[joeysteele]

Its likely to get better or not reduce much over the years too. sadly people have short memories of how badly Labour wasted the 2 biggest overall majories ever since the war.

However, the lead is in fact the movement of those who voted Lib Dem,as the Lib Dem vote is down around 12 to 14% from the election and Labour is up around 13 to 15%.
Voters feel betrayed by the Lib Dems, as the cuts are only set to bite over the next 3 to 4 years then the Labour vote will likely harden.The Conservative vote figure has largely stayed at around what they got in May 2010.

There was no great love for the Conservatives at the 2010 election, they only added just over 5% to their vote in 13 years from 1997, still only getting 36%+ in an election they should have walked over with at least a 50 overall majority and at least getting to 40% of the vote.However the Conservatives are doing what they said they would in govt unlike the Lib Dems.

In the end over this whole parliament now,Labour will be seen as the one and only opposition to the cuts, etc and no matter the reasons for the deficit and its no doubt Labour mismanaged the economy and left a high financial crisis but the now human cost of peoples jobs, livelihoods,loss of homes and family break ups through financial stress of these cuts and job losses will likely ensure this coalition is swept out when the voters get the chance to do so.The longer the voters have to wait to do that then the worse it will be as with Gordon Browns dithering over calling an election.

I cannot see most of those who voted Lib Dem in 2010 trusting or believing Clegg again, so while he is leader of the Lib Dems, those voters will not return to them. Those voters will not go to the Conservatives either, so will throw their lot in with Labour.I actually also believe that nearer the end of this term of govt in order to save themselves,many Lib Dem MPs will turn on the coalition and start making overtures to Labour again.

Labour make a financial mess, the Conservatives prefer the human cost of livelihoods mess which both 'means' do eventually get to sort out problems after recession, we all know what we are likely to get from those parties but the one party that is a real snake in the grass are the Lib Dems, I voted for them in 2010,I will never do so again or believe a word they say.