[moon_peach]

Originally Posted by Swan

Tonight's show/edit is literally huge for those up. These odds are tight!

Yeah, I have no doubt they’ll give Lily a sympathetic edit, just hope it’s too late and that they’re not able to give Khaled or Ali ana awful edit!

[Benjamin]

Originally Posted by jamiewordsley

For sure if they neck and neck to who goes next and the vote does not reopen then its pretty much obv that the one who does not go will be 7th and the odds for thr 7th would look very simlar to the 6th. But yeah seen the odds now and Lilly/BP duo odds on to go which is what this shows.

I can’t recall if they reopened the votes last year?

[Benjamin]

The thing everyone forgets is the online polls are not a great indication. If it was as many votes as possible I think it would be easier to call but 5 vote restriction makes it harder. Also a lot people split votes but on most polls can only vote one person. Also it’s easy to ruin a poll.

My case being the TiBB one for vote to evict this week. 243 votes were cast between 11.30 and 5am which is overly suspect on such a short window during the middle of the night.

[moon_peach]

Originally Posted by Benjamin

Oh here you go, I found some individual odds from last year’s double:

I suppose the difference here is that Lily & Rosie seem much closer in most of the odds at this point than the top 2 do here

[moon_peach]

Originally Posted by Benjamin

I can’t recall if they reopened the votes last year?

I didn’t watch it but I believe others are saying they didn’t reopen the votes

[Benjamin]

A really loose example of why it’s not potentially going to be so clear

Imagine 110 people all have 5 votes and let’s take Emma out of the voting for ease of explanation.

Out of those 110 people:

35 put all 5 of their votes on BP (Total 175 votes)
30 put 5 votes on Khaled (150 votes)
5 put 5 votes on Lily (25 votes)
40 split their votes between Ali and Lily all giving Lily 3 votes (120 votes)

So BP has 175 votes (from 35 people)
Khaled 150 votes (from 30 people)
Lily has 145 votes (from 45 people)


Although here more people gave votes to Lily, overall the number of votes received for Khaled is more.

[moon_peach]

Originally Posted by Benjamin

A really loose example of why it’s not potentially going to be so clear

Imagine 110 people all have 5 votes and let’s take Emma out of the voting for ease of explanation.

Out of those 110 people:

35 put all 5 of their votes on BP (Total 175 votes)
30 put 5 votes on Khaled (150 votes)
5 put 5 votes on Lily (25 votes)
40 split their votes between Ali and Lily all giving Lily 3 votes (120 votes)

So BP has 175 votes (from 35 people)
Khaled 150 votes (from 30 people)
Lily has 145 votes (from 45 people)


Although here more people gave votes to Lily, overall the number of votes received for Khaled is more.

I agree with you that it’s not going to be clear. The fact that it’s a double and more people will be splitting votes than usual puts a spanner in the works when it comes to polls and predicting etc

I was just trying to work with what data we’ve got, and was noting that last year Jenkin & Trish were much closer in the odds than BP & Khaled are this time

[Adamw92]

Originally Posted by Benjamin

I’d say save until tomorrow. The highlights tonight and tomorrow will sway a lot of votes.

Oh definitely. I’m just wondering who it’s gonna end up being cause I think you had the right idea about going for Khaled but it looks like a lot of people on Facebook and X are going for Baked Potato.

[Benjamin]

Originally Posted by Adamw92

Oh definitely. I’m just wondering who it’s gonna end up being cause I think you had the right idea about going for Khaled but it looks like a lot of people on Facebook and X are going for Baked Potato.

I wouldn’t trust Facebook.

Online polls are indicating Khaled and Lily but I think it’s going to be very close between the 4.

[GoldHeart]

If people want to end the showmance, might aswell voted bakey out .

[Benjamin]

Originally Posted by GoldHeart

If people want to end the showmance, might aswell voted bakey out .

A week left I don’t care now about the showmance. 2 weeks ago I would have been on board.

[FromBB8]

Originally Posted by Benjamin

I wouldn’t trust Facebook.

Online polls are indicating Khaled and Lily but I think it’s going to be very close between the 4.

The highlights are going to play a big part tonight and tomorrow. With so many big characters up I imagine tomorrow's episode will be a series high, ratings wise, launch aside.

