemates she would be saved deffo over becky and Luke s! Odds confuse me lol

Supporting : deana & Ashleigh
HATE: Conor and becky and Luke s

alex_front2 29-07-2012 08:41 AM

Nope.

Ash has 0 about her. Dumb act is annoying, Nazi ignorance shocking, jealous of other females, fauxmance, rudeness to Benedict, mean girls schtick against Lauren (when the pretend tomboy barged in on convo), needy, crude, lewd and rude.

Becky will always get big girls = bubbly personality vote.

Conor has fangirls, NI , racists and is anti.Outsider figurehead

Luke S received bottom votes imo before phone unfreeze but got votes same would happen if it were Ash v Luke S

joeysteele 29-07-2012 08:51 AM

A major factor of fridays eviction was it was in fact an eviction that had a lot of housemates up, people who in the main suported the so called insiders group had likely divided mostly their votes between them,similarly with the praying army,the votes would have likely been divided between those 3 too.
Only Sara really stood alone but it seems she has a likely small cross section of those votes for both camps as well as her own base too.

It is therefore hard for us to work out who is really the most popular so it must be worse for the likes of the bookies and people betting.
I have my favourites but could never even be halfway sure they could win, getting through to the final week would be a different thing, then we will have voting for the winner and maybe it is then people will finally decide which housemate they will support in the main, rather than spreading their votes between so many to save them at present.

Maybe that's why the odds don't change much, so many people this series like a few housemates and not just one, a great many also likely have no real clear favourite for the first time even at this stage of the series.

It is a unique series as to that this year.
Caroline's supporters now are for sure going to throw their votes to the 'insiders' group in the main too in future evictions.
I think determining the odds is going to get harder not easier even at the closing stages of the series.

Mr Angry 29-07-2012 09:17 AM

I think you have to also be wary of betting scams.
People wait til as late as possible and bet on an outsider (in a 2 horse/housemate race)
and then flood vote for them.
This is what I believe happened when Lauren went and Luke A stayed.
I was checking the odds several times a day right up to when voting stopped and
at no point did it look like Lauren would lose.

Suze 29-07-2012 10:02 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr Angry (Post 5346733)
I think you have to also be wary of betting scams.
People wait til as late as possible and bet on an outsider (in a 2 horse/housemate race)
and then flood vote for them.
This is what I believe happened when Lauren went and Luke A stayed.
I was checking the odds several times a day right up to when voting stopped and
at no point did it look like Lauren would lose.

Exactly. I have been stating this a few times when it is a head to head, because it is easy for some to scam in a one on one. That explains why the odds change so drastically on the BB eviction days and the favourite to stay then goes. I thought Lauren had it in the bag for the win until she was in the head to head.

Lister of Smeg 29-07-2012 11:05 AM

Give me Becky Conor and Luke s over *******igh .

Fetch The Bolt Cutters 29-07-2012 11:07 AM

because she has 0 chance of winning maybe

Locke. 29-07-2012 11:11 AM

Luke would survive against her in a one vs one.

Fetch The Bolt Cutters 29-07-2012 11:13 AM

then why did she get more votes than him in an 8 way vote http://i.imgur.com/kQszi.gif

Locke. 29-07-2012 11:15 AM

2 way vote is pretty much a vote to evict, a lot more people hate her, just look at that least favourite poll :idc:

Kizzy 29-07-2012 11:21 AM

Ash got more votes than luke S due to his obvious fakeness....

Fetch The Bolt Cutters 29-07-2012 11:22 AM

so he would win by default then if its a vote to evict

it just means people dont even like him they hate the other person more

http://i.imgur.com/L8bDC.jpg

you probably only like him coz he is from liverpool

Locke. 29-07-2012 11:28 AM

The public love Luke S, he came third in the voting the other night behind Conor and Sara

Fetch The Bolt Cutters 29-07-2012 11:33 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Locke. (Post 5346896)
The public love Luke S, he came third in the voting the other night behind Conor and Sara

http://25.media.tumblr.com/tumblr_m2...erqyo1_250.gif

billy123 29-07-2012 12:09 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Scott (Post 5346875)
then why did she get more votes than him in an 8 way vote http://i.imgur.com/kQszi.gif

Because she wanks men off in public at every opportunity.


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