Quote:
Originally Posted by bitontheslide
it's like everyone assuming labour will win the next election. The political world is just not the same now as any previous election, so i wouldn't bet on anything
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On that front to be fair there are actual indicators of how it will go in terms of actual meaningful polling/local elections etc... it would take a lot for the Tories to not be absolutely slammed at the GE. Public tide has turned - they're no longer a fashionable choice, and no longer have the "glory hunter" effect (i.e. the people who will simply vote for whichever party they think is going to win, so that they can claim the victory and celebrate the win).
I'm not convinced it'll be a Labour landslide though, probably looking at a minority government, a coalition less likely. The main difference is that I don't think there'll be a clear major opposition party - it'll be Labour in power and a gaggle of opposition parties. Tories not massively ahead of the traditionally smaller parties in terms of seats.
But we will see. As you say, hard to predict anything until a few weeks before the vote at this point. Who bloody knows what ****storm global event will have kicked off by then.