[Morgan.]

I have to disagree slightly. There are character traits that the public won't warm to, or will nevertheless vote for. Black females an example, albeit overused, but iirc the highest they've gotten is 3rd Place. So their odds of winning are statistically lower based on track record.

Then you consider when they entered. The later into the series they join, the less chance the public have to warm to them, making their odds lower.