adam needs luke a gone early
 

the vote will be partly split between the 2 great outsiders
if adam is to emerge victorious as he deserves to, he needs to overcome the scottish vote for sara, the majority female vote for poor oppressed self pitying attention seeking deana and luke s is irreleveant

so the fact is adam or luke votes will be split,so one of them need to go early in order for the other hm to get the rest of the fans votes

if luke a can leave say 4th , then id expect a fair number of his fans to back his best mate adam to the title....if they both stay in to the final 3, then deana or sara will steal the crown as their vote wont be so split

I do think it's impossible to have a Outsider 1-2-3.

Sara is currently almost as popular as Adam and LukeA according to polls.

Basically outsiders need to pick their fav outsider and stick to that.

Sara may get in the final 3 as the outsiders seperate fan bases will be branching out

I definitely think Sara will be in top 3 (and maybe even win) - the outsiders fanbase is overlapped. Outsider fans really underestimating Sara. Can't stand her but I know a well supported HM when I see one.

This is a reason I think Deana will win. Adam and Luke A more or less have a similar/same fan base, and their votes will be split. Where as Deana as her own army of fans.

So does Sara and they are completely indepedent of soldiers

This is very true actually :O
Sara will probably get ahead of one of Adam/Luke A

Again, Deana fans are getting too complacent, were counting our chickens before they hatch. I think she could end up 4th or 3rd if the other fanbases are really going for it.

I get that Sara is very likeable, but she's like Scott. Will people actually pick up the phone and vote for her?

I'm not getting complacent at all, even thought I think she'll win, I'm still worried, and will be voting for her a fair few more times.

I'm only voting for Adam, i'm not voting for Luke A, so Luke a and Deana might have to go early for Adam to win, but i have no clue how the other HM's fanbase is so we'll see.

I'm not splitting my votes. Just voting for Adam

She's Scottish - they will vote for anyone in a reality programme from their (see McDonald Brothers on X Factor)

Though deana is now more unpopular (as with last year's 'winner') her disciples will still vote for her. I think the anti-deana vote will be split between adam and luke A. I DON'T SEE THE OTHER TWO IN THE RUNNING.

Me to. If Adam went i might throw a few to Luke A but we'll see.