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Old 04-11-2018, 07:13 PM #1
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Morgan. Morgan. is offline
27/01/2020
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 21,260

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Morgan. Morgan. is offline
27/01/2020
Morgan.'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Dec 2014
Posts: 21,260

Favourites (more):
Strictly 2020: Clara Amfo
BBUSA22: Da'Vonne


Default Statistical Chances of Winning

I created a formulae from previous winners to include the chances of winning based on different criteria - gender, age, nationality, race, entrance, sexuality etc. I have then calculated the finalists chance of winning, and o pared them to evicted housemates.

Zoe: 8.2%
Cameron: 6.0%
Cian: 5.4%
Akeem: 4.8%
  1. Lewis F: 8.6%
  2. Lewis G: 8.6%
  3. Sîan: 8.2%
  4. Zoe: 8.2%
  5. Isabella: 7.8%
  6. Isaac: 6.6%
  7. Hussain: 6.2%
  8. Kenaley: 6.1%
  9. Brooke: 6.0%
  10. Cameron: 6.0%
  11. Cian: 5.4%
  12. Ellis: 5.3%
  13. Tomasz: 5.2%
  14. Akeem: 5.0%
  15. Anamélia: 4.8%
  16. Kay: 4.4%

From this, Zoe statistically stands the best chance of winning on Monday, whilst Akeem has the least chance startistically.

Meanwhile Lewis F and Lewis G stood the best chances of winning statistically from the whole cast, with Kay having the least chance.
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Last edited by Morgan.; 04-11-2018 at 07:16 PM.
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