[The Penguin]

Michael should win because it's turning into Michael against the house. He has clearly been very patient with Denise yet the others unjustly blame him for the imbalance in the house. If he wins it will show the other housemates, particularly Natalie, that what they saw or what Denise told them wasn't the same was what the public saw between Denise and Michael. Any reasonable person can see that Michael is spot on about Denise. She turns into a desperate pathetic mess after a few drinks.