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Old 03-12-2015, 05:19 PM #14
joeysteele joeysteele is offline
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joeysteele joeysteele is offline
Remembering Kerry
 
Join Date: Jun 2010
Location: with Mystic Mock
Posts: 44,162

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I can't see the seat being lost but really if this is a narrow win, anything worse than half the majority in May, then tensions will rise in Labour.
I would be very concerned if the majority is anything less than around 6,000.

By-elections are now poor guides electorally due to poor turnout and tactical voting at times too, but this is a seat where Labour must do well, and as the Opposition, should be doing extraordinary well in a single by-election scenario of such a safe seat.

Bad day to hold this in my opinion too, it would have been better to have held this in the New Year.

Last edited by joeysteele; 03-12-2015 at 08:03 PM.
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