[GoldHeart]

Originally Posted by Benjamin

A week left I don’t care now about the showmance. 2 weeks ago I would have been on board.

Benjamin

[FromBB8]

Not sure why but Ali & Lily shortening and Khaled's combinations lengthening with William Hill. Maybe someone put on a big bet.

Won't bother posting full odds as the highlights will no doubt have an impact anyway.

[Benjamin]

Originally Posted by FromBB8

Not sure why but Ali & Lily shortening and Khaled's combinations lengthening with William Hill. Maybe someone put on a big bet.

Won't bother posting full odds as the highlights will no doubt have an impact anyway.

Yeah I just saw that too.

[Benjamin]

Look at launch night odds. Izaaz was fave and BP was the least.

Izaaz - 8/1
Thomas - 8/1
Lily - 8/1
Khaled - 8/1
Martha 9/1
Emma - 10/1
Segun - 16/1
Marcello - 18/1
Ali - 20/1
Dean - 20/1
Nathan - 20/1
Hannah - 25/1
Sarah - 25/1
Ryan - 25/1
Daze - 25/1
Rosie 33/1

[GoldHeart]

Yeah things have drastically changed since launch

[moon_peach]

I don’t know if I’m being dim but how on earth does one find any of these betting odds? Easy to see the OBLG one, but most sites I search and just nothing comes up? Or I click on the link saying ‘Big Brother odds’ and the page is something totally unrelated or only shows winner odds? I found the William Hill ones earlier and now they’ve vanished again…

[Benjamin]

Originally Posted by moon_peach

I don’t know if I’m being dim but how on earth does one find any of these betting odds? Easy to see the OBLG one, but most sites I search and just nothing comes up? Or I click on the link saying ‘Big Brother odds’ and the page is something totally unrelated or only shows winner odds? I found the William Hill ones earlier and now they’ve vanished again…

Look at oddschecker. Looks like all betting odds for eviction from bookies have been taken down currently.

[FromBB8]

Originally Posted by moon_peach

I don’t know if I’m being dim but how on earth does one find any of these betting odds? Easy to see the OBLG one, but most sites I search and just nothing comes up? Or I click on the link saying ‘Big Brother odds’ and the page is something totally unrelated or only shows winner odds? I found the William Hill ones earlier and now they’ve vanished again…

I can't find any live odds on the eviction at the moment.

[Swan]

Originally Posted by moon_peach

I don’t know if I’m being dim but how on earth does one find any of these betting odds? Easy to see the OBLG one, but most sites I search and just nothing comes up? Or I click on the link saying ‘Big Brother odds’ and the page is something totally unrelated or only shows winner odds? I found the William Hill ones earlier and now they’ve vanished again…

Not a lot of bookies offer eviction odds, most do offer outrights (overall winner), but i only know of WH offering eviction odds, from the main bookmakers anyway. They probably don't have them up yet as they most likely suspend them during the HL show and L&L to see how certain HM's are favoured, and edited.

[moon_peach]

Originally Posted by Benjamin

Look at oddschecker. Looks like all betting odds for eviction from bookies have been taken down currently.

I’ve tried but I just can’t see anything on the eviction? Only winners. I feel like I’m in a weird maze trying to find these damn odds

[Benjamin]

Originally Posted by moon_peach

I’ve tried but I just can’t see anything on the eviction? Only winners. I feel like I’m in a weird maze trying to find these damn odds

Yeah they’ve been suspended at the mo.

[moon_peach]

Originally Posted by Swan

Not a lot of bookies offer eviction odds, most do offer outrights (overall winner), but i only know of WH offering eviction odds, from the main bookmakers anyway. They probably don't have them up yet as they most likely suspend them during the HL show and L&L to see how certain HM's are favoured, and edited.

William Hill did have them up earlier, I’ve got a screenshot. They were predicting Lily and Rosie, followed by Ali, then it switched and Khaled overtook Ali. I wanted to check if they’d changed again and now I can’t find them

[moon_peach]

Originally Posted by Benjamin

Yeah they’ve been suspended at the mo.

Ah okay thank you, is it that it takes a while to update after the episode airs?