hey troy, in this interview Spencer says Russell Hantz would have won with this jury. Starts around the 46 minute mark. He said it would have been tougher for him, but he still would have won.
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=MgoKVZxOmyw
Like I've always said it all depends with the type of people on the jury. Dan wins with last year's jury and Andy loses with BB14's jury.