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The X Factor 2004-'08 [S1-5] Discussion of previous series (2004-2008) and the contestants. Winners were Steve Brookstein, Shayne Ward, Leona Lewis, Leon Jackson and Alexandra Burke.

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Old 09-11-2008, 11:07 AM #11
dupin dupin is offline
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Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,644
dupin dupin is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2006
Posts: 3,644
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Look at last week's elimination odds:

Daniel - 4/6
Rachel - 9/2
Ruth - 6/1
JLS - 16/1
Eoghan - 22/1
Alexandra - 50/1
Laura - 66/1
Diana 100/1

I actually didn't think Laura would be in much longer, though I actually suspected she'd be out the next week...just a £1 bet would have got me £66! I should have bet on it!

Something interesting is that the person who gets called through last is chosen for one of two reasons:

* It is a shock that they are through, as you would think they would be in the bottom 2 (Scott week 1, Daniel week 5)

OR

* They are a favourite who is near the bottom 2, and it is a way of making it seem as though they are near the bottom 2 & tries to provoke more votes for them next week (Austin week 2, Austin week 3, Laura week 4)

So it's something to watch for next week if anyone is thinking of making a bet...

Alternatively, the first two performers every week are in the bottom two unless any of the first two performers already have a big enough fanbase so that it doesn't matter where they are in the show, from week 3 onwards anyway:

Week 3 ; Scott & Daniel (performed 1st & 2nd)
Week 4 ; Rachel & Austin (performed 1st & 2nd)
Week 5; Ruth & Laura (performed 2nd & 3rd)

Eoghan performed 1st in week 5, but avoided the bottom 2; this leads me to believe that he is one of the front runners in the voting. Using all this stuff, I think come next week, in between the two shows, it could be useful in making some good bets...

Also, does anyone have the odds from last night, in between the two shows? Was Laura more of a favourite to go then, or was it a complete shock for the bookies?
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