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Old 24-09-2022, 10:39 AM #3476
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Storm Hermine to hit Canary Island today

250mm rain likely in places

High winds too

Not good for those there on Holiday

https://www.guidetocanaryislands.com...mine-advances/

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Old 24-09-2022, 12:22 PM #3477
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Old 25-09-2022, 10:16 AM #3478
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Ian now forecast to go Cat 4

The 2 main models have it slam into Tampa (Euro model)
or into the FLorida Big Bend region (US model)
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Old 25-09-2022, 01:53 PM #3479
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Holy sheet

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Old 25-09-2022, 02:34 PM #3480
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that certainly looks a bit breezy
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Old 25-09-2022, 08:24 PM #3481
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Old 26-09-2022, 09:44 AM #3482
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Ian is now a Hurricane and is expected to be a major hurricane in the eastern
Gulf of Mexico during the middle of this week.

seems to be aiming for Tampa or just above it

Evacuations will start tomorrow
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Old 26-09-2022, 02:27 PM #3483
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Old 26-09-2022, 08:04 PM #3484
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Old 27-09-2022, 10:14 AM #3485
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DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ian was located
near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 83.7 West. Ian is moving toward
the north near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to
continue today. A turn toward the north-northeast with a reduction
in forward speed is forecast tonight and Wednesday. On the
forecast track, the center of Ian is expected to move over western
Cuba during the next few hours. Ian will then emerge over the
southeastern Gulf of Mexico later this morning, pass west of the
Florida Keys later today, and approach the west coast of Florida
within the hurricane warning area on Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher
gusts. Ian is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson
Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is expected while
Ian moves over Cuba. Strengthening is expected later this
morning after Ian emerges over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico.
Ian is forecast to approach the west coast of Florida has a major
hurricane.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles
(185 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 952 mb (28.12 inches).

NOAA

-----------

So just clipping the very West of Cuba now as a cat 3 and then it gets bigger
to 4 and stalls a bit to West of Florida then bends NE into the Tampa area
where its going to cause a lot of trouble weds

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Old 27-09-2022, 11:03 AM #3486
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they reckon it will be a an extremely rare event when it gets to florida, although maybe not so rare any more
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Old 27-09-2022, 01:42 PM #3487
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Quote:
Originally Posted by bitontheslide View Post
they reckon it will be a an extremely rare event when it gets to florida, although maybe not so rare any more
The last time Tampa got hit was 1921
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Old 27-09-2022, 02:30 PM #3488
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Default Live Chase


Last edited by LeatherTrumpet; 28-09-2022 at 11:13 AM.
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Old 28-09-2022, 09:46 AM #3489
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Ian Advisory Number 22
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022
500 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022

...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND IAN HAS STRENGTHENED INTO AN
EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE...
...EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC
WINDS AND FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.6N 82.9W
ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM WSW OF NAPLES FLORIDA
ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SSW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres.../280904.shtml?
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Old 28-09-2022, 11:04 AM #3490
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SUMMARY OF 700 AM EDT...1100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...25.9N 82.8W
ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM WSW OF NAPLES FLORIDA
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES

3 miles per hour away from Cat 5 disaster

not looking good
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Old 28-09-2022, 12:13 PM #3491
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Reed is back chasing but not sure how long he will maintain this feed..

He is heading to Fort Myers to intercept


Last edited by LeatherTrumpet; 28-09-2022 at 12:19 PM.
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Old 28-09-2022, 12:46 PM #3492
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Old 28-09-2022, 01:24 PM #3493
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Old 28-09-2022, 07:04 PM #3494
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Nasty IAN
going across Florida,
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Old 28-09-2022, 07:28 PM #3495
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Old 28-09-2022, 07:45 PM #3496
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i think thats the worst one i've seen
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Old 28-09-2022, 08:05 PM #3497
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Live on CNN HD now


It is moving Slow across the Land.

Last edited by arista; 28-09-2022 at 08:17 PM.
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Old 28-09-2022, 08:06 PM #3498
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Old 29-09-2022, 07:49 AM #3499
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Biden says if you live in a hurricane area the most important thing you can do is 'get vaccinated'
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Old 29-09-2022, 08:08 AM #3500
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Quote:
Originally Posted by MTVN View Post
Biden says if you live in a hurricane area the most important thing you can do is 'get vaccinated'
it protects against wind obviously
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