Quote:
Originally Posted by Dash Darington
As I pointed out, you didn't simply make an insurance bet. You abandoned your prediction altogether. If you were still confident Joel would go, you'd bet 80 at 5/2 on Eileen to cover your first bet, and win 420 with zero risk.
It seems like you've backtracked from your claim about being an Oracle or great predictor of outcomes in the game. That's reasonable. Abandoning your prediction is the appropriate response, given your uncertainty. Your response to the favourable shift in the odds is a sound one.
After re-reading your post I see you're actually describing an imaginary bet that isn't even available to you, not one you've actually place.
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Going by your analysis, you seem hell bent on trying to push the point that I abandoned my mantle of the Oracle by placing an insurance bet. Let me ask you this, would you rather win £300 with zero risk of £500 with a medium risk. If you answer the former you are agreeing with me, if you answer the later you are a mug punter. If you don't answer with any logical rhetoric, you admit defeat and my mantle of Oracle stands in tact and you enter troll territory.
Why don't you offer facts not supposition, I am far better placed to argue the toss with a logical debate as opposed to bickering with someone who is plainly jealous of someone obviously more successful that your good self
Now do we agree to disagree and move on, are you just going to keep on digging at me.