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they estimated a week ago that the daily infections would be > 50k per day by the 19th when restrictions were removed and that is going to be the ball park. Its not just england that are relaxing restrictions, all the 4 nations are, it's a gamble on vaccination protection.

We know that if hospital admissions go above 2k per day they will need to put the breaks on, so i give it about a month after we remove restrictions. However, many have been saying for many months now that it is the schools that drive infections upward, so if the numbers start to come down next week when the schools break up in england, it will pretty much prove the point and then it becomes a moral issue on vaccinating kids, and I wouldnt want to be the one making that decision