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-   -   Predict the US Presidential Election Result - Electoral College vote (https://www.thisisbigbrother.com/forums/showthread.php?t=371372)

James 03-11-2020 12:42 AM

Predict the US Presidential Election Result - Electoral College vote
 
Let's have a prediction game.

Predict the US Presidential Election Result between Donald Trump and Joe Biden.

The election works on the electoral college system - each US state is allocated a number of electors depending on its population, and winner of the vote in that state wins all those electors.

https://upload.wikimedia.org/wikiped...2-2020.svg.png

There are 538 electors in total and for reference the previous result (on election night) was

Donald Trump 306
Hillary Clinton 232

In 2012 the result was

Barack Obama 332
Mitt Romney 206

So what will be the result in 2020?

Donald Trump - ?
Joe Biden - ?


Let's see who gets closest.

LaLaLand 03-11-2020 12:51 AM

Both my head and heart are saying Biden, but I have this looming dread that Trump's going to sneak back in somehow.

I just hope that all of the minorities are really using their vote for Biden really.

I think it will be quite close, no big landslide, with Biden just edging it.

So let's say (totally uneducated answer I must admit):

Trump - 253

Biden - 285


I'm undoubtedly way off what the actual result will be, but I think it'll be very close. That close? Probably not but who knows! :joker:

Kizzy 03-11-2020 01:26 AM

I'd say similar numbers to Barack tbh 300+ for Biden

Mitchell 03-11-2020 01:35 AM

I think it’ll be a Trump win, not sure of numbers though

Brother Leon 03-11-2020 02:01 AM

Ohio and Texas are probably the only swing states I see going Trump’s way. Maybe Florida or another one shock.

Biden with 300+ imo.

Denver 03-11-2020 02:34 AM

Its going to depend on how strong the anti trump vote withing the republican supporters is

bots 03-11-2020 03:47 AM

i think Trump is going to get smashed so that he has no option but to accept the result

Biden 332 +

Trump 206 -

(i heard a gop strategist yesterday saying that it was going to be a landslide for trump :laugh:)

bots 03-11-2020 08:12 AM

Biden secures the first Election Day victory while Trump takes the second as two tiny New Hampshire towns with a combined population of just 26 announce their results at midnight

Only 269 to go joe :laugh:

Nicky91 03-11-2020 09:09 AM

tbh there is a record amount of voters now

and i don't think we will know who won for quite some time, i mean a lot of votes to be counted of 100 million people who voted

The Slim Reaper 03-11-2020 09:16 AM

320 Biden
216 Trump

Swan 03-11-2020 10:10 AM

Biden 313
Trump 225

user104658 03-11-2020 10:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Nicky91 (Post 10945687)
i mean a lot of votes to be counted of 100 million people who voted

Me and you will do it together Nicky, 50 million each, I reckon we can get through that lot in 4 or 5 hours. We'll put every 3rd vote for Trump straight in the bin :flutter:

Denver 03-11-2020 10:15 AM

Biden 320
Trump 218

DouglasS 03-11-2020 12:42 PM

Trump - 294
Biden - 244

Calderyon 03-11-2020 12:48 PM

Trump 279
Biden 259

Niamh. 03-11-2020 12:52 PM

Donald Trump 275
joe Biden 283

Shaun 03-11-2020 01:24 PM

Used https://www.270towin.com/ and came up with Biden 324-214 Trump.

The default it predicts is a Biden landslide though.

Oliver_W 03-11-2020 03:49 PM

Not gonna guess numbers but I think Trump will just squeak an EC win while losing the popular vote.

Jack_ 03-11-2020 09:44 PM

I think it's going to be close.

Trump takes Florida, North Carolina and Arizona.

Biden wins Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

That gives me:

Biden - 278
Trump - 260

lewis111 03-11-2020 09:55 PM

Using 270ToWin I got
Biden - 270
Trump - 268 :omgno:

I mean that was me being a bit on the pessimistic side, and Pennsylvania could very easily go blue - but imagine the scenes if that result was the case

Morgan. 04-11-2020 07:40 AM

Biden 280
Trump 258

Swan 04-11-2020 08:27 AM

Well no way is Biden getting 300 or more now. I think Trump is actually gonna win this!

Denver 04-11-2020 10:55 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swan (Post 10946354)
Well no way is Biden getting 300 or more now. I think Trump is actually gonna win this!

He is going to lose 2 rustbelt states, no chance he pulls it back

Jack_ 13-11-2020 07:29 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Jack_ (Post 10946118)
I think it's going to be close.

Trump takes Florida, North Carolina and Arizona.

Biden wins Wisconsin, Michigan, and Pennsylvania.

That gives me:

Biden - 278
Trump - 260

5 out of 6, I'll take it :hee:

Pesky Georgia...

Shaun 13-11-2020 08:05 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Swan (Post 10946354)
Well no way is Biden getting 300 or more now. I think Trump is actually gonna win this!

https://64.media.tumblr.com/6831eb1e...dsgp0_400.gifv


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