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24-09-2022, 10:39 AM | #3476 | |||
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Storm Hermine to hit Canary Island today
250mm rain likely in places High winds too Not good for those there on Holiday https://www.guidetocanaryislands.com...mine-advances/ |
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24-09-2022, 12:22 PM | #3477 | |||
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25-09-2022, 10:16 AM | #3478 | |||
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Ian now forecast to go Cat 4
The 2 main models have it slam into Tampa (Euro model) or into the FLorida Big Bend region (US model) |
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25-09-2022, 01:53 PM | #3479 | |||
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25-09-2022, 02:34 PM | #3480 | |||
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self-oscillating
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that certainly looks a bit breezy
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25-09-2022, 08:24 PM | #3481 | |||
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26-09-2022, 09:44 AM | #3482 | |||
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Ian is now a Hurricane and is expected to be a major hurricane in the eastern
Gulf of Mexico during the middle of this week. seems to be aiming for Tampa or just above it Evacuations will start tomorrow |
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26-09-2022, 02:27 PM | #3483 | |||
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26-09-2022, 08:04 PM | #3484 | |||
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27-09-2022, 10:14 AM | #3485 | |||
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DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
---------------------- At 500 AM EDT (0900 UTC), the center of Hurricane Ian was located near latitude 22.3 North, longitude 83.7 West. Ian is moving toward the north near 12 mph (19 km/h), and this motion is expected to continue today. A turn toward the north-northeast with a reduction in forward speed is forecast tonight and Wednesday. On the forecast track, the center of Ian is expected to move over western Cuba during the next few hours. Ian will then emerge over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico later this morning, pass west of the Florida Keys later today, and approach the west coast of Florida within the hurricane warning area on Wednesday and Wednesday night. Maximum sustained winds are near 125 mph (205 km/h) with higher gusts. Ian is a category 3 hurricane on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale. Little change in strength is expected while Ian moves over Cuba. Strengthening is expected later this morning after Ian emerges over the southeastern Gulf of Mexico. Ian is forecast to approach the west coast of Florida has a major hurricane. Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 35 miles (55 km) from the center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km). The estimated minimum central pressure is 952 mb (28.12 inches). NOAA ----------- So just clipping the very West of Cuba now as a cat 3 and then it gets bigger to 4 and stalls a bit to West of Florida then bends NE into the Tampa area where its going to cause a lot of trouble weds |
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27-09-2022, 11:03 AM | #3486 | |||
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self-oscillating
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they reckon it will be a an extremely rare event when it gets to florida, although maybe not so rare any more
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27-09-2022, 01:42 PM | #3487 | |||
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27-09-2022, 02:30 PM | #3488 | |||
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Last edited by LeatherTrumpet; 28-09-2022 at 11:13 AM. |
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28-09-2022, 09:46 AM | #3489 | |||
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BULLETIN
Hurricane Ian Advisory Number 22 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL092022 500 AM EDT Wed Sep 28 2022 ...AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND IAN HAS STRENGTHENED INTO AN EXTREMELY DANGEROUS CATEGORY 4 HURRICANE... ...EXPECTED TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE, CATASTROPHIC WINDS AND FLOODING IN THE FLORIDA PENINSULA... SUMMARY OF 500 AM EDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.6N 82.9W ABOUT 75 MI...125 KM WSW OF NAPLES FLORIDA ABOUT 105 MI...165 KM SSW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...140 MPH...220 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...942 MB...27.82 INCHES https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refres.../280904.shtml? |
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28-09-2022, 11:04 AM | #3490 | |||
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SUMMARY OF 700 AM EDT...1100 UTC...INFORMATION
---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...25.9N 82.8W ABOUT 65 MI...100 KM WSW OF NAPLES FLORIDA ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM SSW OF PUNTA GORDA FLORIDA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...155 MPH...250 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...937 MB...27.67 INCHES 3 miles per hour away from Cat 5 disaster not looking good |
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28-09-2022, 12:13 PM | #3491 | |||
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Reed is back chasing but not sure how long he will maintain this feed..
He is heading to Fort Myers to intercept Last edited by LeatherTrumpet; 28-09-2022 at 12:19 PM. |
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28-09-2022, 12:46 PM | #3492 | |||
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28-09-2022, 01:24 PM | #3493 | |||
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28-09-2022, 07:04 PM | #3494 | |||
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Senior Member
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Nasty IAN
going across Florida, |
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28-09-2022, 07:28 PM | #3495 | |||
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28-09-2022, 07:45 PM | #3496 | |||
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self-oscillating
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i think thats the worst one i've seen
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28-09-2022, 08:05 PM | #3497 | |||
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Live on CNN HD now
It is moving Slow across the Land. Last edited by arista; 28-09-2022 at 08:17 PM. |
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28-09-2022, 08:06 PM | #3498 | |||
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29-09-2022, 07:49 AM | #3499 | |||
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All hail the Moyesiah
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Biden says if you live in a hurricane area the most important thing you can do is 'get vaccinated'
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29-09-2022, 08:08 AM | #3500 | |||
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self-oscillating
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