[Scarlett.]

Pandemic 'could kill 750,000 in UK'



Up to 1.2 million people could end up in hospital and 750,000 killed if a flu pandemic sweeps the nation, according to draft Government guidance about an outbreak.

As hospitals are "rapidly" overwhelmed by patients, doctors may have to begin operating a lottery system for intensive care, the blueprint from last year adds.

It also warns that a worst-case pandemic scenario of "catastrophic severity" could result in the "complete or partial collapse of some or all hospital infrastructures".

Top medics have downplayed the predictions, saying factors like Britain's high state of readiness and high immunity levels will lessen the impact.

The bleak forecasts come in "Pandemic influenza: Surge capacity and prioritisation in health services", which was prepared by the Department of Health (DH) last September.

It says up to half the UK population - or 30 million people - could get influenza if the bug outbreak turns into a pandemic.
In the worst case, there would be 2,000 hospital admissions per 100,000 people - or 1.2 million people. There would also be 1,250 fatalities per 100,000 - or 750,000 people.

The report says: "Over the entire period of a pandemic, up to 50% of the population may show clinical symptoms of influenza.
"This could result in the total healthcare contacts for influenza-like illness increasing from around one million during a 'normal' season up to 30 million."

There are also grim implications for the demand of the nation's estimated 3,450 adult intensive care beds and 320 children's.

MSN.co.uk news

:shoc ked:: shocked:

[Sod_James]

750.000 is not that much considering how many people live in the UK

[Scarlett.]

Originally posted by Sod_James
750.000 is not that much considering how many people live in the UK

Not sure about you, but 750,000 peoples lives is A LOT of lives to loose IMO, even one life is too much

[NettoSuperstar!]

Pah...I swear the media are creaming their pants waiting for the first death!

[*mazedsalv**]

750,000 is a terrifying amount of people!! I know there is 60m in the world, but it will decrease our population by around 1m.... isnt it about 2-5% of the UK population, sounds little but it really isnt.

[Novo]

Originally posted by *mazedsalv**
750,000 is a terrifying amount of people!! I know there is 60m in the world, but it will decrease our population by around 1m.... isnt it about 2-5% of the UK population, sounds little but it really isnt.

No there are just over 60 million people that live in the uk over a billion in the world

[:)tom:)]

I wouldnt worry. 10 people around the whole world have died from swine flu and everyone else whos got it has recovered so i would be suprised if even 1 person the uk died from it. Its just the papers trying to make us all **** ourselves.

[*mazedsalv**]

Originally posted by .Andy.

No there are just over 60 million people that live in the uk over a billion in the world

woops i know, i meant 60m in the UK not in the world, theres roughly 6.3b in the world.

[MR.K!]

I honestly believe that there wont be ONE death in the uk due to the Swine Flu.

[arista]

Originally posted by Sod_James
750.000 is not that much considering how many people live in the UK

Bang On right Sod James.




No one has died from this Chewy
Wake Up.

[M X]

I'm seriously freaked out.

[arista]

Originally posted by NettoSuperstar!
Pah...I swear the media are creaming their pants waiting for the first death!

Not on Sky News they ain't.


Nothing but Solid Facts.

[Scarlett.]

Originally posted by arista

Bang On right Sod James.




No one has died from this Chewy
Wake Up.

I dont need to wake up, Im posting a news story, not saying it is fact

Sign Of The Times.

[arista]

Originally posted by TheMichaelO
I'm seriously freaked out.

Really.


Over Nothing.


Maybe a Party is what you need.

[arista]

Originally posted by Chewy

I dont need to wake up, Im posting a news story, not saying it is fact

Sign Of The Times.

It is a Freaking Guess News Story.


You need more School in Media
to know what you are on about.

[Lauren]

1250 deaths per 100,000 isn't too much considering the death rate each year of normal flu. Hopefully won't get this bad.

[John.]

why don't they think positive instead of sayingOMG WE'RE GOING TO DIE all the time??

it's just a flu and there are cures... so whats the problem??

[Scarlett.]

Originally posted by arista

It is a Freaking Guess News Story.


You need more School in Media
to know what you are on about.

You're right, I shall ask my college tutor on Tuesday about what stories I should and should'nt post on a Big brother froum

Life in the city.

[Ruth*Star]

I doubt that many people will die.

[arista]

Chewy
Live on SkyNews the Scottish Medical crew
just said they will look at America for better data
as more have it.


But as only a baby died, (mexican baby visting texas)
this is Still not a Killer Flu.
Of course in poor areas of Mexico
they can not get meds easy , so deaths were normal
for that reason.

Unless it infects someone with another illness
and it Mutates again.
But that is a big 'If'

[NettoSuperstar!]

Originally posted by arista

Not on Sky News they ain't.


Nothing but Solid Facts.

heheh rite o mate

[Rob]

wow this is really concening, i hope myself or someone i know aren't one of the victims, lets hope this things dies out before it spreads anymore

[JohnnyBB]

Originally posted by Rob
wow this is really concening, i hope myself or someone i know aren't one of the victims, lets hope this things dies out before it spreads anymore

hope so

[Rob]

Originally posted by JohnnyBB

hope so

this country is so rubbish at everything it probably wouldnt be able to cope with a pandemic, which is what is most concerning

[Scarlett.]

Originally posted by Rob

this country is so rubbish at everything it probably wouldnt be able to cope with a pandemic, which is what is most concerning

Actually, we have more anti flu pills stocked up than the USA