Quote:
Originally Posted by joeysteele
Since polling has been way out on most elections and even referenda too Mock.
I never take notice of them.
Nor put any faith in any one selected poll, even one that just suits my preference.
The average lead of Con over Labour is around 8/9 percent.
That's overall less than the 2019 election position.
The ONLY nearest National poll we've had are the local and Mayoral elections this year.
Wherein the breakdown of actual votes was Con 36% and Labour 29% .
On the lower turnout there is in local elections.
However that's only 7%
There's margins of errors in all polling anyhow.
Figures of 44 to 31.
Can easily be in margins of error figures of around 41 to 34.
Oddly enough a 7% gap.
Possibly still in line with the local elections results.
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Hello Joey.
Tbf the Tories are very likely to win (the Media is on their side after all) but I definitely think it'll be by a very different margin to whatever YouGov says.