[Halfwit4Victory]

I have done 3 different nominations predicitions based on 3 different scenario's:

(1) "As if it were today"
Halfwit- Lisa/Bea
Charlie- Halfwit/Siavash
David- Halfwit/Siavash
Bea- Halfwit/Siavash
Sophie- Halfwit/Bea
Rodrigo- Halfwit/Bea
Siavash- Lisa/Bea
Lisa- Halfwit/Siavash

Halfwit- 6
Bea- 4 Halfwit vs Bea vs Siavash
Siavash- 4 Bea Goes

(2) Rodrigo has a fit because of the "queen" at charlie and Sophie

Halfwit- Lisa/Bea
Charlie- Halfwit/Rodrigo
David- Halfwit/Siavash
Bea- Halfwit/Siavash
Sophie- Halfwit/Bea (Soph would never nominate Rod))
Rodrigo- Halfwit/Charlie (Likewise)
Siavash- Lisa/Bea
Lisa- Halfwit/Siavash

Halfwit- 6
Bea- 3 Halfwit vs Bea vs Siavash
Siavash- 3 Bea Goes

(3) Alternative
Halfwit- Bea/David
Charlie- Halfwit/Siavash
David- Halfwit/Siavash
Bea- Halfwit/Siavash
Sophie- Halfwit/David
Rodrigo- David/Bea (Because David+Rod are'nt close or something)
Siavash- Bea/David
Lisa- Halfwit/Siavash

Halfwit- 5
David- 4 Halfwit vs Bea vs Siavash
Siavash- 4 David Goes

What do you think is the most likely?
Do you have any adjustments or new predictions?
Who do you think will be up for nomination?