i can see EBU standing with Israel, due to MoroccanOil sponsorship
but if they kick out Israel, then i can see them coming up with another nation in return, perhaps Kazakhstan

on a invite, they already received those invites for junior eurovision quite some editions
and i can see the EBU also trying to cool down Germany in terms of their ''withdrawal threat'' maybe with an offer of more power in the committee, helping out to try and improve the contest some more