Well, statisically, she has a one in six chance of winning, so she does have a chance
But seriously, she has a lot of support and has a decent chance of actually winning. I'm really not bothered who wins it now (as long as it's not Nikki) but I'd be happy to see Ash win, I'd like to see a true gameplayer win it for once. I try not to judge people on their physical appearance, so the fact that she wears makeup doesn't really affect my opinion on her.