Quote:
Originally Posted by James
It's very unlikely your favourite is going to win the series, or even get to the final.
For example in the current series there are sixteen housemates. Statistically, that's a 1/16 (0.06%) chance any single housemate will win. Even getting to the final is only a 1/4 (25%) chance.
You're a setting yourself up for disappointment by supporting someone, and caring so much if they get evicted.
Ask yourself how often your favourite has won the show (or got to the final).
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Dont give up the day job James! Your stats are waaay off, there are dozens of factors that go into determining the percentage chance of a win / place in the final,with certain housemates having a MUCH higher than one in 16 chance of winning / one in four of reaching the final. Cian and Akeem for example were highly likely to reach the final four from almost the word go. There isn't a bookmaker in the world who would have given you anything like 3/1 on those. I doubt you'd have gotten evens.
You also forgot the multiply your percentage for the win (it's 6.25% chance, not 0.06).
But again, from the moment of entry until now there's no way you'd have gotten 15/1 or even close on any of these finalists to win.
[edited to fix a couple of my own figures]