Remembering Kerry
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Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: with Mystic Mock
Posts: 44,091
Favourites (more):
CBB2025: Danny Beard BB2023: Jordan
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Remembering Kerry
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: with Mystic Mock
Posts: 44,091
Favourites (more):
CBB2025: Danny Beard BB2023: Jordan
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If Labour are anything around 9+% above the Cons.
Labour could have a small to well into double figure majority.
The average of all polling at present which I have little faith in.
Have never however had the Cons ahead by even 1% for a good few months now.
Labour could easily be the largest party in such scenarios with anything from being short by 10 seats to around 20.
However with the Speaker and deputy speakers who usually don't vote plus Sinn Feinn with around 6 seats who don't come to Westminster.
326 is NOT the figure needed for an overall majority.
321 is.
I would doubt with great certainty of such doubt that the Lib Dems will not jump in the deceitful Con circus, even with either of these 2 candidates leading the Cons.
Plaid Cymru would never support the Cons.
Nor would any Greens.
The Alliance party in N Ireland wouldn't either just as the SDLP would not too.
So really it's more like unless the Cons got an unexpected overall majority or with around 8 DUP MPs, then that's the only way the Cons could govern.
However too, I think not necessarily with any deals or coalitions, a Labour led government able to rely on the SNP could prove to be an extremely good scenario.
The SNP couldn't ever dare to put in or risk putting in another Con administration, they'd pay likely heavily for that in Scotland.
I'd have no concerns whatsoever however of a Labour and SNP connection of a deal or even coalition.
After all IF it was fine for the Cons to do a deal with the bigoted DUP from N Ireland to be in government then it would be hypocritical to moan at any kind of Labour and SNP connection.
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