Notices

Big Brother 2024 Big Brother UK (BB21) shown on ITV2 and ITVX.

Reply
 
Thread Tools Search this Thread Display Modes
Old 08-11-2024, 07:15 PM #526
Swan's Avatar
Swan Swan is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: London
Posts: 8,358

Favourites:
CBB2024: Marisha Wallace


Swan Swan is offline
Senior Member
Swan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: London
Posts: 8,358

Favourites:
CBB2024: Marisha Wallace


Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moon_peach View Post
That’s what I was thinking - Khaled still looks more likely to go than Ali taking into account all the online polls I’ve seen, but the bookies are predicting Ali more likely to go, which is interesting.
To go first, Ali currently 7/1, Khaled 8/1. They are quite close tbf.
__________________
Swan is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:15 PM #527
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Swan View Post
I'll just keep updating the thread until the odds suspend. Towards the last few hours, odds moving is VERY significant, as that's where the money is/goes as we get closer. Same with any event.
When exactly do odds suspend?
moon_peach is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:16 PM #528
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Swan View Post
To go first, Ali currently 7/1, Khaled 8/1. They are quite close tbf.
I posted that before having checked! I wasn’t expecting them to still be moving so much! This is the first time I’ve been invested enough to keep checking this close to the episode airing

Last edited by moon_peach; 08-11-2024 at 07:17 PM.
moon_peach is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:18 PM #529
Liam-'s Avatar
Liam- Liam- is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Cardiff.
Posts: 23,632

Favourites (more):
BB19: Lewis F
CBB21: Shane Jenek


Liam- Liam- is offline
Senior Member
Liam-'s Avatar
 
Join Date: Jul 2014
Location: Cardiff.
Posts: 23,632

Favourites (more):
BB19: Lewis F
CBB21: Shane Jenek


Default

All five on spud, just in case
__________________
Liam- is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:18 PM #530
Swan's Avatar
Swan Swan is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: London
Posts: 8,358

Favourites:
CBB2024: Marisha Wallace


Swan Swan is offline
Senior Member
Swan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: London
Posts: 8,358

Favourites:
CBB2024: Marisha Wallace


Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moon_peach View Post
When exactly do odds suspend?
Honestly, im not sure. Eviction odds can be erratic. Could be any time now.

Quote:
Originally Posted by moon_peach View Post
I posted that before having checked! I wasn’t expecting them to still be moving so much! This is the first time I’ve been invested enough to keep checking this close to the episode airing
Yeah, it's half the fun And they really are moving a lot this evening. Money is being put down. I find it all sadly interesting
__________________
Swan is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:20 PM #531
Swan's Avatar
Swan Swan is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: London
Posts: 8,358

Favourites:
CBB2024: Marisha Wallace


Swan Swan is offline
Senior Member
Swan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: London
Posts: 8,358

Favourites:
CBB2024: Marisha Wallace


Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Liam- View Post
All five on spud, just in case
She looks quite likely to go tonight, Lily is becoming a much stronger fave to go first, but BP looks in serious danger of going 2nd. Khaled and Ali are fighting out for 3rd fave, Emma can be forgot as she's going nowhere.
__________________
Swan is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:22 PM #532
romeofahey's Avatar
romeofahey romeofahey is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2023
Posts: 39
romeofahey romeofahey is offline
Member
romeofahey's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2023
Posts: 39
Default

I think it’s probably based on the fact that most casual viewers will vote for Ali over Khaled. In the end I think it will be Lily and BP though no matter what. People have went in hard on BP to protect their faves
romeofahey is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:23 PM #533
FromBB8 FromBB8 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 799
FromBB8 FromBB8 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 799
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Swan View Post
Lily 4/7 to go first tonight now, shortening further. Ali becoming slightly safer at 6/1. Khaled shifted quite a bit from 12/1 to 7/1. That's worrying
Could have been one big bet. I imagine 12/1 was very tempting for some as it looked too long to me. 7/1 is about where he was. If he keeps coming in, it's a concern.

Lily seems to be gone, but second is certainly up for grabs.
FromBB8 is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:27 PM #534
Swan's Avatar
Swan Swan is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: London
Posts: 8,358

Favourites:
CBB2024: Marisha Wallace


Swan Swan is offline
Senior Member
Swan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: London
Posts: 8,358

Favourites:
CBB2024: Marisha Wallace


Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by FromBB8 View Post
Could have been one big bet. I imagine 12/1 was very tempting for some as it looked too long to me. 7/1 is about where he was. If he keeps coming in, it's a concern.

Lily seems to be gone, but second is certainly up for grabs.
Agreed, probably a few biggish bets on Khaled, but nothing major, he's just drifted out to 8/1 again. Ali seems consistent 7's too
__________________
Swan is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:36 PM #535
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Swan View Post
Honestly, im not sure. Eviction odds can be erratic. Could be any time now.



