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-   -   Akeem demoted to 3rd fav. (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=351278)

Pro Sniper 03-11-2018 09:17 AM

Akeem demoted to 3rd fav.
 
He can now be backed as big as 6/1(14% chance) :joker:

There's been a late charge for fake Cian..who is now clear 2nd fav around 3/1(25% chance) Desperate bullsh!tter Rodney remains odds-on around 1/2(66% chance) And bitter nutcase Zoe remains the rank outsider over 20/1(4% chance) :joker: huge lulz at those thinking she can win this :joker::joker::joker:

chuff me dizzy 03-11-2018 09:31 AM

PLEASE don't let him win, its my worst nightmare

bots 03-11-2018 09:59 AM

this has been a very weird BB, with so many hm's blowing their chances themselves and another hm taking over the top spot. Even before lewis got popular it was up and down like a yo yo. It's been good in that respect because it has kept it interesting.

I made a prediction in week 2 that slow and steady was going to win this year with Zoe and Cian being the ones to beat, and through all the drama, that's basically how it's ended up

Morgan. 03-11-2018 10:07 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pro Sniper (Post 10330304)
He can now be backed as big as 6/1(14% chance) :joker:

There's been a late charge for fake Cian..who is now clear 2nd fav around 3/1(25% chance) Desperate bullsh!tter Rodney remains odds-on around 1/2(66% chance) And bitter nutcase Zoe remains the rank outsider over 20/1(4% chance) :joker: huge lulz at those thinking she can win this :joker::joker::joker:

Odds don't mean a thing - Zoe was sixth favourite to win yesterday and two others surpassed her. Zoe has a lot of 'hidden fans' - they're not vocal but they vote in masses.

Epic. 03-11-2018 10:14 AM

Cian to win :clap1:

Pro Sniper 03-11-2018 10:24 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Blurryface (Post 10330331)
Odds don't mean a thing - Zoe was sixth favourite to win yesterday and two others surpassed her. Zoe has a lot of 'hidden fans' - they're not vocal but they vote in masses.

Saying odds "don't mean a thing" is absurd. Sure, they're not "guaranteed" to prove dead-on accurate..but there's many times when they clearly reflect reality. This is one of them. It's even more telling now we're right at the business end(the period where odds are generally at their most efficient) that she remains such a big outsider with implied chance of under 5%. Wise up.

y.winter 03-11-2018 10:31 AM

And we still had CBB19 with Colleen dead in the odds

Pro Sniper 03-11-2018 10:42 AM

Nolan's "loose women" fan base was obviously underestimated. As well as her ludicrous support from Rylan and his minions. Zoe has none of that. She'll have a few sympathy votes from similar situation single mothers..but that won't be anywhere near enough to topple either/both the gays.

RileyH 03-11-2018 11:10 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by chuff me dizzy (Post 10330312)
PLEASE don't let him win, its my worst nightmare

Of course it is :idc:

rusticgal 03-11-2018 11:16 AM

I think his desperation this week has put people off. His constant begging for the public vote....Last night I thought he was going to pass out befor Sians name was called...:laugh:

Withano 03-11-2018 11:45 AM

Your percentage chances you attached to them all don’t mean a thing

Withano 03-11-2018 11:46 AM

They add up to 109% for starters

Pro Sniper 03-11-2018 12:40 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Withano (Post 10330415)
Your percentage chances you attached to them all don’t mean a thing

They do mean a thing, they estimate the "likely" chance of something happening. As for the percentages not adding up, they're not supposed to. That is called the
overround > which is the margin(unfair) those bookie bastards build in to rip their customers off.

Take 365's book for the finale.

Cam 1/2 (66.67%
Cian 11/4 (26.67%
Akeem 11/2 (15.38%
Zoe 20/1 (4.76%)

Total = 113.5!

This is how the pigs operate. The best example is the coin toss. We all know that the true odds for this is 50/50..but the bookies don't offer that. Instead they go 10/11(52.4) for each.. which gives them over 4% edge.

DouglasS 03-11-2018 12:43 PM

He's had a terrible edit this week. I think the storyline of the series was set up for Cameron to win after Lewis F left. BB in a way is a soap/story set out by the producers, Akeem winning would make little sense after Cameron's 'moments' [whilst BB pushed for these moments]

Oliver_W 03-11-2018 03:19 PM

I don't care about BB manipulation or housemate gameplay, I just hope Akeem doesn't win...

Underscore 03-11-2018 03:20 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by y.winter (Post 10330353)
And we still had CBB19 with Colleen dead in the odds

zoe to sweep the win on monday?

Beastie 03-11-2018 03:24 PM

Cian and Zoe's odds are both shortening across the board. Cameron better still win!

Vicky. 03-11-2018 03:40 PM

He has got too try hard I think. Seems a bit arrogant. And far too aware of the cameras. I do not think everything he does is for the cameras like some, but the constant 'I am welsh me' stuff is a bit daft and is clearly just for votes, as for some reason Welsh people seem to vote for Welsh people just because they are Welsh :laugh:

Oliver_W 03-11-2018 04:01 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Vicky. (Post 10330728)
He has got too try hard I think. Seems a bit arrogant. And far too aware of the cameras. I do not think everything he does is for the cameras like some, but the constant 'I am welsh me' stuff is a bit daft and is clearly just for votes, as for some reason Welsh people seem to vote for Welsh people just because they are Welsh :laugh:

tbh I think the Irish are bigger culprits of that than the Welsh.

But yeah I agree he's ramping it up, I swear his accent is stronger now - it never used to annoy me before, but now his stupid voice does...

Jules82 03-11-2018 04:08 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by rusticgal (Post 10330397)
I think his desperation this week has put people off. His constant begging for the public vote....Last night I thought he was going to pass out befor Sians name was called...:laugh:

I wonder if Emma left him until the last two on purpose? I bet he was having kittens tbh, poor boy....:laugh:

Jules82 03-11-2018 04:12 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Pro Sniper (Post 10330484)
They do mean a thing, they estimate the "likely" chance of something happening. As for the percentages not adding up, they're not supposed to. That is called the
overround > which is the margin(unfair) those bookie bastards build in to rip their customers off.

Take 365's book for the finale.

Cam 1/2 (66.67%
Cian 11/4 (26.67%
Akeem 11/2 (15.38%
Zoe 20/1 (4.76%)

Total = 113.5!

This is how the pigs operate. The best example is the coin toss. We all know that the true odds for this is 50/50..but the bookies don't offer that. Instead they go 10/11(52.4) for each.. which gives them over 4% edge.

I always say I wish I understood the bookies, I love watching in BB.

rusticgal 03-11-2018 04:19 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jules82 (Post 10330778)
I wonder if Emma left him until the last two on purpose? I beet he was having kittens tbh, poor boy....:laugh:

Let him sweat it out...:laugh:

Elliot 03-11-2018 04:20 PM

Literally anything but Zoe

mr rochester 04-11-2018 12:30 PM

As far as Endemol are concerned they have more chance of selling the rights to the show if a gay man used it as a vehicle to come out.

A slob on benefits who can’t be bothered to get dressed every day will not produce the funds they want for the sale.

Therefore in the last few days production will demonise the other contestants to ensure a win for the the one who has the best storyline.

All the others have gone and they are left with a flat and uninspiring final, therefore the best storyline will win to facilitate the sale (not because he was the best contestant).

Patricia4 04-11-2018 01:43 PM

I just hope Akeem doesn't win.


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