The evidence is circumstantial. If the C4 poll shows Spencer top of the popularity poll and Alex 3rd or 4th, and someone is prepared to bet absolutely huge sums on Alex to stay, there are three possibilities:

1. Someone on the inside at C4 is either giving out voting information, or manipulating coverage, or both.

2. Someone is going to organise a mass phone in to back up the bet.

3. The gambler is a blithering idiot.

Which is it?