Yeah, it's half the fun And they really are moving a lot this evening. Money is being put down. I find it all sadly interesting
It is interesting!
moon_peach is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:37 PM #536
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by romeofahey View Post
I think it’s probably based on the fact that most casual viewers will vote for Ali over Khaled. In the end I think it will be Lily and BP though no matter what. People have went in hard on BP to protect their faves
Yeah you’re probably right there - I would imagine casual viewers are much more likely to vote Ali than Khaled
moon_peach is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:42 PM #537
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
Default

Having said that, I would’ve thought the TellyMix poll would be more reflective of casual viewers, and they’ve got Khaled in second. Am I wrong in that assumption?
moon_peach is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:43 PM #538
GoldHeart's Avatar
GoldHeart GoldHeart is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 28,453

Favourites (more):
BB2024: Khaled
BB2023: Trish


GoldHeart GoldHeart is offline
Senior Member
GoldHeart's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 28,453

Favourites (more):
BB2024: Khaled
BB2023: Trish


Default

If he goes he goes ,I don't have 200 phones to evict the others.i tried my best with my 5 votes , can't do anything more .
I will be really annoyed,but I guess I'm expecting the worst .
__________________
GoldHeart is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:44 PM #539
Swan's Avatar
Swan Swan is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: London
Posts: 8,358

Favourites:
CBB2024: Marisha Wallace


Swan Swan is offline
Senior Member
Swan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: London
Posts: 8,358

Favourites:
CBB2024: Marisha Wallace


Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moon_peach View Post
Having said that, I would’ve thought the TellyMix poll would be more reflective of casual viewers, and they’ve got Khaled in second. Am I wrong in that assumption?
No, i think him going with Lily @ 15/2 is a superb price and am quite tempted throwing a tenner on it
__________________
Swan is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:46 PM #540
thesheriff443 thesheriff443 is offline
thesheriff443
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 15,434


thesheriff443 thesheriff443 is offline
thesheriff443
 
Join Date: Oct 2011
Posts: 15,434


Default

Khalid got my five votes
thesheriff443 is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 07:50 PM #541
FromBB8 FromBB8 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 799
FromBB8 FromBB8 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 799
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moon_peach View Post
Having said that, I would’ve thought the TellyMix poll would be more reflective of casual viewers, and they’ve got Khaled in second. Am I wrong in that assumption?
I'm definitely not claiming the Tellymix poll is wrong but the issue is you can only vote for one housemate. If those who vote for Ali or Lily split their votes with each other then it could change the dynamics somewhat, or Lily and BP, Ali and BP etc. Of course, some may split with Khaled too.

My issue is marrying the polls with the odds. Lily being up there ties with both, then it becomes a bit of a mess. If you're going to lay odds on something as.., small fry... as Big Brother, surely you look into these kinds of things before putting money on?
FromBB8 is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 08:11 PM #542
romeofahey's Avatar
romeofahey romeofahey is offline
Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2023
Posts: 39
romeofahey romeofahey is offline
Member
romeofahey's Avatar
 
Join Date: Oct 2023
Posts: 39
Default

I think given it’s a double the TellyMix poll is more likely to not be as accurate for the second evictee. Maybe I’m just telling myself that to cope �� but even though that poll has 2k+ votes usually there’s around 300k people (or phones..) that vote in the eviction so we can’t take any single poll too seriously
romeofahey is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 08:12 PM #543
GoldHeart's Avatar
GoldHeart GoldHeart is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 28,453

Favourites (more):
BB2024: Khaled
BB2023: Trish


GoldHeart GoldHeart is offline
Senior Member
GoldHeart's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 28,453

Favourites (more):
BB2024: Khaled
BB2023: Trish


Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by FromBB8 View Post
I'm definitely not claiming the Tellymix poll is wrong but the issue is you can only vote for one housemate. If those who vote for Ali or Lily split their votes with each other then it could change the dynamics somewhat, or Lily and BP, Ali and BP etc. Of course, some may split with Khaled too.

My issue is marrying the polls with the odds. Lily being up there ties with both, then it becomes a bit of a mess. If you're going to lay odds on something as.., small fry... as Big Brother, surely you look into these kinds of things before putting money on?
Is tellymix that accurate?
__________________
GoldHeart is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 08:13 PM #544
FromBB8 FromBB8 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 799
FromBB8 FromBB8 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 799
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by GoldHeart View Post
Is tellymix that accurate?
I think it has been with the solo evictions so far. But then, so have the bookmakers. At least one will be wrong tonight.
FromBB8 is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 08:13 PM #545
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by FromBB8 View Post
I'm definitely not claiming the Tellymix poll is wrong but the issue is you can only vote for one housemate. If those who vote for Ali or Lily split their votes with each other then it could change the dynamics somewhat, or Lily and BP, Ali and BP etc. Of course, some may split with Khaled too.

