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Old 31-08-2007, 10:25 AM #14
Terpsichore Terpsichore is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 36
Terpsichore Terpsichore is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2007
Posts: 36
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These are the averaged odds from the last 7 days.

Twins -- 1.33 -- 1.32 --- 1.29 --- 1.29 --- 1.23 --- 1.15---1.15
Brian --- 3.32 -- 3.33 --- 3.57 --- 3.57 --- 4.03 --- 4.64---4.39
Liam -- 12.90 - 13.27 - 18.29 - 20.00 -- 18.58 - 21.45--24.27

As you see, the twins advance has come to a halt. It actually reached a peak last night, at around 1.14, then slipped back again overnight. I took their average from 10 bookies, and just two of them show the twins on a backward trend. The others are holding steady.

Brian has moved up since yesterday, with 3 of the 10 bookies showing him on an upward trend. But it looks like his advance has been at the expense of Liam, rather than the twins. Liam's odds are showing a bigger dip since yesterday than he's had for the last 3 days.

There is nothing in these figures to indicate the "surge" of Brian support that tabloids are reporting. Though, obviously you have to bear in mind that these figures are from gamblers, not voters. If the gambling fraternity is out of kilter with the voters, it won't be the first time, but it will be the first time I've known them to be out by this much.

I didn't see anything on BBLB this morning that shed any light, so I don't know what people are referring to, but they did a poll of the studio audience two days ago which showed 1/3 for Brian, and 1/2 for the twins. That's about what I would have expected if betting odds are anything to go by. It's also consistent with the poll thread on this forum, showing twins with just under half the total votes. But if the tabloids have run polls that show Brian ahead, you just have to take your choice.
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