[Ketman]

If Angel is evicted tonight I'll win a tidy sum of money as a result of one of my bets on Betfair. But I'd prefer not to. I really want her to stay, as one of the very few truly independent people in the house. The problem is that her independence might be her undoing, because it makes her an easy target at nomination time. She is perceived as part of no group, no clique. She doesn't engage in gossip and backbiting, and isn't seen as having any allies. If nominations are public (which it looks like they might be tonight) and you're stuck for a name, hers is the obvious one, the one least likely to rebound on you at a later date. Nominating Angel would be the safe option.

So I'm pessimistic about her chances, because although I expect Freddie to get fewer noms than last week, he'll probably still get enough to be up. Angel could probably win against anyone except Freddie and Charlie, but if Freddie's up, the only hope is that it's a 3-way eviction. If it's a head-to-head with Freddie, she's gone.