Quote:
Originally Posted by sampvt
Please elaborate, you have my attention
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A freeroll is possible when the odds shift in your favour. This happens to everyone who gambles over any significant length of time. Everyone. It's not evidence of being a great gambler.
Separately, you called it a no brainer that Joel would go, and now you've bet against yourself because your confidence has waned. If not, you'd either let it ride or at most bet just enough on Eileen going to cover your first bet. You've abandoned your own prediction. Not very Oracle-like.