[Withano]

Originally Posted by parmnion

https://www.google.co.uk/url?sa=t&so...fQJiow&ampcf=1




Can you post the polls from this month that show that labour would win an election tomorrow like you claimed?

This is from may

10 july, labour 39% lead https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.ne..._VI_Brexit.pdf
12 july, Labour 42% lead http://www.deltapoll.co.uk/wp-conten...poll180714.pdf
16 july, labour 41% lead http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net...Trackers_w.pdf
19 july, labour 39% lead https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.ne...20_for_web.pdf
20 july, labour 40% lead https://www.icmunlimited.com/wp-cont...v-only-BPC.pdf
They actually tied the latest yougov poll, but tories havent won a poll in several weeks. About the time they starting ****ing up brexit publicly. Their fall actually directly correlates with ukips rise, i was just guessing before, looks like i guessed correctly.

[Parmy]

Originally Posted by Withano

This is from may

10 july, labour 39% lead https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.ne..._VI_Brexit.pdf
12 july, Labour 42% lead http://www.deltapoll.co.uk/wp-conten...poll180714.pdf
16 july, labour 41% lead http://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net...Trackers_w.pdf
19 july, labour 39% lead https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.ne...20_for_web.pdf
20 july, labour 40% lead https://www.icmunlimited.com/wp-cont...v-only-BPC.pdf
They actually tied the latest yougov poll, but tories havent won a poll in several weeks. About the time they starting ****ing up brexit publicly. Their fall actually directly correlates with ukips rise, i was just guessing before, looks like i guessed correctly.

Those are just sunday times polls...apart from the last one that has it about even......see sig.

[Withano]

Originally Posted by parmnion

Those are just sunday times polls...apart from the last one that has it about even......see sig.

...your poll was also from the times... yougov and the times do their polls together a lot. One was also by the sun. Where labour were massively ahead. Despite the sun practically promoting the tories haha.

Its not close at the moment, i dont know how much proof youd need.

To suggest that your one source from may is more relevant than my 5 from july is a bit daft though. See your sig.

[Parmy]

Originally Posted by Withano

...your poll was also from the times... yougov and the times do their polls together a lot. One was also by the sun. Where labour were massively ahead. Despite the sun practically promoting the tories haha.

Its not close at the moment, i dont know how much proof youd need.

To suggest that your one source from may is more relevant than my 5 from july is a bit daft though. See your sig.

Mines was the 4th of august...and its a poll of all polls....see sig.

[Withano]

Originally Posted by parmnion

Mines was the 4th of august...and its a poll of all polls....see sig.

None of that is true either, your article is from may (although i cant find evidence of the poll being based on anything at all as the links to the direct source are suspiciously broken), this is serious debates, youre in the wrong place

[Cherie]

A quick update on voting intention pols
4 Aug 2018
A quick update on recent voting intention polls. When I last updated in mid-July, there was a clear trend towards Labour across the polling companies, with YouGov, Opinium, Deltapoll all showing the Conservatives dropping backing significantly in the wake of the Johnson & Davis resignations (whether one attributes that to the Chequers agreement or the resignations it is impossible to say from the evidence given they were so close together. My guess is that it is a combination of the two).
The later polling towards the end of July suggested that movement had flattened out a bit – the last four published polls are below:
YouGov/Times (20th Jul) – CON 38%, LAB 39%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 6%
ICM/Guardian (22nd Jul) – CON 40%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 5%
YouGov/Times (23rd Jul) – CON 38%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 6%
Ipsos MORI/Standard (24th Jul) – CON 38%, LAB 38%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 6%
As you can see, two had Labour a point ahead, the later two had the parties neck-and-neck again. That clear Labour lead we briefly saw appears to have quickly faded again once the media was no longer focusing on Chequers & the resignations. That’s not to say there is no lasting impact at all. Back in May and June polls were showing a consistent Tory lead – that has gone; UKIP appeared dead in the water, but in these latest polls they are still up at 5% or 6%. Finally, and least noticed, polls showing the Lib Dems breaching double figures are increasingly common. There were five of them in July, compared to just one in June and just one in May.