My issue is marrying the polls with the odds. Lily being up there ties with both, then it becomes a bit of a mess. If you're going to lay odds on something as.., small fry... as Big Brother, surely you look into these kinds of things before putting money on?
Yeah, the fact that this is a double eviction makes that even more of an issue because people are much more likely to be splitting votes this time. Hard to predict how that might affect things. What I’m seeing the most is people splitting their votes between BP & wherever else they think will save their favourite (ie BP & Khaled to save Lily/Ali, BP & Lily to save Ali/Khaled, BP & Emma to save Khaled/Lily/Ali.)
moon_peach is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 08:17 PM #546
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
moon_peach moon_peach is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 270
Default

Speaking of polls, I did just combine the data from 5 different polls (here, Digital Spy, FB, Reddit, TellyMix) totalling 5779 votes and got this:

Lily - 35.8%
Rosie - 21.3%
Khaled - 19.7%
Ali - 14.5%
Emma - 8.7%

(Sorry if this is too off topic from betting odds. Feel free to ignore)
moon_peach is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 08:21 PM #547
GoldHeart's Avatar
GoldHeart GoldHeart is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 28,453

Favourites (more):
BB2024: Khaled
BB2023: Trish


GoldHeart GoldHeart is offline
Senior Member
GoldHeart's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 28,453

Favourites (more):
BB2024: Khaled
BB2023: Trish


Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by moon_peach View Post
Speaking of polls, I did just combine the data from 5 different polls (here, Digital Spy, FB, Reddit, TellyMix) totalling 5779 votes and got this:

Lily - 35.8%
Rosie - 21.3%
Khaled - 19.7%
Ali - 14.5%
Emma - 8.7%

(Sorry if this is too off topic from betting odds. Feel free to ignore)
Khaled & BP are too close for my liking in that poll.

I guess it all depends on tonight's HL .
__________________
GoldHeart is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 08:42 PM #548
Swan's Avatar
Swan Swan is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: London
Posts: 8,358

Favourites:
CBB2024: Marisha Wallace


Swan Swan is offline
Senior Member
Swan's Avatar
 
Join Date: Aug 2018
Location: London
Posts: 8,358

Favourites:
CBB2024: Marisha Wallace


Default

No more movement, and we're getting close to the odds suspending. Looks like Lily and BP going.
__________________
Swan is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 08:44 PM #549
FromBB8 FromBB8 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 799
FromBB8 FromBB8 is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Oct 2024
Posts: 799
Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Swan View Post
No more movement, and we're getting close to the odds suspending. Looks like Lily and BP going.
... According to the bookmakers. This is going to be a long 90 minutes.
FromBB8 is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Old 08-11-2024, 08:49 PM #550
GoldHeart's Avatar
GoldHeart GoldHeart is offline
Senior Member
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 28,453

Favourites (more):
BB2024: Khaled
BB2023: Trish


GoldHeart GoldHeart is offline
Senior Member
GoldHeart's Avatar
 
Join Date: Jun 2009
Posts: 28,453

Favourites (more):
BB2024: Khaled
BB2023: Trish


Default

Quote:
Originally Posted by Swan View Post
No more movement, and we're getting close to the odds suspending. Looks like Lily and BP going.
I really hope so
__________________
GoldHeart is offline   Reply With QuoteReply With Quote
Reply

Bookmark/share this topic

Tags
1st, 24, 2nd, 3rd, ahead, ali, appeared, back, baked, betting, big, big brother 20, bp, challenging, clear, climb, climbs, closing, daze, dean, drops, emma, evicted, eviction, fave, faves, favourite, gap, hanah, hannah, horse, izaaz, khaked, khaled, lily, marcello, massively, nathan, odds, overtakes, potato, potential, race, ryan, sarah, spoiler, thomas, thread, win

Thread Tools Search this Thread
Search this Thread:

Advanced Search
Display Modes

Posting Rules
You may not post new threads
You may not post replies
You may not post attachments
You may not edit your posts

BB code is On
Smilies are On
[IMG] code is On
HTML code is Off

Forum Jump


All times are GMT. The time now is 12:43 PM.

Powered by vBulletin® Version 3.8.11
Copyright ©2000 - 2025, vBulletin Solutions Inc.
User Alert System provided by Advanced User Tagging (Pro) - vBulletin Mods & Addons Copyright © 2025 DragonByte Technologies Ltd.
 

About Us ThisisBigBrother.com

"Big Brother and UK Television Forum. Est. 2001"

 

© 2023
no new posts