Quote:
Originally Posted by arista
But this gives LibDens
4 years to turn it around.
They can still do well
and act as the puppet master,
if at the General Election
Conservative or Labour
do not have enough.
Labour are not good under Ed.
so it could be another Hung Parl.
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I dare bet,in fact I already have placed a bet that it will be a hung parliament in 2015, because from my reading of politics it is clear after the 2010 election that the UK is not now a right wing Country as to the majority of its voters.
64% of voters in an election the Conservatives should have walked into power in with an overall majority of at least 30 seats voted against the Conservatives and right wing policies.
In 2010 the Conservatives could only get 36% of the votes, leaving them a clear 7 points ahead of Labour, even with the new boundary changes planned for 2015 the Conservatives will need to be, if the AV vote is lost, at least that again ahead of Labour just to get a bare overall majority,under AV they would have no chance at all of an overall majority unless over 10 points ahead.
I believe firmly the Lib Dems have lost for good the Labour voters who switched to them from 2002,I rate that figure to be at least 5% of their vote,so even with a Lib Dem revival the next election should still see Labour with at least 35% of the votes minimum, the Lib Dems likely 15%,others 11% so that only leaves the Conservatives with a maximum 38/39% left. another hung parliament.
Rarely in politics are bad poll ratings turned around in less than 4 years, 4 years from now we will be almost at the end of the next General election campaign, even with any good successes for this Govt, I cannot see the Lib Dems getting any credit for that. The Conservative party machine will say they, the Conservatives, were able to achieve any success despite the Lib Dems not because of them.