[Garfie]

I would have said Chanelle yesterday but she let herself down badly in last night's show and I think she will have lost some support.

However, she could turn things round and all housemates have their flaws, so I would say she or Raph are most likely to win.

I don't think Ellie's character is strong enough to be a winner.

Lotan has shown some good qualities and might have a chance, but during the celebrity visit he just seemed to revert to a stereotype and that's just not interesting. I think Lotan's success depends on which aspects of his character he wants to highlight.

I don't know Raph from the forum but I am liking him in the house so far and think he has a lot to offer. He seems like a nice guy.