Quote:
Originally Posted by Hadouken
Tbfh odds checker is baffling me. Callum is shortening on some. Hes been shortening on odds all day yet hes still quite a fair bit behind hazel. And the twins are drifiting in every bookie, but dexter is shortening in every bookie apart from one and yet twins are still 3rd fav. This isnt making any sense.
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Just so you know....Every bookie has to make a book. They cant put all 4 contestants at evens as it will show the percentages in favour of them by a big margin. If hazel is say 1/2 then the others must add up to an amount that makes the win odds balance out so if callum is 2/1 the twins and dexter must be at least 10/1 and 20/1 to balance the books.
Whats happening today is the crafty bookies are using a herring bait for the book. They falsely shorten Callums odds to make people think he is being lumped on and to do this they must put the twins or dexter bigger. In reality they are inviting sucker bets for no return and punters bite.
When you go to the horse track, watch a horse that's dropping like flies and shortening dramatically, mug punters follow it and bet thinking that the boys in the know have bet it and the horse comes nowhere. The bookies have just conned you by offering a @STEAMER@ when it had no chance. Tonight's steamer is callum. Save your money and back Hazel, she is certain to go, trust the Oracle, I've never been wrong before on the VTE.